Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 6, 2004

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $37.6300 (-1.23%) ($36.7200 - $38.8100) on Thu. May. 6, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.97% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $37.6300(-1.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(20%)    IWM(20%)    QQQ(19%)    SPY(19%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    LQD(-1%)    REMX(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.485% (StdDev 4.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.85(2.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.04(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.62(5.64%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   114.4%
Market Cap   $1.518b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 5.19% (three month std-dev: 4.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040606

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_6_2004	26.02	35.62	37.04	36.85	36.99	37.62	37.63(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	130	11	48	0.4	79%	0.74	70.9	4.97%	0	1.1	67	0
2	May_5_2004	25.83	35.35	36.71	36.76	36.69	36.8	38.1(4.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	20	2	46	0.64	79%	0.78	72	4.96%	0	1.4	65	0
3	May_4_2004	25.63	35.03	36.33	36.85	36.91	36.36	36.61(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-100	-12	44	0.73	79%	0.79	75.6	4.95%	0	0.8	59	0
4	May_3_2004	25.43	34.83	36.07	37.33	37.6	36.59	36.54(3.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-170	-9	54	0.47	79%	0.71	89.8	4.99%	0	0.9	59	0
5	Apr_30_2004	25.25	34.59	35.93	37.33	37.92	37.46	35.38(-4.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-30	-11	49	0.61	70%	0.68	91.4	5.02%	0	0.4	50	0

6	Apr_29_2004	25.08	34.36	35.73	37.18	37.77	38.61	37.16(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	200	13	62	0.75	70%	0.84	89.7	5.18%	0	1.3	67	0
7	Apr_28_2004	24.87	34.01	35.38	36.59	36.98	38.38	38.54(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	300	30	65	1.03	70%	0.85	87.2	5.15%	0	2	72	0
8	Apr_27_2004	24.66	33.6	34.94	35.72	35.86	36.93	39.02(8.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	37	220	30	58	1.38	71%	0.86	88.1	5.14%	0	2.5	74	0
9	Apr_26_2004	24.45	33.14	34.43	34.68	34.94	35.57	35.8(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	150	10	36	0.48	69%	0.78	90	5.1%	0	1.4	62	0
10	Apr_23_2004	24.26	32.81	34.38	34.54	34.74	34.79	35.39(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	30	11	48	1.14	69%	0.71	85	5.11%	0	1.3	65	0

11	Apr_22_2004	24.09	32.47	34.06	34.08	34.55	34.31	34.22(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10	-1	40	0.87	69%	0.67	73.1	5.12%	0	0.9	67	0
12	Apr_21_2004	23.93	32.13	33.86	33.97	34.33	34.69	34.17(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	110	-2	45	0.39	69%	0.63	56.2	5.12%	0	0.9	67	0
13	Apr_20_2004	23.78	31.82	33.62	34.01	34.4	34.8	33.81(-3.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	120	9	56	0.86	69%	0.81	53.5	5.12%	0	0.8	65	0
14	Apr_19_2004	23.59	31.54	33.52	34.12	34.08	33.97	35.12(6.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	14	-30	-3	64	0.59	69%	0.86	55.6	5.09%	0	1.5	71	0
15	Apr_16_2004	23.39	31.24	33.16	34.23	34.35	34	33.09(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	20	-60	-0	79	0.42	68%	0.43	60.9	5.09%	0	0.8	70	0

16	Apr_15_2004	23.29	31.05	32.92	34.01	34.5	34.18	33.64(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-20	1	84	0.35	70%	0.91	63.3	5.08%	0	1.1	75	0
17	Apr_14_2004	23.08	30.89	32.59	33.69	34.12	34.69	34.37(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	160	8	92	0.57	70%	0.92	64.7	5.21%	0	1.5	82	0
18	Apr_13_2004	22.87	30.58	32.19	33.15	33.6	34.83	34.39(-3.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	300	21	98	0.79	68%	0.97	47.9	5.21%	0	1.8	77	0
19	Apr_12_2004	22.65	30.23	31.75	32.81	32.86	33.55	35.67(11.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	42	150	23	100	1.87	68%	1.52	32.9	5.26%	0	2.7	78	0
20	Apr_8_2004	22.31	29.87	31.07	31.99	32.49	32.36	32(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	20	8	79	0.28	61%	0.86	17.3	5.18%	0	1.3	63	0

21	Apr_7_2004	22.12	29.64	30.73	31.67	32.09	32.17	32.04(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	60	3	70	0.27	61%	0.91	-0.4	5.18%	0	1.5	63	0
22	Apr_6_2004	21.92	29.5	30.25	31.29	31.68	32.63	31.65(-3.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	250	12	53	0.24	61%	0.83	-12	5.18%	0	1.2	53	0
23	Apr_5_2004	21.74	29.5	29.87	31.05	31.14	32.01	32.71(3.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	200	23	51	0.45	61%	0.88	-8	5.17%	0	1.7	66	0
24	Apr_2_2004	21.55	29.58	29.4	30.52	30.53	30.74	31.57(3.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	50	13	39	0.29	61%	0.84	-10.8	5.16%	0	1.1	66	0
25	Apr_1_2004	21.37	29.59	29.15	30.02	30.21	30.27	30.37(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	30	6	26	0.29	61%		-9.2	5.18%	0	0.4	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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