Trading Signals: ORLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ORLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 7, 2020

Trading Signals: ORLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(O'Reilly Automotive Inc)
ORLY latest price $386.4300 (-2.81%) ($384.7600 - $407.0000) on Thu. May. 7, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.7% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $386.4300(-2.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   ORLY advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ORLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(48%)    DIA(47%)    SPY(45%)    IVE(44%)    IWD(44%)
Factors Impacting ORLY price   ORLY will decline at least -2.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-12%)    VXX(-10%)    TLT(-5%)    IYT(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.35% (StdDev 4.7%)
Hourly BBV -2.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $387.72(-0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $387.66(-0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $375.42(2.93%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   48.1%
Market Cap   $28.634b

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. owns and operates retail outlets in the United States. It engages in the distribution and retailing of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the U.S., serving both professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. The company provides new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, including alternators, starters, fuel pumps, water pumps, brake system components, batteries, belts, hoses, temperature controls, chassis parts and engine parts; maintenance items comprising oil, antifreeze products, fluids, filters, wiper blades, lighting products, engine additives, and appearance products; and accessories, such as floor mats, seat covers, and truck accessories. Its stores offer auto body paint and related materials, automotive tools and professional service provider service equipment. The company stores also offer enhanced services and programs comprising used oil, oil filter and battery recycling; battery, wiper, and bulb replacement; battery diagnostic testing; electrical and module testing; check engine light code extraction; loaner tool program; drum and rotor resurfacing; custom hydraulic hoses; professional paint shop mixing and related materials; and machine shops. Its stores provide do-it-yourself and professional service provider customers a selection of brand name, house brands, and private label products for domestic and imported automobiles, vans, and trucks. O'Reilly Automotive was founded by Charles F. O'Reilly and Charles H. O'Reilly, Sr. in November 1957 and is headquartered in Springfield, MO.

$. ORLY price fluctuates within 4.14% (three month std-dev: 4.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.6%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.82%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 7.28%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200607

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_7_2020	381.95	375.42	387.66	387.72	391.86	395.12	386.43(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	90	29	41	0.81	48%	-0.15	106.3	4.7%	-2.1	0.7	57	1.4
2	May_6_2020	382.51	373.18	386.55	387.76	387.88	394.82	397.59(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	80	130	84	66	0.88	46%	-0.13	113.3	4.7%	1.5	1.4	65	0.8
3	May_5_2020	382.99	370.2	383.58	386.48	385.26	388.6	390.22(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	82	50	86	69	0.54	47%	-0.14	119.1	4.74%	0.9	1.1	68	1.1
4	May_4_2020	383.52	367.41	380.52	385.48	384.66	380.94	387.83(3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-6	-70	-17	27	0.58	47%	-0.14	116.8	4.76%	1.1	1.1	66	0.5
5	May_1_2020	384.07	363.04	379.12	385.83	385.68	381.92	376.54(-2.61%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-71	-70	-96	6	0.56	47%	-0.18	90.3	4.7%	-1.4	0.6	66	0.4

6	Apr_30_2020	384.75	359.59	378.89	387.42	389.16	388.7	386.64(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	10	10	-6	57	0.57	46%	-0.16	78.7	4.71%	-0.6	1	74	1.3
7	Apr_29_2020	385.35	354.8	377	384.86	388.77	389.76	391.17(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	50	31	77	0.46	46%	-0.14	66	4.71%	0.6	1.2	77	1.7
8	Apr_28_2020	385.88	350.34	373.32	380.1	384.99	389.58	385.2(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	66	120	59	86	0.92	46%	-0.15	64.2	4.71%	-0.6	1.1	77	1.2
9	Apr_27_2020	386.45	346.89	370.47	374.65	379.55	387.86	389.59(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	124	190	128	112	0.59	46%	-0.15	69.8	4.71%	1	1.4	81	1.4
10	Apr_24_2020	387.03	342.98	366.26	371.59	372.51	380.39	384.49(2.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	121	160	120	123	0.7	45%	-0.15	78.6	4.7%	1.3	1.4	88	0.9

11	Apr_23_2020	387.62	339.91	362.05	369.37	369.37	371.25	373.87(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	91	40	81	120	1.59	45%	-0.18	88.3	4.69%	0.5	1.2	80	0.4
12	Apr_22_2020	388.33	336.18	358.68	368.14	367.99	364.64	367.34(2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-60	-29	96	0.99	45%	-0.19	89.2	4.69%	0.2	1.1	83	0.3
13	Apr_21_2020	389.07	331.77	355.76	365.44	368.26	367.5	357.95(-4.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	10	-23	110	1.03	45%	-0.24	73.3	4.67%	-1.9	0.9	72	-0.2
14	Apr_20_2020	389.99	327.12	353.46	365.18	365.42	371.35	374.29(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	79	120	55	151	0.74	45%	-0.18	61.1	4.64%	0.9	1.5	68	0.6
15	Apr_17_2020	390.7	321.66	345.87	359.84	361.73	369.02	373.42(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	160	160	155	176	0.67	45%	-0.05	42	4.68%	0.9	1.6	69	1.2

16	Apr_16_2020	390.88	317.35	338.9	353.64	354.7	359.43	367.69(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	105	100	96	133	0.98	45%	-0.21	32.7	4.68%	1.3	1.6	61	1.1
17	Apr_15_2020	391.7	313.46	330.95	347.99	349.3	354.36	353.83(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	72	110	61	105	0.47	45%	-0.24	16.3	4.65%	0.5	1.4	66	1.1
18	Apr_14_2020	392.63	311.79	325.64	344.67	347.79	350.02	356.67(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	106	70	99	125	0.64	45%	-0.22	2.6	4.65%	1	1.7	72	1.5
19	Apr_13_2020	393.49	308.73	321.38	339.96	342.86	344.29	347.61(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	50	19	107	0.49	45%	-0.35	-15.8	4.63%	0.5	1.6	74	1.2
20	Apr_9_2020	394.86	308.57	317.67	329.51	339.99	345.55	342.38(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	143	210	139	153	0.86	46%	-0.25	-29.3	4.59%	-0.1	1.3	72	0.9

21	Apr_8_2020	395.86	307.67	315.68	321.66	327.27	341.43	339.48(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	164	360	165	161	1	46%	-0.27	-38.7	4.59%	0.3	1.1	61	0.9
22	Apr_7_2020	396.95	308.89	311.53	311.11	315.91	334.44	337.21(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	289	460	319	200	0.94	45%	-0.3	-42.4	4.59%	0.8	0.9	60	0.8
23	Apr_6_2020	398.13	311.09	305.53	303.83	304.18	313.11	333.14(12.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	194	210	218	123	1.11	45%	-0.29	-42	4.59%	1.6	0.6	51	0.8
24	Apr_3_2020	399.29	312.72	298.41	300.68	297.77	297.38	295.33(-2.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-10	-40	-16	8	1.02	41%	-0.38	-43.1	4.28%	-0.2	-0.5	51	0.1
25	Apr_2_2020	400.83	316.19	295.67	304.22	302.82	295.25	303.14(5.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-58	-190	-64	-39	1.14	41%		-40.3	4.27%	0.6	-0.3	42	-0.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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