Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 27, 2023

Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Novartis)
NVS latest price $92.2700 (-2.15%) ($92.1900 - $94.1550) on Fri. Oct. 27, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $92.2700(-2.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVS declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVS declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TAN(19%)    SLV(-16%)    TLT(38%)    REMX(25%)    USO(-133%)
Factors Impacting NVS price   NVS will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
IDRV(36%)    FXI(-96%)    EWY(139%)    EWJ(120%)    ICLN(102%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV -1.7 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $90.34(-2.09%)
Resistance Level   $96.46
5 Day Moving Average   $94.32(-2.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.97(-2.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.46(-4.34%)
To recent high   -12%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $211.204b

Novartis AG is a holding company, which engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Innovative Medicines, Sandoz, and Corporate. The Innovative Medicines segment researches, develops, manufactures, distributes and sells patented pharmaceuticals, and is composed of two business units: Novartis Oncology and Novartis Pharmaceuticals. The Sandoz segment develops, manufactures and markets finished dosage form medicines as well as intermediary products including active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Corporate segment refers to group management and central services. The company was founded on February 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

$. NVS price fluctuates within 2.42% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(52%) Average negative next day return: -0.98%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.67%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.42%(40%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.26%(68%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.21%(32%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20231127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_27_2023	100.31	96.46	94.97	94.32	94.56	94.03	92.27(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-90	-30	-73	-140	1.38	20%	-0.09	-74.8	1.05%	-1.7	-1.8	26	-1.7
2	Oct_26_2023	100.4	96.94	95.48	94.8	94.92	95.15	94.3(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	20	-0	-99	1.26	21%	-0.04	-67.5	1.02%	-1.7	-1.1	36	-1.1
3	Oct_25_2023	100.44	97.33	95.83	94.87	94.97	95.09	95.43(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	10	19	-82	1.16	23%	-0.04	-67.8	1.02%	0.6	-0.8	48	-0.8
4	Oct_24_2023	100.48	97.57	96.2	95	94.89	94.69	94.91(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-20	-27	-80	2.6	23%	-0.05	-70.8	1.02%	0.2	-1.1	45	0.4
5	Oct_23_2023	100.53	97.89	96.55	95.32	95.33	94.85	94.69(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-30	-36	-80	2.99	23%	-0.04	-69.3	1.02%	-1.1	-1.3	30	-0.7

6	Oct_20_2023	100.57	98.24	96.85	95.75	95.86	95.09	94.68(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-67	-50	-57	-96	1.38	28%	-0.03	-67.2	1.02%	-0.8	-1.5	25	-1.3
7	Oct_19_2023	100.6	98.57	97.12	96.26	96.26	95.81	94.64(-1.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-78	-30	-68	-108	3.55	28%	-0.01	-66.1	1.05%	-1.5	-1.6	24	-1.4
8	Oct_18_2023	100.61	98.95	97.31	96.91	96.82	96.64	96.1(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-50	-20	-31	-107	1.88	41%	-0.01	-58.4	1.03%	-2.5	-1.2	25	-0.7
9	Oct_17_2023	100.62	99.32	97.35	97.57	97.28	96.72	96.49(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-50	-35	-98	1.46	41%	-0.04	-46.7	1.18%	-1.8	-1.2	38	0.5
10	Oct_16_2023	100.66	99.64	97.63	97.97	97.92	96.99	96.84(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-62	-70	-48	-103	1.02	41%	-0.01	-39.4	1.18%	-0.9	-1.2	35	0.8

11	Oct_13_2023	100.67	99.91	98.07	98.12	98.29	97.85	97.24(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-30	-42	-99	1.29	41%	-0.01	-33.2	1.18%	-1.2	-1.2	35	-1.3
12	Oct_12_2023	100.68	100.18	98.51	98.1	98.28	98.85	97.87(-1.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	50	21	-73	1.34	41%	-0.02	-26.7	1.18%	-1.2	-1	40	0.3
13	Oct_11_2023	100.7	100.38	98.93	97.75	97.92	98.73	99.41(0.95%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	44	60	79	-61	1.94	43%	-0.01	-25.8	1.17%	1.2	-0.4	40	0.4
14	Oct_10_2023	100.71	100.45	98.99	97.1	97	97.71	98.47(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	50	36	-113	1.42	47%	-0.02	-28.7	1.17%	1.4	-0.9	33	0.2
15	Oct_9_2023	100.73	100.58	99.27	97.3	96.45	97.12	97.59(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	20	6	-127	1.39	47%	-0.04	-21.6	1.18%	1.1	-1.4	33	-0.1

16	Oct_6_2023	100.77	100.68	99.69	98.09	97.05	96.29	97.14(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-90	-23	-114	1.99	42%	-0.03	-14.9	1.25%	1.5	-1.7	35	-0.7
17	Oct_5_2023	100.8	100.78	100.11	99.03	98.23	95.78	96.15(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-145	-200	-144	-146	2.3	42%	-0.05	-7.1	1.25%	-0.4	-2.3	30	-0.7
18	Oct_4_2023	100.85	100.95	100.74	100.27	100	97.82	96.16(-3.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-153	-160	-163	-122	2.09	42%	-0.07	3.3	1.25%	-1.1	-2.6	34	-1
19	Oct_3_2023	100.92	101.08	101.51	101.09	101.52	100.67	99.46(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-71	-50	-76	-56	1.92	44%	-0.04	3.1	1.19%	-1.4	-1	47	-2.1
20	Oct_2_2023	100.96	101.04	101.87	101.48	101.77	102.17	101.54(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	40	-9	-9	1.41	47%	-0.02	-1.9	1.2%	-1	0.3	55	-1.1

21	Sep_29_2023	100.98	100.99	101.92	101.54	101.78	102.36	101.86(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	50	52	30	1.38	49%	-0.01	-3.7	1.21%	0.3	0.5	62	-1.3
22	Sep_28_2023	100.99	100.92	101.99	101.39	101.42	101.37	102.33(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-0	12	29	1.63	49%	-0.02	-7.5	1.21%	1	0.9	67	-0.9
23	Sep_27_2023	101.01	100.89	101.94	101.34	101.25	101.2	100.26(-1.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-19	-10	-33	24	1.29	46%	-0.04	-10.7	1.19%	-1.4	-0.4	59	-1.6
24	Sep_26_2023	101.05	101.03	102.02	102.01	101.69	101.46	101.42(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-30	-12	66	1.12	46%	-0.04	2.4	1.18%	0.1	0.2	68	-3
25	Sep_25_2023	101.09	101.06	101.97	102.31	102.23	101.31	101.81(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-70	-35	78	1	46%		5.4	1.19%	-0.1	0.4	69	-1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD