Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 27, 2006

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $28.0400 (0.65%) ($27.4300 - $29.1600) on Thu. Apr. 27, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.37% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $28.0400(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.685% (StdDev 3.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.98(3.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.96(4.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.41(2.3%)
To recent high   -11.5%
To recent low   29.5%
Market Cap   $1.131b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 3.58% (three month std-dev: 3.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.1%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.93%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.01%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060527

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_27_2006	27.09	27.41	26.96	26.98	27.02	27.84	28.04(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	15	220	20	-1	0.87	80%	-0.4	-73.7	3.37%	0	0.6	45	0
2	Apr_26_2006	27.2	27.48	26.77	26.77	26.71	26.96	27.86(4.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	60	14	-21	0.73	80%	-0.44	-68.6	3.38%	0	0.3	50	0
3	Apr_25_2006	27.32	27.58	26.65	26.69	26.65	26.19	26.75(4.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-130	-6	-40	0.83	79%	-0.47	-56.5	3.35%	0	-0.7	42	0
4	Apr_24_2006	27.45	27.81	26.7	26.71	26.82	26.47	25.7(-3.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-80	-15	-49	0.56	78%	-0.51	-34.7	3.31%	0	-1.4	33	0
5	Apr_21_2006	27.59	28.01	26.91	26.87	27	27.1	26.54(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	40	-1	-47	0.54	78%	-0.4	-24	3.27%	0	-1	32	0

6	Apr_20_2006	27.7	28.15	27.1	26.91	26.9	27.18	27.01(-1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	70	10	-47	0.6	78%	-0.36	-18.1	3.29%	0	-0.8	31	0
7	Apr_19_2006	27.8	28.27	27.17	26.75	26.74	26.89	27.47(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	40	9	-66	0.72	78%	-0.32	-15.7	3.31%	0	-0.6	31	0
8	Apr_18_2006	27.89	28.29	27.22	26.6	26.55	26.62	26.84(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	10	-3	-88	0.61	78%	-0.36	-19.1	3.3%	0	-1	25	0
9	Apr_17_2006	27.99	28.34	27.35	26.71	26.68	26.59	26.49(-0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-32	-30	-7	-107	0.43	74%	-0.43	-9.2	3.3%	0	-1.3	17	0
10	Apr_13_2006	28.11	28.36	27.6	26.96	26.98	26.49	26.73(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-120	-16	-105	1.36	74%	-0.5	9.8	3.33%	0	-1.2	36	0

11	Apr_12_2006	28.25	28.41	27.89	27.34	27.35	26.76	26.23(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-150	-22	-95	0.73	74%	-0.46	35.7	3.33%	0	-1.6	36	0
12	Apr_11_2006	28.38	28.49	28.26	27.65	27.88	27.47	26.72(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-80	-14	-79	0.4	74%	-0.49	64.9	3.33%	0	-1.4	38	0
13	Apr_10_2006	28.52	28.56	28.59	27.91	28.03	27.94	27.37(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10	-9	-57	0.73	74%	-0.35	82.2	3.33%	0	-0.8	52	0
14	Apr_7_2006	28.62	28.47	29.01	28.07	28.12	28.28	27.77(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	50	-4	-28	0.96	74%	-0.31	70.5	3.31%	0	-0.4	55	0
15	Apr_6_2006	28.71	28.23	29.21	28.34	28.22	28.13	28.61(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-40	-4	-2	1.31	74%	-0.14	64.9	3.31%	0	0.2	64	0

16	Apr_5_2006	28.75	27.94	29.28	28.55	28.44	27.96	27.78(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	-130	-19	10	1.58	74%	-0.14	61.9	3.29%	0	-0.1	56	0
17	Apr_4_2006	28.79	27.71	29.46	28.98	28.97	28.3	28(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-160	-22	35	0.46	74%	-0.17	62.7	3.29%	0	0.1	55	0
18	Apr_3_2006	28.84	27.45	29.47	29.38	29.46	28.92	28.18(-3.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	-120	-30	47	0.88	74%	-0.17	64.7	3.29%	0	0.2	54	0
19	Mar_31_2006	28.89	27.18	29.44	30.08	30.02	29.64	29.11(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-90	-11	100	0.65	74%	-0.14	68.4	3.28%	0	0.6	71	0
20	Mar_30_2006	28.93	26.82	29.22	30.2	30.38	30	29.68(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	-70	-4	137	0.6	74%	-0.14	66.2	3.3%	0	0.9	81	0

21	Mar_29_2006	28.97	26.45	29	30.12	30.3	30.4	29.93(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	42	40	-2	172	0.56	74%	-0.07	63	3.31%	0	1.1	82	0
22	Mar_28_2006	28.99	26.06	28.76	30	30.18	30.76	30(-5.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	71	150	22	218	0.59	68%	-0.1	59.3	3.31%	0	1.2	81	0
23	Mar_27_2006	29.02	25.66	28.54	29.55	29.63	30.21	31.69(6.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	86	150	33	244	1.27	66%	-0.07	53.1	3.38%	0	1.9	89	0
24	Mar_24_2006	29.04	25.18	27.86	28.72	28.87	29.59	29.7(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	77	190	25	232	0.69	63%	-0.1	46.5	3.41%	0	1.6	87	0
25	Mar_23_2006	29.07	24.82	27.15	28.1	28.35	29.05	29.28(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	74	200	26	219	0.81	61%		39.9	3.43%	0	1.6	88	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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