Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 15, 2004

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $72.2000 (0.25%) ($71.1200 - $73.7100) on Wed. Dec. 15, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.29% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $72.2000(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(20%)    EEM(19%)    QQQ(19%)    SPY(18%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.145% (StdDev 4.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.46(2.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.79(3.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.68(9.93%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   120.9%
Market Cap   $2.912b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 9.55% (three month std-dev: 4.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_15_2004	44.24	65.68	69.79	70.46	71.14	72.44	72.2(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	160	20	53	1.08	75%	0.87	55.9	4.29%	0	1	69	NAN
2	Dec_14_2004	43.86	64.85	69.37	69.52	69.76	72.13	72.02(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	250	46	73	1.59	75%	0.85	47	4.29%	0	1.1	72	NAN
3	Dec_13_2004	43.49	64.05	69.09	68.11	68.32	69.85	73.07(7.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	45	170	33	82	2.87	76%	0.9	38.5	4.27%	0	1.4	76	NAN
4	Dec_10_2004	43.1	63.3	68.49	68.34	67.53	67.4	67.99(1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-50	-4	102	1.01	75%	0.82	43.3	4.22%	0	0.8	75	NAN
5	Dec_9_2004	42.75	62.89	68.15	68.8	68.67	66.8	67.04(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-200	-16	123	1.31	75%	0.87	47.1	4.22%	0	0.7	67	NAN

6	Dec_8_2004	42.38	62.35	67.61	69.01	69.28	67.66	67.48(3.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-150	-38	132	2.77	75%	0.83	46	4.23%	0	0.8	68	NAN
7	Dec_7_2004	42.03	61.97	66.76	69.13	69.68	70.55	64.96(-12.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	31	110	-11	156	4.09	75%	0.82	52.7	4.25%	0	0.5	67	NAN
8	Dec_6_2004	41.69	61.66	65.87	70.05	69.83	70.91	74.25(5.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	86	100	44	211	3.41	81%	0.97	61.3	3.89%	0	2.1	81	NAN
9	Dec_3_2004	41.29	60.75	63.84	68.68	68.96	68.81	70.29(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	-0	15	175	1.85	78%	0.88	66.3	3.88%	0	1.8	69	NAN
10	Dec_2_2004	40.93	60.16	62.47	67.43	68.32	68.75	68.05(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	80	16	152	1.84	78%	0.84	70.9	3.94%	0	1.7	63	NAN

11	Dec_1_2004	40.59	59.65	61.27	66	67.06	69.11	68.11(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	75	260	50	148	2.1	78%	0.87	70.9	3.94%	0	1.9	69	NAN
12	Nov_30_2004	40.24	58.96	59.97	63.98	64.67	67.89	69.57(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	96	380	87	124	2.72	76%	0.85	65.7	3.89%	0	2.6	61	NAN
13	Nov_29_2004	39.9	58.2	58.52	61.01	61.5	65	67.4(5.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	89	420	93	75	3.97	76%	0.78	60.5	3.94%	0	2.8	61	NAN
14	Nov_26_2004	39.59	57.45	57.54	58.29	58.37	61.45	64.04(5.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	63	370	73	31	2.19	75%	0.76	47.2	3.9%	0	2.4	61	NAN
15	Nov_24_2004	39.29	56.96	57.03	56.83	56.35	57.99	60.87(4.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	37	180	49	1	1.75	75%	0.61	57.4	3.87%	0	1.8	52	NAN

16	Nov_23_2004	39.05	56.7	56.51	55.89	55.59	55.29	58.01(6.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-50	13	-35	1.92	71%	0.49	72.5	3.86%	0	0.6	49	NAN
17	Nov_22_2004	38.86	56.42	56.69	55.37	55.53	54.72	54.72(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-90	-20	-43	1.47	70%	0.47	75.6	3.88%	0	-0.7	53	NAN
18	Nov_19_2004	38.68	56.29	57.12	55.61	55.87	55.9	53.82(-5.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	20	-17	-30	1.99	71%	0.44	94.3	3.9%	0	-0.9	50	NAN
19	Nov_18_2004	38.51	56.21	57.48	56.6	56.2	56.35	56.72(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-0	-4	-1	1.99	75%	0.5	100.2	3.83%	0	0.1	60	NAN
20	Nov_17_2004	38.32	55.71	57.74	57.25	56.86	55.84	56.17(1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-150	-6	20	1.48	75%	0.45	91.4	3.89%	0	0.1	55	NAN

21	Nov_16_2004	38.15	55.11	58.02	57.23	57.3	56.05	55.41(-0.95%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-23	-150	-36	15	0.78	76%	0.42	87.1	3.9%	0	0.1	51	NAN
22	Nov_15_2004	37.99	54.61	58.01	58.21	57.84	57.87	55.94(-4.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-20	-20	43	2.04	76%	0.48	86.6	3.94%	0	0.2	59	NAN
23	Nov_12_2004	37.81	53.88	58	58.82	58.7	58.55	58.77(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-20	15	79	1.62	79%	0.56	83.5	3.88%	0	0.8	65	NAN
24	Nov_11_2004	37.6	52.97	57.45	58.46	58.43	57.81	59.97(6.97%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-80	-13	69	3.38	79%	0.62	78.8	3.89%	0	1	66	NAN
25	Nov_10_2004	37.37	52	56.91	58.36	58.53	58.85	56.06(-7.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	50	-10	97	3.44	78%		76	3.83%	0	0.6	71	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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