Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 4, 2004

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $32.1600 (-3.39%) ($31.8500 - $33.3800) on Wed. Aug. 4, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.31% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $32.1600(-3.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(20%)    EEM(19%)    QQQ(19%)    SPY(18%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    LQD(-1%)    REMX(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.655% (StdDev 3.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $24.79(-22.92%)
Resistance Level   $33.95
5 Day Moving Average   $33.5(-4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.85(-4.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.95(-5.27%)
To recent high   -18.1%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $1.297b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 4.74% (three month std-dev: 3.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 4.52%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 5.2%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.85%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2004	33.88	33.95	33.85	33.5	33.54	33	32.16(-3.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-11	-110	-17	7	0.56	39%	0.12	-54.4	3.31%	0	-1.1	43	NAN
2	Aug_3_2004	33.84	34.2	33.77	33.8	33.82	33.61	33.29(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-10	-40	-14	3	0.33	40%	0.15	-53.9	3.28%	0	-0.6	50	NAN
3	Aug_2_2004	33.79	34.38	33.75	34.13	33.92	34.07	33.55(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	10	-9	10	0.35	40%	0.15	-54.7	3.31%	0	-0.5	50	NAN
4	Jul_30_2004	33.74	34.54	33.57	34.51	34.2	34.03	34.24(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-60	1	7	0.32	40%	0.21	-50	3.33%	0	-0.2	47	NAN
5	Jul_29_2004	33.67	34.67	33.55	34.54	34.5	33.77	34.26(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-150	-5	-7	0.3	40%	0.15	-49.4	3.38%	0	-0.2	43	NAN

6	Jul_28_2004	33.62	34.85	33.59	34.26	34.57	34.38	33.65(-3.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	-10	2	-20	0.54	40%	0	-48.7	3.4%	0	-0.6	42	NAN
7	Jul_27_2004	33.62	35.12	33.6	33.69	34.01	35.23	34.93(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	280	21	-46	0.46	48%	0.03	-45.1	3.37%	0	-0.1	43	NAN
8	Jul_26_2004	33.61	35.31	33.49	33.3	33.2	34.77	35.46(3.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	22	320	48	-56	0.78	48%	0.09	-37.9	3.56%	0	0.1	46	NAN
9	Jul_23_2004	33.58	35.43	33.44	32.51	32.45	32.79	34.42(4.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	70	20	-96	1.26	48%	0.09	-38.8	3.54%	0	-0.4	43	NAN
10	Jul_22_2004	33.55	35.6	33.64	32.47	32.14	31.63	32.82(6.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-45	-140	-21	-117	1.06	45%	0.03	-32.8	3.51%	0	-1.1	36	NAN

11	Jul_21_2004	33.54	35.84	34	32.88	32.96	32.1	30.82(-6.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-48	-180	-24	-118	0.85	40%	0	-24.8	3.41%	0	-2.1	25	NAN
12	Jul_20_2004	33.54	36.11	34.66	33.48	33.58	32.64	33(4.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-190	-25	-115	0.74	44%	0.06	-19.2	3.31%	0	-1.5	26	NAN
13	Jul_19_2004	33.52	36.22	35.05	33.69	33.91	33.82	31.48(-8.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-52	0	-28	-122	1.07	45%	0.09	-15.2	3.29%	0	-2.4	17	NAN
14	Jul_16_2004	33.49	36.39	35.62	34.46	34.32	34.51	34.22(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	30	-5	-100	0.74	52%	0.21	-5.4	3.22%	0	-1.3	32	NAN
15	Jul_15_2004	33.42	36.42	35.92	34.99	34.64	34.01	34.9(3.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-160	-14	-95	0.42	52%	0.24	3.2	3.22%	0	-0.9	35	NAN

16	Jul_14_2004	33.34	36.43	36.24	35.33	35.26	34.14	33.78(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-50	-230	-36	-93	0.85	49%	0.21	6.5	3.21%	0	-1.6	32	NAN
17	Jul_13_2004	33.27	36.51	36.78	36.04	35.9	35.28	34.07(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-40	-130	-34	-58	1.08	49%	0.3	18	3.2%	0	-1.5	46	NAN
18	Jul_12_2004	33.17	36.52	37.32	36.61	36.59	36.39	35.34(-4.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-40	-10	-13	0.43	61%	0.39	23.7	3.2%	0	-0.7	59	NAN
19	Jul_9_2004	33.04	36.48	37.61	36.92	36.81	36.53	36.87(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-60	-6	15	0.29	65%	0.46	29.1	3.47%	0	0.2	69	NAN
20	Jul_8_2004	32.89	36.36	37.72	36.98	36.89	36.8	36.57(-2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-20	-12	29	0.58	65%	0.4	26.7	3.5%	0	0.1	66	NAN

21	Jul_7_2004	32.76	36.33	37.82	37.3	37.21	37.09	37.36(1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-30	-7	52	0.33	65%	0.55	32.9	3.48%	0	0.6	66	NAN
22	Jul_6_2004	32.58	36.22	37.68	37.68	37.49	36.98	36.89(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-110	-18	63	0.27	65%	0.62	40	3.48%	0	0.4	65	NAN
23	Jul_2_2004	32.38	36.13	37.49	38.16	38.13	37.33	36.93(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-150	-17	82	0.26	65%	0.59	50.4	3.51%	0	0.5	70	NAN
24	Jul_1_2004	32.19	36	37.24	38.38	38.66	38	37.14(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-100	-17	90	0.39	65%	0.59	54.2	3.54%	0	0.6	66	NAN
25	Jun_30_2004	32	35.9	36.99	38.54	38.83	38.93	38.18(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	40	-2	105	0.6	65%		62.3	3.49%	0	1.3	71	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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