Trading Signals: ORLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ORLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: ORLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(O'Reilly Automotive Inc)
ORLY latest price $251.7300 (1.12%) ($246.8817 - $252.2300) on Mon. Dec. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.42% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $251.7300(1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ORLY declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ORLY declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ORLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(51%)    IWD(51%)    SDY(51%)    SPY(51%)    VYM(50%)
Factors Impacting ORLY price   ORLY will decline at least -0.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    GDXJ(-6%)    TIP(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.71% (StdDev 1.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $261.86
5 Day Moving Average   $254.71(-1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $256.46(-1.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $261.86(-3.87%)
To recent high   -8.9%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $18.653b

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. owns and operates retail outlets in the United States. It engages in the distribution and retailing of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the U.S., serving both professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. The company provides new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, including alternators, starters, fuel pumps, water pumps, brake system components, batteries, belts, hoses, temperature controls, chassis parts and engine parts; maintenance items comprising oil, antifreeze products, fluids, filters, wiper blades, lighting products, engine additives, and appearance products; and accessories, such as floor mats, seat covers, and truck accessories. Its stores offer auto body paint and related materials, automotive tools and professional service provider service equipment. The company stores also offer enhanced services and programs comprising used oil, oil filter and battery recycling; battery, wiper, and bulb replacement; battery diagnostic testing; electrical and module testing; check engine light code extraction; loaner tool program; drum and rotor resurfacing; custom hydraulic hoses; professional paint shop mixing and related materials; and machine shops. Its stores provide do-it-yourself and professional service provider customers a selection of brand name, house brands, and private label products for domestic and imported automobiles, vans, and trucks. O'Reilly Automotive was founded by Charles F. O'Reilly and Charles H. O'Reilly, Sr. in November 1957 and is headquartered in Springfield, MO.

$. ORLY price fluctuates within 2.44% (three month std-dev: 1.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2015	253.26	261.86	256.46	254.71			251.73(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	-6	-101	1.03	49%	0.04	-53.3	1.42%	0	-1.6	28	0
2	Dec_11_2015	253.16	262.33	257.66	255.75			248.93(-2.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-35	-10000	-11	-106	1.05	52%	0.04	-62.8	1.41%	0	-2.3	21	0
3	Dec_10_2015	253.07	263.29	259.59	257.68			256.43(-0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-20	-10000	3	-88	0.76	56%	0.06	-69.1	1.38%	0	-1.3	30	0
4	Dec_9_2015	252.91	264.02	260.72	257.07			257.72(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-10000	-4	-99	0.99	56%	0.07	-75	1.38%	0	-1.2	31	0
5	Dec_8_2015	252.73	264.74	261.67	257.87			258.75(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10000	-4	-93	0.97	58%	0.08	-70.5	1.38%	0	-1.2	38	0

6	Dec_7_2015	252.54	265.3	262.59	258.58			256.9(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-8	-87	0.78	58%	0.07	-72.5	1.39%	0	-1.7	36	0
7	Dec_4_2015	252.36	266.13	263.95	259.98			258.61(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-10	-61	1.11	58%	0.08	-70.5	1.4%	0	-1.5	52	0
8	Dec_3_2015	252.16	266.88	265.01	261.87			253.37(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-23	-10000	-16	-44	1.3	56%	0.06	-63.7	1.39%	0	-2.8	35	0
9	Dec_2_2015	252	267.88	266.71	264.84			261.7(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-6	-17	0.93	65%	0.1	-49.6	1.33%	0	-1.7	37	0
10	Dec_1_2015	251.76	268.39	267.28	265.99			262.33(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-6	-14	1.02	59%	0.09	-30	1.4%	0	-1.7	36	0

11	Nov_30_2015	251.53	268.98	267.76	267.17			263.87(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-7	-9	1.44	59%	0.11	-6.3	1.46%	0	-1.5	43	0
12	Nov_27_2015	251.25	269.59	267.48	268.5			268.1(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-1	-14	0.29	63%	0.23	24.6	1.45%	0	-0.4	42	0
13	Nov_25_2015	250.67	269.96	267.36	268.67			268.19(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-1	-21	0.37	66%	0.14	45.2	1.49%	0	-0.4	42	0
14	Nov_24_2015	250.33	269.75	267.59	268.91			267.46(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	-10000	1	-21	0.55	62%	0.14	52.4	1.49%	0	-0.5	43	0
15	Nov_23_2015	249.98	269.45	268.02	268.76			268.25(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	2	-21	0.39	62%	0.07	57.2	1.53%	0	-0.3	45	0

16	Nov_20_2015	249.8	269.2	268.14	268.41			270.5(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	10	-24	0.54	53%	0.16	60.6	1.67%	0	0.3	44	0
17	Nov_19_2015	249.4	268.72	268.34	266.27			268.96(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	-10000	2	-46	0.44	53%	0.15	49.3	1.69%	0	0	39	0
18	Nov_18_2015	249.02	268.18	268.74	265.86			269.4(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-14	-10000	-1	-54	0.45	53%	0.18	45.6	1.69%	0	0.2	40	0
19	Nov_17_2015	248.58	267.44	269.01	266.17			266.7(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10000	-5	-44	0.59	53%	0.17	46.6	1.69%	0	-0.1	57	0
20	Nov_16_2015	248.17	266.81	269.5	267.28			266.47(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-3	-23	0.75	53%	0.14	47.9	1.69%	0	-0	60	0

21	Nov_13_2015	247.83	266.17	270.23	267.91			259.83(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-12	-8	0.76	54%	0.11	45.8	1.66%	0	-0.8	51	0
22	Nov_12_2015	247.55	265.98	271.94	270.61			266.9(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-6	34	0.66	56%	0.15	52.9	1.66%	0	0.1	62	0
23	Nov_11_2015	247.18	265.27	272.87	271.92			270.97(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10000	-1	71	0.42	56%	0.16	52.3	1.64%	0	0.6	71	0
24	Nov_10_2015	246.78	264.14	272.2	272.23			272.24(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	23	-10000	1	89	0.62	58%	0.17	50.5	1.64%	0	0.8	76	0
25	Nov_9_2015	246.36	263.12	271.11	272.09			269.59(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-4	98	0.54	58%		50.3	1.64%	0	0.7	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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