Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 9, 2004

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $36.8700 (0.82%) ($36.1600 - $37.3800) on Fri. Jul. 9, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.47% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $36.8700(0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(20%)    EEM(19%)    QQQ(19%)    SPY(18%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    LQD(-1%)    REMX(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.735% (StdDev 3.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.92(-0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.61(-1.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.48(1.07%)
To recent high   -6.1%
To recent low   23.2%
Market Cap   $1.487b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 4.61% (three month std-dev: 3.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_9_2004	33.04	36.48	37.61	36.92	36.81	36.53	36.87(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-60	-6	15	0.29	65%	0.46	29.1	3.47%	0	0.2	69	NAN
2	Jul_8_2004	32.89	36.36	37.72	36.98	36.89	36.8	36.57(-2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-20	-12	29	0.58	65%	0.4	26.7	3.5%	0	0.1	66	NAN
3	Jul_7_2004	32.76	36.33	37.82	37.3	37.21	37.09	37.36(1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-30	-7	52	0.33	65%	0.55	32.9	3.48%	0	0.6	66	NAN
4	Jul_6_2004	32.58	36.22	37.68	37.68	37.49	36.98	36.89(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-110	-18	63	0.27	65%	0.62	40	3.48%	0	0.4	65	NAN
5	Jul_2_2004	32.38	36.13	37.49	38.16	38.13	37.33	36.93(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-150	-17	82	0.26	65%	0.59	50.4	3.51%	0	0.5	70	NAN

6	Jul_1_2004	32.19	36	37.24	38.38	38.66	38	37.14(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-100	-17	90	0.39	65%	0.59	54.2	3.54%	0	0.6	66	NAN
7	Jun_30_2004	32	35.9	36.99	38.54	38.83	38.93	38.18(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	40	-2	105	0.6	65%	0.66	62.3	3.49%	0	1.3	71	NAN
8	Jun_29_2004	31.79	35.74	36.67	38.39	38.64	39.33	39.25(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	140	26	111	0.5	65%	0.7	73.9	3.47%	0	2.1	65	NAN
9	Jun_28_2004	31.57	35.52	36.21	37.68	37.91	38.73	39.28(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	170	34	95	0.51	65%	0.7	84	3.48%	0	2.5	67	NAN
10	Jun_25_2004	31.35	35.26	35.63	36.73	37.01	37.96	38.07(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	200	34	64	0.65	68%	0.71	99.4	3.47%	0	2.3	65	NAN

11	Jun_24_2004	31.13	35.05	35.22	35.93	36.02	37.09	37.94(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	35	220	33	41	0.41	68%	0.68	110.3	3.52%	0	2.8	67	NAN
12	Jun_23_2004	30.92	34.82	34.84	35.21	35.2	36.07	37.4(4.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	25	170	28	16	0.46	68%	0.65	130.7	3.54%	0	3.1	58	NAN
13	Jun_22_2004	30.72	34.52	34.64	34.71	34.73	34.95	35.69(3.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	10	50	13	-1	0.53	65%	0.62	160.6	3.51%	0	1.9	52	NAN
14	Jun_21_2004	30.53	34.27	34.58	34.54	34.57	34.33	34.55(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-50	0	-10	0.27	65%	0.56	96.3	3.53%	0	0.3	46	NAN
15	Jun_18_2004	30.36	34.06	34.62	34.35	34.58	34.51	34.08(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	10	-4	-15	0.22	65%	0.43	57.8	3.53%	0	0	49	NAN

16	Jun_17_2004	30.23	33.93	34.65	34.35	34.46	34.82	34.34(-1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	80	2	-11	0.11	69%	0.5	44.6	3.58%	0	0.3	54	NAN
17	Jun_16_2004	30.08	33.77	34.74	34.38	34.48	34.65	34.89(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	40	4	-3	0.13	69%	0.5	37.9	3.72%	0	0.6	60	NAN
18	Jun_15_2004	29.93	33.55	34.76	34.57	34.56	34.1	34.84(3.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-90	-7	13	0.32	69%	0.57	35	3.73%	0	0.7	71	NAN
19	Jun_14_2004	29.76	33.41	34.79	34.66	34.9	34.32	33.6(-1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-100	-17	32	0.26	69%	0.92	26	3.77%	0	0.1	72	NAN
20	Jun_10_2004	29.49	33.33	34.79	34.66	35.27	35.03	34.22(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-20	-6	62	0.27	57%	0.55	16.7	3.92%	0	0.5	77	NAN

21	Jun_9_2004	29.33	33.22	34.89	34.94	35.3	35.47	34.37(-4.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	60	-2	72	0.28	57%	0.55	2.4	4.27%	0	0.6	69	NAN
22	Jun_8_2004	29.17	33.13	34.84	35.12	35.22	35.51	35.82(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	70	7	94	0.32	57%	0.24	-4.3	4.24%	0	1.4	76	NAN
23	Jun_7_2004	29.1	32.93	34.42	34.99	35.13	35.12	35.31(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	10	3	97	0.22	57%	0.66	-17.4	4.25%	0	1.3	78	NAN
24	Jun_4_2004	28.91	32.92	33.96	34.96	35.07	34.93	34.96(2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-20	-1	90	0.3	57%	0.59	-17.2	4.26%	0	1.1	63	NAN
25	Jun_3_2004	28.74	33.01	33.48	34.86	35.04	35.15	34.24(-2.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	40	1	84	0.26	57%		-15.8	4.25%	0	0.6	61	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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