Trading Signals: OIH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 21, 2006

Trading Signals: OIH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Oil Services ETF Market Vectors)
OIH latest price $948.9300 (4.27%) ($929.4700 - $952.2000) on Tue. Feb. 21, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.19% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $948.9300(4.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   OIH advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OIH declines -4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OIH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(62%)    VWO(62%)    EWI(61%)
Factors Impacting OIH price   OIH will decline at least -1.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-3%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.095% (StdDev 2.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

Resistance Level   $971.53
5 Day Moving Average   $915.2(3.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $933.9(1.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $971.53(-2.33%)
To recent high   -9.4%
To recent low   16.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. OIH price fluctuates within 4.64% (three month std-dev: 2.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_21_2006	866.47	971.53	933.9	915.2			948.93(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-32	-10000	1	-129	1.94	57%	0.2	-45.5	2.19%	0	-0.5	35	0
2	Feb_17_2006	864.76	975.68	940.41	914.01			910.07(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10000	-8	-144	1.53	55%	0.08	-37.5	2.15%	0	-1.4	25	0
3	Feb_16_2006	864.03	980.98	948.99	922.29			912.4(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-6	-138	2.21	57%	0.1	-27.8	2.15%	0	-1.6	33	0
4	Feb_15_2006	863.14	985.32	956.68	928.41			890.33(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-46	-10000	-16	-137	2.46	55%	0.08	-22.4	2.16%	0	-2.3	34	0
5	Feb_14_2006	862.45	989.3	967.71	944.32			914.27(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-36	-10000	-10	-113	2.3	58%	0.11	-12.9	2.13%	0	-2.1	38	0

6	Feb_13_2006	861.5	992.45	980.07	954.67			943(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-10000	-16	-99	1.82	60%	0.17	-0.6	2.1%	0	-1.6	37	0
7	Feb_10_2006	860.02	993.3	990.35	970.99			951.47(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-9	-70	2.08	57%	0.16	16.2	2.09%	0	-1.3	36	0
8	Feb_9_2006	858.62	993.24	997.36	980.15			943(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-19	-10000	-8	-52	2.22	57%	0.14	29.4	2.17%	0	-1.6	41	0
9	Feb_8_2006	857.38	994.55	1003.84	989.21			969.87(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-5	-36	2.26	59%	0.18	45	2.13%	0	-0.8	49	0
10	Feb_7_2006	855.84	993.92	1006.72	994.44			966(-5.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-10000	-13	-23	2.26	59%	0.17	55	2.13%	0	-0.9	55	0

11	Feb_6_2006	854.39	992.67	1012.89	1008.84			1024.6(2.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	1	-10000	-5	19	1.37	65%	0.28	74.2	1.99%	0	0.9	62	0
12	Feb_3_2006	852.04	988.22	1013.62	1013.45			997.27(0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-4	50	1.58	59%	0.25	86.7	2.03%	0	0.3	61	0
13	Feb_2_2006	849.94	983.89	1015.29	1017.85			988.33(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	19	-10000	-2	80	2.37	61%	0.24	85.9	2.03%	0	0.1	62	0
14	Feb_1_2006	847.9	980.85	1016.21	1020.44			996(-4.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	24	-10000	0	95	2.11	61%	0.26	92.5	2.05%	0	0.4	58	0
15	Jan_31_2006	845.66	976.62	1012.98	1019.91			1038(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	3	103	1	66%	0.31	90.3	1.97%	0	1.4	68	0

16	Jan_30_2006	843.07	967.89	1005.9	1017.2			1047.67(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	2	111	1.39	66%	0.29	89.9	1.96%	0	1.9	73	0
17	Jan_27_2006	840.61	958.32	996.11	1014.77			1019.27(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	2	115	1.81	62%	0.28	81	1.97%	0	1.3	69	0
18	Jan_26_2006	838.24	950.85	988.41	1013.25			1001.27(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	2	124	1.99	62%	0.26	74.2	2.01%	0	1	72	0
19	Jan_25_2006	836.1	943.69	984.37	1011.37			993.33(-3.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	41	-10000	8	138	2.57	64%	0.24	71	2.01%	0	1	65	0
20	Jan_24_2006	834.06	938.08	980.22	1003.77			1024.47(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	-10000	12	143	1.39	69%	0.24	65.3	1.99%	0	1.6	74	0

21	Jan_23_2006	832.08	930.68	970.83	992.04			1035.53(2.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	51	-10000	18	149	1.85	69%	0.31	62	2.01%	0	2.1	82	0
22	Jan_20_2006	829.5	922.59	960.16	974.83			1011.67(2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	48	-10000	15	145	2.18	65%	0.26	56.9	2%	0	1.9	81	0
23	Jan_19_2006	827.36	915.48	949.24	960.45			991.87(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	-10000	7	127	1.69	65%	0.25	52.3	2.04%	0	1.8	74	0
24	Jan_18_2006	825.32	908.62	941.98	954.08			955.33(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	1	139	1.51	59%	0.23	47.8	2.01%	0	1.2	73	0
25	Jan_17_2006	823.39	904.22	937.19	952.99			965.8(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	7	145	0.81	59%		46.2	2.1%	0	1.7	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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