Trading Signals: ORCL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: ORCL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Oracle Corporation)
ORCL latest price $41.2448 (0.9%) ($40.6153 - $41.3670) on Tue. Jan. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $41.2448(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ORCL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ORCL declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ORCL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(64%)    IVE(62%)    QQQ(58%)    VT(58%)    VYM(58%)
Factors Impacting ORCL price   ORCL will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $41.52
5 Day Moving Average   $40.59(1.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.63(1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.52(-0.66%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   16.9%
Market Cap   $126.498b

Oracle Corp. engages in the provision of products and services that address all aspects of corporate information technology environments. It operates through the following business segments: Cloud and License, Hardware, and Services. The Cloud and License segment markets, sells, and delivers applications, platform, and infrastructure technologies. The Hardware segment provides hardware products and hardware-related software products including Oracle Engineered Systems, servers, storage, industry-specific hardware, operating systems, virtualization, management and other hardware related software, and related hardware support. The Services segment offers consulting, advanced support, and education services. The company was founded by Lawrence Joseph Ellison, Robert Nimrod Miner and Edward A. Oates on June 16, 1977 and is headquartered in Redwood City, CA.

$. ORCL price fluctuates within 2.58% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2015	38.36	41.52	40.63	40.59			41.24(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	3	-52	16.31	76%	0.08	28.3	1.76%	0	-0.3	31	0
2	Jan_16_2015	38.33	41.58	40.59	40.47			40.88(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	-10000	1	-76	17.79	72%	0.05	41.2	1.74%	0	-0.6	23	0
3	Jan_15_2015	38.31	41.48	40.64	40.45			40.05(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-26	-10000	-4	-93	13.43	71%	0.03	42.2	1.75%	0	-1.3	9	0
4	Jan_14_2015	38.3	41.41	40.84	40.6			40.46(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-1	-95	12.71	71%	0.05	36.9	1.74%	0	-0.7	15	0
5	Jan_13_2015	38.28	41.33	41.03	40.62			40.33(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-25	-10000	-1	-97	12.88	71%	0.03	32	1.75%	0	-0.7	21	0

6	Jan_12_2015	38.27	41.21	41.27	40.65			40.65(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-27	-10000	-2	-100	16.06	71%	0.05	25.4	1.74%	0	-0.3	20	0
7	Jan_9_2015	38.25	41.11	41.51	40.71			40.77(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-10000	-4	-94	15.96	68%	0.05	21	1.76%	0	-0.2	33	0
8	Jan_8_2015	38.23	41	41.76	40.87			40.78(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-10000	-8	-57	17.52	69%	0.05	19.7	1.76%	0	-0.1	68	0
9	Jan_7_2015	38.21	40.94	41.99	41.14			40.54(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-11	-11	13.5	67%	0.05	22.2	1.77%	0	-0.2	70	0
10	Jan_6_2015	38.19	40.86	42.22	41.53			40.53(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-12	38	19.23	67%	0.08	25.8	1.78%	0	-0.2	66	0

11	Jan_5_2015	38.16	40.81	42.49	41.97			40.95(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-12	102	18.38	67%	0.08	30.3	1.77%	0	0.1	73	0
12	Jan_2_2015	38.13	40.73	42.67	42.42			41.54(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	34	-10000	-9	161	15.07	68%	0.13	36.6	1.77%	0	0.4	69	0
13	Dec_31_2014	38.08	40.62	42.43	42.77			42.14(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	43	-10000	-5	188	13.27	68%	0.13	43.8	1.76%	0	0.7	71	0
14	Dec_30_2014	38.03	40.49	42.06	42.97			42.48(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	48	-10000	-2	196	9.97	68%	0.13	49.3	1.76%	0	0.9	66	0
15	Dec_29_2014	37.98	40.33	41.7	43.03			42.74(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	50	-10000	-2	205	9.7	66%	0.16	53	1.75%	0	1.2	69	0

16	Dec_26_2014	37.92	40.17	41.19	43.1			43.19(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	53	-10000	4	201	6.9	66%	0.16	60.2	1.76%	0	1.5	67	0
17	Dec_24_2014	37.86	39.96	40.7	42.96			43.32(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	70	-10000	26	201	10.24	65%	0.16	65.2	1.76%	0	1.8	68	0
18	Dec_23_2014	37.8	39.71	40.19	42.01			43.11(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	-10000	28	149	14.04	63%	0.16	54.8	1.77%	0	2	66	0
19	Dec_22_2014	37.74	39.47	39.77	41			42.77(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	42	-10000	24	97	21.26	63%	0.13	43.9	1.79%	0	2.2	64	0
20	Dec_19_2014	37.69	39.26	39.34	40.15			43.1(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	39	-10000	33	56	41.78	58%	0.16	34.7	1.78%	0	2.9	66	0

21	Dec_18_2014	37.63	39.01	38.91	39.02			42.49(10.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	3.5	17	-10000	24	-5	54.5	59%	0.11	15.1	1.86%	0	3.6	62	0
22	Dec_17_2014	37.59	38.78	38.54	38.16			38.57(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	2	-73	18.15	51%	0.03	-10.2	1.37%	0	-0.4	45	0
23	Dec_16_2014	37.58	38.79	38.62	38.11			38.07(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-9	-74	16.42	52%	0	-6.8	1.36%	0	-1.3	48	0
24	Dec_15_2014	37.58	38.82	38.76	38.34			38.52(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-2	-50	22.34	52%	0.03	10.6	1.37%	0	-0.5	49	0
25	Dec_12_2014	37.57	38.81	38.85	38.39			37.43(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-23	-10000	-14	-49	14.11	49%		19.4	1.32%	0	-2.5	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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