Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ OSTK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 29, 2004

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $39.2500 (-0.08%) ($38.8600 - $40.8000) on Tue. Jun. 29, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.47% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $39.2500(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(20%)    EEM(19%)    QQQ(19%)    SPY(18%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    LQD(-1%)    REMX(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.735% (StdDev 3.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.39(2.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.67(7.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.74(9.82%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   31.2%
Market Cap   $1.583b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 4.76% (three month std-dev: 3.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040729

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_29_2004	31.79	35.74	36.67	38.39	38.64	39.33	39.25(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	140	26	111	0.5	65%	0.7	73.9	3.47%	0	2.1	65	0
2	Jun_28_2004	31.57	35.52	36.21	37.68	37.91	38.73	39.28(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	170	34	95	0.51	65%	0.7	84	3.48%	0	2.5	67	0
3	Jun_25_2004	31.35	35.26	35.63	36.73	37.01	37.96	38.07(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	200	34	64	0.65	68%	0.71	99.4	3.47%	0	2.3	65	0
4	Jun_24_2004	31.13	35.05	35.22	35.93	36.02	37.09	37.94(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	35	220	33	41	0.41	68%	0.68	110.3	3.52%	0	2.8	67	0
5	Jun_23_2004	30.92	34.82	34.84	35.21	35.2	36.07	37.4(4.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	25	170	28	16	0.46	68%	0.65	130.7	3.54%	0	3.1	58	0

6	Jun_22_2004	30.72	34.52	34.64	34.71	34.73	34.95	35.69(3.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	10	50	13	-1	0.53	65%	0.62	160.6	3.51%	0	1.9	52	0
7	Jun_21_2004	30.53	34.27	34.58	34.54	34.57	34.33	34.55(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-50	0	-10	0.27	65%	0.56	96.3	3.53%	0	0.3	46	0
8	Jun_18_2004	30.36	34.06	34.62	34.35	34.58	34.51	34.08(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	10	-4	-15	0.22	65%	0.43	57.8	3.53%	0	0	49	0
9	Jun_17_2004	30.23	33.93	34.65	34.35	34.46	34.82	34.34(-1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	80	2	-11	0.11	69%	0.5	44.6	3.58%	0	0.3	54	0
10	Jun_16_2004	30.08	33.77	34.74	34.38	34.48	34.65	34.89(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	40	4	-3	0.13	69%	0.5	37.9	3.72%	0	0.6	60	0

11	Jun_15_2004	29.93	33.55	34.76	34.57	34.56	34.1	34.84(3.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-90	-7	13	0.32	69%	0.57	35	3.73%	0	0.7	71	0
12	Jun_14_2004	29.76	33.41	34.79	34.66	34.9	34.32	33.6(-1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-100	-17	32	0.26	69%	0.92	26	3.77%	0	0.1	72	0
13	Jun_10_2004	29.49	33.33	34.79	34.66	35.27	35.03	34.22(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-20	-6	62	0.27	57%	0.55	16.7	3.92%	0	0.5	77	0
14	Jun_9_2004	29.33	33.22	34.89	34.94	35.3	35.47	34.37(-4.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	60	-2	72	0.28	57%	0.55	2.4	4.27%	0	0.6	69	0
15	Jun_8_2004	29.17	33.13	34.84	35.12	35.22	35.51	35.82(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	70	7	94	0.32	57%	0.24	-4.3	4.24%	0	1.4	76	0

16	Jun_7_2004	29.1	32.93	34.42	34.99	35.13	35.12	35.31(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	10	3	97	0.22	57%	0.66	-17.4	4.25%	0	1.3	78	0
17	Jun_4_2004	28.91	32.92	33.96	34.96	35.07	34.93	34.96(2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-20	-1	90	0.3	57%	0.59	-17.2	4.26%	0	1.1	63	0
18	Jun_3_2004	28.74	33.01	33.48	34.86	35.04	35.15	34.24(-2.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	40	1	84	0.26	57%	0.67	-15.8	4.25%	0	0.6	61	0
19	Jun_2_2004	28.55	33.17	33.17	34.82	34.87	35.21	35.27(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	70	10	86	0.28	57%	0.71	-15.5	4.24%	0	0.9	66	0
20	Jun_1_2004	28.35	33.21	32.74	34.5	34.48	34.94	35.18(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	90	20	77	0.32	60%	1.07	-23.1	4.24%	0	0.8	60	0

21	May_28_2004	28.05	33.25	32.24	33.74	33.85	34.53	35.14(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	150	25	53	0.31	60%	0.61	-29.9	4.38%	0	0.8	63	0
22	May_27_2004	27.88	33.24	31.9	32.79	32.93	34.02	34.46(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	240	29	17	0.43	60%	0.58	-38.9	4.41%	0	0.5	43	0
23	May_26_2004	27.72	33.35	31.6	31.88	31.92	33.18	34.07(1.22%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	15	280	29	-26	0.48	60%	0.58	-40.4	4.44%	0	0.3	37	0
24	May_25_2004	27.56	33.54	31.36	31.27	31.12	31.85	33.66(7.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	150	23	-65	0.57	60%	0.55	-37.1	4.44%	0	0	34	0
25	May_24_2004	27.41	33.78	31.21	30.75	30.81	30.67	31.38(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	-30	7	-99	0.24	60%		-34.4	4.39%	0	-0.8	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.