Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ OSTK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 18, 2004

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $31.0400 (2.44%) ($29.7800 - $31.3400) on Tue. May. 18, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.59% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $31.0400(2.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -7.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(20%)    IWM(20%)    QQQ(19%)    SPY(19%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    LQD(-1%)    REMX(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.295% (StdDev 4.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.5(-40.4%)
Resistance Level   $34.7
5 Day Moving Average   $31.44(-1.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.18(-6.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.7(-10.55%)
To recent high   -20.5%
To recent low   41%
Market Cap   $1.252b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 7.38% (three month std-dev: 4.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2004	27.02	34.7	33.18	31.44	31.19	30.71	31.04(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-130	-11	-105	0.5	64%	0.41	-29.7	4.59%	0	-1.4	28	0
2	May_17_2004	26.91	34.86	33.73	31.76	31.53	31.08	30.3(-5.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-35	-120	-13	-101	0.67	68%	0.37	-29.1	4.89%	0	-1.9	23	0
3	May_14_2004	26.81	35.13	34.37	32.1	32.03	31.67	32.06(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-32	-90	-13	-88	1.01	70%	0.22	-28.8	5.19%	0	-1.4	42	0
4	May_13_2004	26.75	35.21	34.73	32.83	32.35	31.99	31.85(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-120	-24	-81	0.49	70%	0.41	-18.8	5.23%	0	-1.6	43	0
5	May_12_2004	26.64	35.33	35.27	33.99	33.56	32.39	31.95(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-280	-25	-55	0.85	70%	0.53	-0.9	5.24%	0	-1.7	48	0

6	May_11_2004	26.5	35.47	35.94	35.22	35	32.71	32.62(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-32	-480	-34	-26	0.56	70%	0.57	23.8	5.25%	0	-1.5	49	0
7	May_10_2004	26.35	35.59	36.59	36.01	36.17	34.72	32(-10.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-29	-270	-39	1	2.29	70%	0.53	42.2	5.24%	0	-2	49	0
8	May_7_2004	26.21	35.79	36.59	36.92	37.05	37.3	35.73(-5.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	60	-2	36	0.47	76%	0.73	74.6	5%	0	-0	54	0
9	May_6_2004	26.02	35.62	37.04	36.85	36.99	37.62	37.63(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	130	11	48	0.4	79%	0.74	70.9	4.97%	0	1.1	67	0
10	May_5_2004	25.83	35.35	36.71	36.76	36.69	36.8	38.1(4.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	20	2	46	0.64	79%	0.78	72	4.96%	0	1.4	65	0

11	May_4_2004	25.63	35.03	36.33	36.85	36.91	36.36	36.61(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-100	-12	44	0.73	79%	0.79	75.6	4.95%	0	0.8	59	0
12	May_3_2004	25.43	34.83	36.07	37.33	37.6	36.59	36.54(3.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-170	-9	54	0.47	79%	0.71	89.8	4.99%	0	0.9	59	0
13	Apr_30_2004	25.25	34.59	35.93	37.33	37.92	37.46	35.38(-4.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-30	-11	49	0.61	70%	0.68	91.4	5.02%	0	0.4	50	0
14	Apr_29_2004	25.08	34.36	35.73	37.18	37.77	38.61	37.16(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	200	13	62	0.75	70%	0.84	89.7	5.18%	0	1.3	67	0
15	Apr_28_2004	24.87	34.01	35.38	36.59	36.98	38.38	38.54(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	300	30	65	1.03	70%	0.85	87.2	5.15%	0	2	72	0

16	Apr_27_2004	24.66	33.6	34.94	35.72	35.86	36.93	39.02(8.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	37	220	30	58	1.38	71%	0.86	88.1	5.14%	0	2.5	74	0
17	Apr_26_2004	24.45	33.14	34.43	34.68	34.94	35.57	35.8(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	150	10	36	0.48	69%	0.78	90	5.1%	0	1.4	62	0
18	Apr_23_2004	24.26	32.81	34.38	34.54	34.74	34.79	35.39(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	30	11	48	1.14	69%	0.71	85	5.11%	0	1.3	65	0
19	Apr_22_2004	24.09	32.47	34.06	34.08	34.55	34.31	34.22(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10	-1	40	0.87	69%	0.67	73.1	5.12%	0	0.9	67	0
20	Apr_21_2004	23.93	32.13	33.86	33.97	34.33	34.69	34.17(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	110	-2	45	0.39	69%	0.63	56.2	5.12%	0	0.9	67	0

21	Apr_20_2004	23.78	31.82	33.62	34.01	34.4	34.8	33.81(-3.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	120	9	56	0.86	69%	0.81	53.5	5.12%	0	0.8	65	0
22	Apr_19_2004	23.59	31.54	33.52	34.12	34.08	33.97	35.12(6.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	14	-30	-3	64	0.59	69%	0.86	55.6	5.09%	0	1.5	71	0
23	Apr_16_2004	23.39	31.24	33.16	34.23	34.35	34	33.09(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	20	-60	-0	79	0.42	68%	0.43	60.9	5.09%	0	0.8	70	0
24	Apr_15_2004	23.29	31.05	32.92	34.01	34.5	34.18	33.64(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-20	1	84	0.35	70%	0.91	63.3	5.08%	0	1.1	75	0
25	Apr_14_2004	23.08	30.89	32.59	33.69	34.12	34.69	34.37(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	160	8	92	0.57	70%		64.7	5.21%	0	1.5	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.