Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 30, 2007

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $22.6200 (-2.88%) ($22.3600 - $24.6400) on Fri. Nov. 30, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.55% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $22.6200(-2.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -12.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    VWO(19%)    IWM(18%)    FXI(17%)    QQQ(17%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(-3%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.275% (StdDev 4.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-4.08(-118.04%)
Resistance Level   $27.68
5 Day Moving Average   $23.03(-1.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.97(-5.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.68(-18.28%)
To recent high   -40.8%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $912m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 16.15% (three month std-dev: 4.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -7.55%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -12.69%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -17.1%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071230

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_30_2007	25.62	27.68	23.97	23.03		23.52	22.62(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	80	-7	-162	0.47	56%	0.16	-66.9	4.55%	0	-1.1	27	0
2	Nov_29_2007	25.58	28.33	24.42	23.2	23.4	23.9	23.29(-6.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-40	180	3	-170	0.43	57%	0.2	-63.3	4.53%	0	-1.1	28	0
3	Nov_28_2007	25.53	29.05	25.01	23.36	23.5	23.28	24.8(14.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-41	-50	5	-178	0.88	60%	0.24	-56.5	4.48%	0	-0.9	29	0
4	Nov_27_2007	25.47	29.63	25.59	23.32	23.53	22.9	21.62(-5.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-80	-160	-32	-224	0.65	55%	0.08	-54.7	4.11%	0	-1.6	9	0
5	Nov_26_2007	25.45	30.41	26.42	24.16	24.25	23.71	22.83(-2.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-77	-140	-28	-224	0.52	58%	0.2	-50.5	4.06%	0	-1.6	11	0

6	Nov_23_2007	25.4	31.03	27.25	25.04	25.01	24.16	23.46(-2.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-76	-240	-28	-219	0.12	58%	0.2	-46.6	4.05%	0	-1.7	11	0
7	Nov_21_2007	25.35	31.58	28.04	25.81	25.81	24.79	24.08(-2.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-85	-280	-40	-221	0.45	61%	0.2	-42.9	4.08%	0	-1.8	11	0
8	Nov_20_2007	25.3	32.1	28.88	26.9	26.84	25.85	24.62(-4.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-87	-260	-44	-217	0.46	61%	0.28	-34.8	4.1%	0	-2	10	0
9	Nov_19_2007	25.23	32.63	29.93	28.22	28.15	26.83	25.8(-5.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-73	-340	-34	-189	0.28	62%	0.32	-23.1	4.05%	0	-2	20	0
10	Nov_16_2007	25.15	33.07	30.86	29.01	29.19	27.84	27.26(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-75	-310	-39	-183	0.34	65%	0.4	-18.2	3.99%	0	-1.9	21	0

11	Nov_15_2007	25.05	33.32	31.7	29.79	29.95	29.46	27.28(-7.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-63	-100	-31	-158	0.59	63%	0.36	-16.1	3.99%	0	-2.1	32	0
12	Nov_14_2007	24.96	33.46	32.58	30.59	30.57	30.55	29.56(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-10	-10	-127	0.29	64%	0.44	-15.9	3.92%	0	-1.4	40	0
13	Nov_13_2007	24.85	33.48	33.43	31.16	30.86	30.45	31.2(4.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-41	-120	-20	-103	0.26	68%	0.53	-18	3.89%	0	-0.8	44	0
14	Nov_12_2007	24.72	33.43	33.96	31.96	31.52	30.59	29.76(-4.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-47	-250	-35	-84	0.28	67%	0.49	-13.8	3.89%	0	-1.4	37	0
15	Nov_9_2007	24.6	33.63	34.71	33.01	32.76	31.26	31.16(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-340	-38	-49	0.36	68%	0.53	0	3.88%	0	-1	44	0

16	Nov_8_2007	24.47	33.79	35.11	33.93	33.85	32.45	31.27(-3.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-38	-300	-45	-17	0.68	66%	0.53	15.2	3.88%	0	-1	55	0
17	Nov_7_2007	24.34	33.9	35.43	34.85	34.88	34.25	32.4(-8.01%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-20	-120	-36	30	0.58	67%	0.58	31	3.9%	0	-0.6	66	0
18	Nov_6_2007	24.2	33.97	35.63	36.01	35.78	35.24	35.22(0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-120	-12	96	0.2	71%	0.71	48.4	3.76%	0	0.5	75	0
19	Nov_5_2007	24.03	33.81	35.58	36.26	36.37	35.51	35(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-160	-20	125	0.23	71%	0.67	49.9	3.78%	0	0.5	70	0
20	Nov_2_2007	23.87	33.63	35.49	36.68	36.74	36.32	35.76(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	30	-80	-10	149	0.31	72%	0.72	55.7	3.77%	0	0.9	57	0

21	Nov_1_2007	23.7	33.41	35.08	36.47	36.83	37.23	35.86(-6.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	45	110	12	143	0.78	72%	0.77	60.4	3.78%	0	1	55	0
22	Oct_31_2007	23.52	33.16	34.44	36.06	36.22	37.17	38.2(4.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	54	200	30	127	0.47	76%	0.9	64.3	3.67%	0	2.1	62	0
23	Oct_30_2007	23.31	32.83	33.51	35.19	35.37	36.44	36.49(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	230	27	80	0.26	75%	0.78	71.9	3.69%	0	1.7	57	0
24	Oct_29_2007	23.13	32.61	32.83	34.82	34.66	35.27	37.1(6.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	110	26	62	0.64	75%	0.87	85.8	3.68%	0	2.2	64	0
25	Oct_26_2007	22.93	32.29	32.38	34.17	34.28	34.31	34.71(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	20	18	51	0.19	72%		91.1	3.62%	0	1.3	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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