Trading Signals: ORLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ORLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 20, 2022

Trading Signals: ORLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(O'Reilly Automotive Inc)
ORLY latest price $647.7200 (-1.76%) ($646.4350 - $669.7700) on Thu. Jan. 20, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $647.7200(-1.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ORLY declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ORLY declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ORLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    SPLV(48%)    SDY(46%)    IVE(45%)    IWD(44%)
Factors Impacting ORLY price   ORLY will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-5%)    USO(-5%)    TBT(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV -2.8 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $684.87
5 Day Moving Average   $668.03(-3.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $675.65(-4.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $684.87(-5.42%)
To recent high   -8.5%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $47.995b

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. owns and operates retail outlets in the United States. It engages in the distribution and retailing of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the U.S., serving both professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. The company provides new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, including alternators, starters, fuel pumps, water pumps, brake system components, batteries, belts, hoses, temperature controls, chassis parts and engine parts; maintenance items comprising oil, antifreeze products, fluids, filters, wiper blades, lighting products, engine additives, and appearance products; and accessories, such as floor mats, seat covers, and truck accessories. Its stores offer auto body paint and related materials, automotive tools and professional service provider service equipment. The company stores also offer enhanced services and programs comprising used oil, oil filter and battery recycling; battery, wiper, and bulb replacement; battery diagnostic testing; electrical and module testing; check engine light code extraction; loaner tool program; drum and rotor resurfacing; custom hydraulic hoses; professional paint shop mixing and related materials; and machine shops. Its stores provide do-it-yourself and professional service provider customers a selection of brand name, house brands, and private label products for domestic and imported automobiles, vans, and trucks. O'Reilly Automotive was founded by Charles F. O'Reilly and Charles H. O'Reilly, Sr. in November 1957 and is headquartered in Springfield, MO.

$. ORLY price fluctuates within 2.29% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 1.82%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.24%(44%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 2.87%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.57%(48%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 3.47%(74%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.39%(26%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2022	644.02	684.87	675.65	668.03	664.22	656.07	647.72(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-397	-100	-440	-269	0.49	48%	0.09	-23.1	1.4%	-2.8	-2.4	30	-2.2
2	Jan_19_2022	643.44	686.53	679.62	675.22	673.25	662.55	659.3(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-449	-120	-503	-285	0.52	50%	0.11	-10.1	1.38%	-1	-2.1	31	-1.6
3	Jan_18_2022	642.75	687.42	683.64	679.67	679.6	672.37	665.88(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-450	-70	-509	-273	0.44	52%	0.19	-0.6	1.38%	-1.1	-1.9	39	-1.1
4	Jan_14_2022	641.52	688.1	686.7	681.44	683.52	683.95	678.86(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-97	10	-95	-102	0.49	56%	0.13	1.3	1.36%	-1.6	-0.8	45	0.3
5	Jan_13_2022	640.71	688.59	689.39	682.27	682.94	686.83	688.41(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	109	40	142	10	0.29	58%	0.13	9.6	1.36%	1	-0	55	0.3

6	Jan_12_2022	639.87	688.53	690.66	684.79	682.51	683.1	683.64(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	43	-0	58	-3	0.28	58%	0.14	21.7	1.36%	1	-0.5	53	1
7	Jan_11_2022	639	687.86	693.03	685.02	686.59	679.05	681.56(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-135	-70	-156	-70	0.34	58%	0.13	18.8	1.36%	0.5	-0.5	55	0.8
8	Jan_10_2022	638.2	687.51	694.7	688.48	688.54	681.93	674.72(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-480	-70	-570	-209	0.39	58%	0.11	30.7	1.36%	-1.1	-1.1	54	1
9	Jan_7_2022	637.49	687.96	696.78	692.62	693.61	694.14	683.04(-2.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-83	10	-111	0	0.27	58%	0.13	50.6	1.35%	-1.9	-0.4	56	0.7
10	Jan_6_2022	636.66	687.54	696.76	697.35	696.47	695.14	700.97(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	-20	41	76	0.31	61%	0.17	65.7	1.31%	0.7	1.1	56	0.7

11	Jan_5_2022	635.61	686.19	694.83	697.58	698.12	693.08	684.82(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-222	-50	-278	-52	0.42	60%	0.14	81.9	1.29%	-2.6	-0.1	50	0.9
12	Jan_4_2022	634.73	685.65	694.2	702.24	701.8	697.79	698.86(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-205	-40	-266	-21	0.39	61%	0.15	103.8	1.27%	-0.1	1.1	67	1.4
13	Jan_3_2022	633.75	683.81	691.71	701.9	704.09	703.17	695.4(-1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-51	0	-85	52	0.28	61%	0.16	105.8	1.28%	-1	0.9	63	1.4
14	Dec_31_2021	632.72	682.06	689.85	701.38	703.37	705.81	706.69(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	150	30	152	143	0.21	64%	0.18	109	1.27%	1.7	1.8	61	1.3
15	Dec_30_2021	631.59	679.59	687.72	695.93	698.78	705.01	702.11(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	288	70	318	199	0.23	60%	0.16	105.6	1.27%	0.2	1.7	64	1.4

16	Dec_29_2021	630.56	676.38	686.04	691.63	692.53	700.92	708.13(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	423	90	479	255	0.25	62%	0.18	80.9	1.31%	1.7	2.1	66	1.4
17	Dec_28_2021	629.44	672.91	681.89	685.08	686.21	692.54	697.17(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	383	70	440	212	0.23	59%	0.16	68.3	1.32%	1.2	1.6	63	1.4
18	Dec_27_2021	628.43	670.24	679.3	680.15	681.31	684.14	692.81(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	229	30	262	130	0.32	59%	0.18	62	1.33%	1.8	1.5	67	1.3
19	Dec_23_2021	627.28	667.47	678	676.75	677.12	679.88	679.42(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	70	30	74	57	0.26	57%	0.12	51.5	1.31%	0.6	0.7	64	1.4
20	Dec_22_2021	626.53	665.8	677.34	678.34	676.08	678.48	680.61(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	109	10	115	89	0.22	59%	0.11	55.1	1.32%	1.4	0.9	65	1.3

21	Dec_21_2021	625.82	664.31	676.69	679.64	677.74	674.36	675.41(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-13	-40	-36	57	0.27	60%	0.12	58.4	1.33%	0.3	0.7	73	0.9
22	Dec_20_2021	625.06	662.63	676.47	678.07	680.62	673.68	672.48(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-186	-60	-244	-10	0.41	60%	0.11	52.2	1.35%	-0.8	0.6	70	0.5
23	Dec_17_2021	624.35	660.86	675.54	678.03	679.19	681.12	675.82(-1.68%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-168	30	-227	9	1.07	59%	0.13	46.8	1.35%	-1.6	0.9	68	0.8
24	Dec_16_2021	623.55	659.36	674.03	679.2	678.53	687.57	687.36(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	390	90	423	291	0.35	62%	0.13	49.8	1.34%	0.8	1.6	77	0.8
25	Dec_15_2021	622.76	656.95	671.06	676.23	677.14	677.26	687.11(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	354	10	381	274	0.29	63%		45.7	1.34%	2.1	1.9	69	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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