Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 24, 2005

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $42.6000 (0.95%) ($42.2200 - $43.6900) on Thu. Mar. 24, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.6% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $42.6000(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.3% (StdDev 4.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $30.35(-28.76%)
Resistance Level   $47.12
5 Day Moving Average   $43.62(-2.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.11(-3.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.12(-9.59%)
To recent high   -39.7%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $1.718b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 7.47% (three month std-dev: 4.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050424

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_24_2005	57.42	47.12	44.11	43.62	43.71	42.69	42.6(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-160	-19	-89	0.72	32%	-0.28	-59.3	4.6%	0	-1.3	27	NAN
2	Mar_23_2005	57.58	47.56	44.58	44.2	44.42	43.48	42.2(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-130	-21	-89	1.05	32%	-0.23	-63	4.63%	0	-1.6	25	NAN
3	Mar_22_2005	57.71	48.02	45.08	44.64	44.98	44.73	43.38(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-20	-9	-87	0.82	32%	-0.22	-69.5	4.63%	0	-1.4	26	NAN
4	Mar_21_2005	57.84	48.4	45.87	44.88	44.93	45.36	44.94(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	70	6	-75	0.82	32%	-0.14	-75.1	4.61%	0	-1.1	32	NAN
5	Mar_18_2005	57.92	48.83	46.52	44.57	44.71	45.22	44.98(-1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	90	8	-81	0.53	32%	-0.17	-75.3	4.58%	0	-1.2	27	NAN

6	Mar_17_2005	58.02	49.3	47.05	44.69	44.44	44.51	45.5(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	-10	-3	-88	0.77	32%	-0.19	-68.9	4.62%	0	-1.2	29	NAN
7	Mar_16_2005	58.13	49.82	47.54	45.07	44.8	44.2	44.41(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-110	-13	-90	0.95	32%	-0.14	-59.8	4.6%	0	-1.6	29	NAN
8	Mar_15_2005	58.21	50.36	48.19	45.62	45.61	44.38	44.56(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-190	-31	-91	1.31	32%	-0.12	-54.2	4.62%	0	-1.7	31	NAN
9	Mar_14_2005	58.28	50.83	48.79	47.06	46.7	45.41	43.4(-4.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-52	-220	-43	-78	1.77	32%	-0.14	-45.1	4.6%	0	-2.4	28	NAN
10	Mar_11_2005	58.36	51.33	49.72	48.75	48.58	46.83	45.59(-3.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-260	-29	-51	1.52	38%	0	-37.5	4.65%	0	-2.2	26	NAN

11	Mar_10_2005	58.36	51.65	50.42	49.73	49.87	47.98	47.38(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-260	-37	-47	1.35	38%	0.09	-24.6	4.67%	0	-2	27	NAN
12	Mar_9_2005	58.31	51.94	50.84	50.37	50.78	50.34	47.15(-8.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-30	-40	-25	-44	2.68	38%	0.03	-6.7	4.67%	0	-2.5	23	NAN
13	Mar_8_2005	58.29	52.22	51.28	51.09	51.4	51.75	51.8(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	70	11	-30	0.77	41%	0.21	19.1	4.54%	0	-0.3	36	NAN
14	Mar_7_2005	58.17	52.27	51.16	50.79	50.97	51.22	51.85(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	40	1	-45	0.98	37%	0.22	18.9	4.57%	0	-0.3	44	NAN
15	Mar_4_2005	58.04	52.31	51.31	50.9	50.92	51.06	50.46(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	20	-2	-41	0.5	39%	0.19	24.2	4.83%	0	-1.2	44	NAN

16	Mar_3_2005	57.93	52.19	51.7	51.26	51.27	50.72	50.57(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-70	-4	-31	0.8	39%	0.21	-14.5	4.87%	0	-0.9	50	NAN
17	Mar_2_2005	57.81	52.07	52.22	51.4	51.69	50.78	50.77(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-110	-12	-26	1.11	39%	0.23	-39.6	4.9%	0	-0.6	45	NAN
18	Mar_1_2005	57.68	51.92	52.65	51.48	51.79	51.82	50.28(-4.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	20	-8	-18	1.2	39%	0.23	-52.7	4.89%	0	-0.7	46	NAN
19	Feb_28_2005	57.55	51.97	53	51.54	51.76	52.6	52.42(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	130	8	-9	0.89	42%	0.26	-60.9	4.87%	0	0.2	50	NAN
20	Feb_25_2005	57.4	51.93	53.03	51.79	51.56	51.77	52.27(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	20	3	-8	1.21	44%	0.21	-71.4	4.91%	0	0.1	50	NAN

21	Feb_24_2005	57.28	52.46	52.96	52.26	51.96	50.91	51.28(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-160	-19	-3	0.95	46%	0.23	-35.7	4.95%	0	-0.3	65	NAN
22	Feb_23_2005	57.15	52.92	53.13	53.2	53.13	51.34	51.13(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-19	-240	-30	16	0.89	48%	0.23	-26.4	4.99%	0	-0.4	65	NAN
23	Feb_22_2005	57.02	53.2	53.28	54.01	54.28	53.02	50.62(-5.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-11	-150	-28	39	1.46	48%	0.56	-24.8	5.04%	0	-0.6	65	NAN
24	Feb_18_2005	56.7	53.43	53.53	54.61	55	54.92	53.65(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	10	-3	63	0.98	48%	0.32	-21	5%	0	0.1	58	NAN
25	Feb_17_2005	56.52	53.65	53.43	54.39	54.69	55.54	54.62(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	130	14	71	1.05	48%		-17	4.99%	0	0.2	58	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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