Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 1, 2006

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $23.0100 (-1.58%) ($22.8000 - $23.3800) on Wed. Feb. 1, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.27% (three month average)
RSI   13
Latest Price   $23.0100(-1.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.635% (StdDev 3.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $13.94(-39.42%)
Resistance Level   $25.24
5 Day Moving Average   $23.82(-3.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.09(-4.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.24(-8.84%)
To recent high   -43.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $928m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 5.35% (three month std-dev: 3.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.87%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.89%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.49%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2006	33.36	25.24	24.09	23.82	23.87	23.38	23.01(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-37	-140	-18	-92	0.76	40%	-0.63	-77	3.27%	0	-1.7	13	0
2	Jan_31_2006	33.57	25.43	24.32	24.05	24.21	23.96	23.38(-2.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-31	-50	-11	-90	0.75	40%	-0.59	-96.8	3.27%	0	-1.6	23	0
3	Jan_30_2006	33.77	25.64	24.52	24.05	24.36	24.37	23.99(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-24	30	-1	-93	0.33	40%	-0.47	-122.7	3.26%	0	-1.4	23	0
4	Jan_27_2006	33.93	25.84	24.76	24.17	24.31	24.46	24.08(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	60	-1	-97	0.4	38%	-0.47	-141.9	3.26%	0	-1.4	27	0
5	Jan_26_2006	34.09	26.05	25	24.27	24.29	24.35	24.62(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	20	-2	-95	0.25	37%	-0.47	-154.6	3.29%	0	-1.1	31	0

6	Jan_25_2006	34.25	26.32	25.25	24.42	24.41	24.17	24.19(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-70	-9	-89	0.5	37%	-0.49	-162.2	3.29%	0	-1.7	30	0
7	Jan_24_2006	34.42	26.73	25.5	24.64	24.69	24.24	23.95(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-120	-17	-86	0.66	37%	-0.32	-144.2	3.29%	0	-1.8	25	0
8	Jan_23_2006	34.53	27.21	25.83	24.94	25.02	24.65	24.03(-2.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-37	-90	-23	-79	0.87	37%	-0.49	-154.8	3.31%	0	-2.2	22	0
9	Jan_20_2006	34.7	27.7	26.13	25.43	25.39	25.15	24.56(-3.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-30	-70	-17	-67	0.73	36%	-0.43	-116.9	3.3%	0	-1.7	21	0
10	Jan_19_2006	34.85	28.13	26.36	25.83	25.8	25.4	25.36(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-110	-16	-61	0.54	36%	-0.43	-94	3.3%	0	-1.2	25	0

11	Jan_18_2006	35	28.59	26.49	26.21	26.19	25.62	25.3(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-35	-150	-22	-72	0.6	36%	-0.4	-83.4	3.31%	0	-1.2	17	0
12	Jan_17_2006	35.14	29.11	26.65	26.49	26.97	26.19	25.43(-3.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-39	-150	-19	-97	0.49	36%	-0.54	-79.6	3.31%	0	-1.3	13	0
13	Jan_13_2006	35.33	29.61	26.86	26.85	27.22	26.75	26.48(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-44	-80	-18	-122	0.97	37%	-0.37	-69.8	3.27%	0	-0.9	13	0
14	Jan_12_2006	35.46	30.07	27.03	26.93	27.35	27.75	26.59(-2.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-36	150	0	-145	0.57	37%	-0.37	-69.3	3.27%	0	-1	13	0
15	Jan_11_2006	35.59	30.52	27.17	26.96	27.33	27.69	27.27(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	130	18	-167	0.8	37%	-0.36	-70.4	3.26%	0	-0.9	19	0

16	Jan_10_2006	35.72	31.02	27.45	26.82	26.9	26.95	26.69(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-51	20	0	-202	0.37	36%	-0.36	-72	3.26%	0	-1.1	12	0
17	Jan_9_2006	35.85	31.56	28.03	26.84	26.82	26.97	27.2(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-53	40	1	-214	0.36	36%	-0.39	-72	3.29%	0	-1.1	12	0
18	Jan_6_2006	35.99	32.14	28.66	26.9	26.76	26.85	26.89(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-59	10	-5	-222	0.68	34%	-0.42	-69.3	3.29%	0	-1.3	11	0
19	Jan_5_2006	36.14	32.74	29.35	27.15	26.99	26.85	26.76(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-62	-100	-9	-222	0.89	33%	-0.44	-64.5	3.33%	0	-1.5	10	0
20	Jan_4_2006	36.3	33.35	30.01	27.43	27.3	26.67	26.55(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-82	-180	-32	-233	0.59	33%	-0.44	-61.7	3.34%	0	-1.7	11	0

21	Jan_3_2006	36.46	33.99	30.84	28.2	27.98	27.3	26.8(-2.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-88	-190	-42	-227	1.37	33%	-0.74	-57	3.34%	0	-1.8	9	0
22	Dec_30_2005	36.73	34.64	31.76	29.41	28.9	27.92	27.48(-2.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-88	-290	-49	-204	0.53	33%	-0.43	-51.3	3.35%	0	-1.9	10	0
23	Dec_29_2005	36.89	35.16	32.59	30.71	30.32	28.66	28.18(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-87	-420	-54	-187	0.73	33%	-0.35	-50.2	3.34%	0	-2.1	9	0
24	Dec_28_2005	37.02	35.61	33.4	31.89	31.82	29.89	28.12(-7.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-89	-430	-61	-171	1.76	32%	-0.35	-51.9	3.34%	0	-2.5	10	0
25	Dec_27_2005	37.15	36.06	34.2	32.95	33.01	31.97	30.41(-7.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-78	-220	-52	-157	1.19	34%		-61.3	3.25%	0	-2.4	11	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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