Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 21, 2004

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $34.3500 (5.08%) ($32.6300 - $34.3500) on Tue. Sep. 21, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.39% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $34.3500(5.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    QQQ(19%)    SPY(18%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    LQD(-1%)    REMX(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.695% (StdDev 3.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.18(3.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.11(6.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.66(8.5%)
To recent high   -12.6%
To recent low   26.2%
Market Cap   $1.385b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 3.57% (three month std-dev: 3.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2004	33.26	31.66	32.11	33.18	33.22	33.27	34.35(5.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	10	11	63	0.66	52%	-0.06	46.2	3.39%	0	2.4	67	NAN
2	Sep_20_2004	33.28	31.49	31.8	32.77	33.03	33.14	32.69(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	50	7	56	0.44	49%	-0.09	54.6	3.34%	0	1.3	62	NAN
3	Sep_17_2004	33.31	31.47	31.6	32.53	32.72	33.18	32.99(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	120	19	48	0.4	49%	-0.12	74.8	3.34%	0	1.6	55	NAN
4	Sep_16_2004	33.35	31.38	31.48	31.98	32.16	32.91	33(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	180	29	38	0.96	49%	-0.18	83.2	3.34%	0	1.8	57	NAN
5	Sep_15_2004	33.41	31.3	31.31	31.36	31.4	32.25	32.85(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	25	190	27	17	1.17	49%	-0.21	88.3	3.34%	0	1.9	55	NAN

6	Sep_14_2004	33.48	31.14	31.08	30.89	30.77	31.4	32.33(2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	14	130	18	-0	0.67	49%	-0.09	78.7	3.37%	0	1.5	60	NAN
7	Sep_13_2004	33.51	30.98	30.89	30.71	30.55	30.56	31.49(4.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	-10	9	-12	0.45	49%	-0.12	70.7	3.36%	0	0.6	52	NAN
8	Sep_10_2004	33.55	30.78	30.91	30.55	30.58	30.14	30.25(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-100	-15	-32	0.37	47%	-0.12	44.4	3.34%	0	-0.4	39	NAN
9	Sep_9_2004	33.59	30.67	31.03	30.91	30.85	30.54	29.89(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-80	-17	-22	0.43	47%	-0.15	36	3.34%	0	-0.6	45	NAN
10	Sep_8_2004	33.64	30.61	31.21	31.23	31.25	31.02	30.48(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4	-50	-3	-6	0.24	47%	-0.09	29.1	3.37%	0	-0.1	46	NAN

11	Sep_7_2004	33.67	30.54	31.2	31.26	31.35	31.15	31.45(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1	-40	-1	-1	0.31	47%	-0.09	15.1	3.35%	0	0.6	59	NAN
12	Sep_3_2004	33.7	30.36	31.17	31.08	31.23	31.49	30.68(-4.24%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-4	70	-6	3	0.34	47%	-0.09	-5.1	3.33%	0	0.2	60	NAN
13	Sep_2_2004	33.73	30.25	31.36	31.31	31.26	31.55	32.04(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	60	11	47	0.24	49%	-0.09	-17.3	3.3%	0	1.1	71	NAN
14	Sep_1_2004	33.76	30.18	31.36	31.19	31.28	31.55	31.52(2.97%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	-60	-1	59	0.46	49%	-0.09	-28.7	3.3%	0	0.8	67	NAN
15	Aug_31_2004	33.79	30.2	31.29	31.2	31.32	30.97	30.61(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-70	-10	76	0.28	49%	-0.15	-30.7	3.27%	0	0.2	61	NAN

16	Aug_30_2004	33.84	30.31	31.22	31.14	31.45	31.59	30.56(-3.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	60	-2	84	0.26	49%	-0.09	-33.6	3.3%	0	0.1	59	NAN
17	Aug_27_2004	33.87	30.44	31.08	31.25	31.31	31.67	31.81(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	90	2	99	0.31	51%	0	-33.7	3.28%	0	0.7	67	NAN
18	Aug_26_2004	33.87	30.53	30.65	31.43	31.29	31.31	31.44(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10	4	103	0.31	51%	-0.03	-30.1	3.28%	0	0.4	62	NAN
19	Aug_25_2004	33.88	30.65	30.29	31.42	31.45	30.96	31.58(4.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-110	-6	83	0.48	55%	0	-26.8	3.28%	0	0.4	52	NAN
20	Aug_24_2004	33.88	30.73	29.98	31.43	31.58	31.26	30.29(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-60	-8	62	0.47	53%	-0.06	-20.2	3.36%	0	-0.2	44	NAN

21	Aug_23_2004	33.9	30.95	29.84	31.3	31.61	31.95	31.12(-4.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	110	15	42	1.04	53%	-0.03	-17	3.37%	0	0.1	42	NAN
22	Aug_20_2004	33.91	31.14	29.5	30.84	31.04	31.89	32.71(4.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	210	40	5	0.41	56%	0.06	-14.9	3.31%	0	0.6	45	NAN
23	Aug_19_2004	33.89	31.2	29.04	29.75	30.04	31.28	31.4(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	15	320	41	-63	0.6	54%	0.06	-25.8	3.31%	0	0.1	38	NAN
24	Aug_18_2004	33.87	31.26	29.04	29	29.04	30.19	31.61(6.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	280	42	-105	1.16	54%	0.03	-36.8	3.31%	0	0.1	39	NAN
25	Aug_17_2004	33.86	31.23	28.94	28.37	28.27	28.79	29.67(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-21	120	21	-146	0.41	47%		-47.5	3.22%	0	-0.6	33	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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