Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 28, 2006

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $30.0000 (-5.33%) ($29.9500 - $31.6300) on Tue. Mar. 28, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.31% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $30.0000(-5.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 11.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.655% (StdDev 3.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $30(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.76(4.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.06(15.12%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   38.6%
Market Cap   $1.21b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 12.62% (three month std-dev: 3.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.5%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.53%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.57%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.1%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_28_2006	28.99	26.06	28.76	30	30.18	30.76	30(-5.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	71	150	22	218	0.59	68%	-0.1	59.3	3.31%	0	1.2	81	NAN
2	Mar_27_2006	29.02	25.66	28.54	29.55	29.63	30.21	31.69(6.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	86	150	33	244	1.27	66%	-0.07	53.1	3.38%	0	1.9	89	NAN
3	Mar_24_2006	29.04	25.18	27.86	28.72	28.87	29.59	29.7(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	77	190	25	232	0.69	63%	-0.1	46.5	3.41%	0	1.6	87	NAN
4	Mar_23_2006	29.07	24.82	27.15	28.1	28.35	29.05	29.28(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	74	200	26	219	0.81	61%	-0.1	39.9	3.43%	0	1.6	88	NAN
5	Mar_22_2006	29.1	24.52	26.47	27.72	27.79	28.15	29.35(5.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	65	100	17	210	1.33	61%	-0.1	37.1	3.46%	0	1.9	84	NAN

6	Mar_21_2006	29.13	24.25	25.78	27.36	27.53	27.64	27.71(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	55	50	4	206	1.7	58%	-0.17	37	3.36%	0	1.5	79	NAN
7	Mar_20_2006	29.18	24.06	25.26	27.38	27.44	27.64	27.57(3.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	67	0	14	224	1.13	55%	-0.17	38.7	3.37%	0	1.6	80	NAN
8	Mar_17_2006	29.23	23.9	24.74	26.85	27.18	27.43	26.6(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	73	100	27	212	0.8	53%	-0.2	35.6	3.36%	0	1.4	72	NAN
9	Mar_16_2006	29.29	23.78	24.25	26	26.29	27.45	27.35(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	76	340	43	175	0.91	53%	-0.2	24.7	3.37%	0	1.9	74	NAN
10	Mar_15_2006	29.35	23.62	23.7	24.99	24.99	26.93	27.56(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	79	540	63	128	1.49	53%	-0.24	10.2	3.37%	0	2.3	67	NAN

11	Mar_14_2006	29.42	23.45	23.14	23.96	23.76	25.14	27.82(11.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	69	380	68	70	2.39	53%	-0.24	-4.7	3.37%	0	2.9	61	NAN
12	Mar_13_2006	29.49	23.26	22.5	22.87	22.76	23.05	24.94(11.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	19	70	29	-12	2.54	42%	-0.3	-22.5	3%	0	1.4	50	NAN
13	Mar_10_2006	29.58	23.2	22.23	22.37	22.76	22.39	22.31(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	-0	3	-77	0.41	32%	-0.44	-32.2	2.56%	0	-0.8	25	NAN
14	Mar_9_2006	29.71	23.32	22.28	22.24	22.42	22.48	22.31(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	40	4	-101	0.54	30%	-0.44	-32.7	2.58%	0	-0.9	25	NAN
15	Mar_8_2006	29.84	23.45	22.4	22.18	22.26	22.46	22.43(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	70	4	-113	0.37	30%	-0.43	-27.1	2.6%	0	-0.9	28	NAN

16	Mar_7_2006	29.97	23.45	22.59	22.15	22.17	22.36	22.38(-0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	60	9	-115	0.62	30%	-0.4	-27.4	2.6%	0	-1	28	NAN
17	Mar_6_2006	30.09	23.52	22.78	22.07	22.13	22.06	22.43(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-31	-10	1	-126	0.64	30%	-0.43	-36	2.6%	0	-0.9	28	NAN
18	Mar_3_2006	30.22	23.57	22.99	22.08	22.11	21.98	21.65(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-40	-16	-133	1.33	26%	-0.4	-40	2.52%	0	-1.7	26	NAN
19	Mar_2_2006	30.34	23.7	23.31	22.32	22.33	22.2	22.02(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-40	-16	-120	0.45	32%	-0.39	-40	2.54%	0	-1.6	25	NAN
20	Mar_1_2006	30.46	23.77	23.57	22.66	22.6	22.24	22.26(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-120	-24	-103	1.35	32%	-0.36	-39	2.68%	0	-1.6	25	NAN

21	Feb_28_2006	30.57	23.83	23.81	23.11	23.09	22.46	21.97(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-43	-190	-31	-78	1.41	29%	-0.39	-30.9	2.67%	0	-2	39	NAN
22	Feb_27_2006	30.69	23.94	24.1	23.59	23.66	22.96	22.52(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-34	-200	-33	-35	0.9	29%	-0.45	-19.5	2.76%	0	-1.8	58	NAN
23	Feb_24_2006	30.83	24.03	24.28	24.04	24.17	23.71	22.84(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-22	-120	-28	-4	1.23	29%	-0.42	-7.2	2.76%	0	-1.6	50	NAN
24	Feb_23_2006	30.96	24.12	24.48	24.43	24.6	24.36	23.69(-3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-50	-13	28	0.6	31%	-0.45	3.1	2.76%	0	-0.6	49	NAN
25	Feb_22_2006	31.1	24.15	24.61	24.62	24.82	24.62	24.54(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-30	-4	57	0.39	31%		3.5	2.75%	0	0.6	61	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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