Trading Signals: OIH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 22, 2008

Trading Signals: OIH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Oil Services ETF Market Vectors)
OIH latest price $1411.1300 (-1.03%) ($1399.8000 - $1437.1300) on Thu. May. 22, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.29% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $1411.1300(-1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   OIH advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OIH advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OIH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(87%)    IWM(68%)    SPY(66%)    VWO(63%)    EEM(62%)
Factors Impacting OIH price   OIH will decline at least -1.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(10%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.145% (StdDev 2.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $1434.2(-1.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1404.77(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1368.75(3.1%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   28.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. OIH price fluctuates within 3.52% (three month std-dev: 2.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2008	1216.66	1368.75	1404.77	1434.2			1411.13(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	24	-10000	2	89	1.52	66%	0.11	34.7	2.29%	0	0.9	68	0
2	May_21_2008	1215.37	1365.18	1401.87	1430.96			1425.87(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	9	110	1.76	63%	0.18	35.3	2.28%	0	1.3	74	0
3	May_20_2008	1213.2	1362.17	1393.93	1415.95			1455.8(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	-10000	10	102	1.03	65%	0.17	32.7	2.28%	0	2.1	71	0
4	May_19_2008	1211.19	1357.85	1383.69	1400.49			1445.13(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	-10000	11	99	1.38	65%	0.14	36.3	2.3%	0	2.1	71	0
5	May_16_2008	1209.46	1354.9	1371.41	1382.79			1433.07(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	-10000	7	77	1.61	65%	0.14	40.7	2.3%	0	2.1	61	0

6	May_15_2008	1207.77	1352.19	1358.88	1372.09			1394.93(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	2	58	1.9	63%	0.09	55.5	2.3%	0	1.3	55	0
7	May_14_2008	1206.7	1348.75	1347.56	1369.28			1350.8(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	-10000	1	45	1.52	61%	0.13	62.9	2.27%	0	0.1	51	0
8	May_13_2008	1205.19	1347.53	1343.65	1367.95			1378.53(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	3	34	1.54	64%	0.1	65.5	2.26%	0	0.9	49	0
9	May_12_2008	1204.01	1343.08	1335.49	1363.79			1356.6(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	4	14	0.96	64%	0.09	65.5	2.3%	0	0.4	44	0
10	May_9_2008	1202.95	1339.93	1333.49	1357.29			1379.6(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	-10000	9	-2	1.07	65%	0.14	59.1	2.3%	0	1	44	0

11	May_8_2008	1201.21	1333.9	1329.82	1343.25			1380.87(2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	-10000	13	-23	1.28	65%	0.16	49.2	2.31%	0	1.2	46	0
12	May_7_2008	1199.24	1328.64	1325.22	1322.77			1344.13(-1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	5	-47	1.21	64%	0.14	40.1	2.3%	0	0.4	53	0
13	May_6_2008	1197.61	1325.08	1327.51	1315.65			1357.73(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	-10000	8	-46	1.16	64%	0.16	38.3	2.29%	0	0.7	56	0
14	May_5_2008	1195.75	1320.01	1329.13	1303.49			1324.13(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-13	-10000	-2	-47	0.64	59%	0.1	35.1	2.29%	0	0.1	58	0
15	May_2_2008	1194.56	1316.74	1336.21	1306.67			1309.4(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-10000	-5	-26	0.86	59%	0.06	43.3	2.34%	0	-0.2	56	0

16	May_1_2008	1193.83	1314.19	1344.3	1314.88			1278.47(-2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-10000	-8	5	1.54	59%	0.03	54	2.34%	0	-0.7	58	0
17	Apr_30_2008	1193.43	1312.4	1350.32	1327.68			1308.53(0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-8	29	1.32	57%	0.09	64.2	2.32%	0	-0.1	58	0
18	Apr_29_2008	1192.36	1308.59	1352.65	1340.81			1296.93(-3.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-11	52	1.08	57%	0.05	70.1	2.36%	0	-0.2	58	0
19	Apr_28_2008	1191.72	1304.35	1352.99	1358			1340(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10000	-8	81	0.55	60%	0.11	77.4	2.32%	0	0.6	69	0
20	Apr_25_2008	1190.46	1296.69	1348.72	1370.23			1350.47(0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-10000	-5	106	0.7	60%	0.11	82.4	2.32%	0	0.8	71	0

21	Apr_24_2008	1189.14	1287.58	1340.01	1378.53			1342.47(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	32	-10000	2	122	1.28	61%	0.14	88.1	2.32%	0	0.8	70	0
22	Apr_23_2008	1187.42	1279.18	1333.84	1375.77			1374.2(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	-10000	6	133	1.08	61%	0.18	90.9	2.32%	0	1.3	81	0
23	Apr_22_2008	1185.32	1269.22	1323.36	1365.71			1382.87(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10000	12	136	1.15	59%	0.17	86.6	2.32%	0	1.5	84	0
24	Apr_21_2008	1183.33	1257.08	1310.26	1346.52			1401.13(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	42	-10000	14	127	0.94	59%	0.2	80.3	2.33%	0	1.9	90	0
25	Apr_18_2008	1180.97	1242.57	1294.79	1324.22			1392(4.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	44	-10000	18	120	2.08	59%		75.5	2.35%	0	2.2	91	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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