Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 3, 2023

Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Novartis)
NVS latest price $104.4500 (0.88%) ($103.7150 - $104.8200) on Wed. May. 3, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $104.4500(0.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVS advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVS advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(51%)    SPLV(39%)    PCY(37%)    DIA(36%)    XLP(34%)
Factors Impacting NVS price   NVS will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-22%)    VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-14%)    VXX(-12%)    EDOC(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $103.15(1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.27(2.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $99.71(4.75%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   30.5%
Market Cap   $239.084b

Novartis AG is a holding company, which engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Innovative Medicines, Sandoz, and Corporate. The Innovative Medicines segment researches, develops, manufactures, distributes and sells patented pharmaceuticals, and is composed of two business units: Novartis Oncology and Novartis Pharmaceuticals. The Sandoz segment develops, manufactures and markets finished dosage form medicines as well as intermediary products including active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Corporate segment refers to group management and central services. The company was founded on February 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

$. NVS price fluctuates within 3.03% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.95%(48%) Average negative next day return: -1.39%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.47%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -2.1%(58%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.98%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.36%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230603

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_3_2023	90.44	99.71	102.27	103.15	102.97	103.53	104.45(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	30	42	122	1.57	69%	0.14	94.1	1.49%	1.5	1.6	77	1
2	May_2_2023	90.31	99.16	101.64	102.77	102.48	102.72	103.54(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	10	5	108	2.37	64%	0.16	93.6	1.49%	1.9	1.4	79	1.1
3	May_1_2023	90.17	98.62	101.04	102.87	102.67	102.42	102.54(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-20	2	115	1.02	60%	0.13	96	1.52%	0.6	1.2	79	1.8
4	Apr_28_2023	90.05	98.1	100.59	102.48	103.13	102.23	102.57(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	-40	-9	111	1.89	61%	0.12	101.2	1.55%	-0.1	1.3	80	1.9
5	Apr_27_2023	89.94	97.56	100.12	102.02	102.74	102.93	102.65(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	30	-14	107	1.83	61%	0.12	108.2	1.56%	-0.5	1.5	76	1.3

6	Apr_26_2023	89.83	96.94	99.66	101.21	102.16	104.04	102.54(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	98	160	83	142	2.51	57%	0.14	110.7	1.56%	-0.1	1.6	78	0.8
7	Apr_25_2023	89.7	96.36	99.05	100.31	100.88	102.56	104.04(3.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	124	130	117	146	3.91	57%	0.15	115.7	1.61%	1.2	2.2	88	0.5
8	Apr_24_2023	89.57	95.66	98.2	98.97	99.31	100.27	100.59(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	69	80	55	109	1.89	53%	0.12	125	1.55%	0.8	1.5	86	1.4
9	Apr_21_2023	89.46	94.84	97.7	98.44	98.58	99.2	100.3(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	60	50	43	109	2.59	53%	0.12	101.7	1.54%	1.6	1.4	87	1.5
10	Apr_20_2023	89.35	93.98	97.28	97.96	98.12	98.34	98.6(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	39	20	16	107	1.47	51%	0.11	85.8	1.54%	0.9	1	86	1.3

11	Apr_19_2023	89.25	93.18	96.93	97.88	97.98	97.97	98.02(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	37	0	8	123	1.82	51%	0.12	77.2	1.54%	0.9	1	87	1.6
12	Apr_18_2023	89.14	92.48	96.5	97.57	97.92	97.89	97.32(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	37	10	6	128	1.86	51%	0.11	74.3	1.54%	-1.7	0.9	80	1.6
13	Apr_17_2023	89.04	91.81	96.04	97.27	97.64	98	97.97(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	48	40	18	138	1.97	53%	0.12	72.4	1.54%	0.5	1.1	85	1.5
14	Apr_14_2023	88.93	91.03	95.46	96.81	97.09	97.95	97.88(-0.35%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	70	70	37	170	1.28	53%	0.1	70.4	1.55%	0.5	1.2	91	1.5
15	Apr_13_2023	88.84	90.27	94.84	96.49	96.53	97.28	98.22(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	90	60	51	208	1.92	53%	0.12	71.9	1.56%	1.5	1.4	93	1.4

16	Apr_12_2023	88.73	89.46	94.04	95.86	96.11	96.22	96.47(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	79	20	30	226	1.44	51%	0.11	69.3	1.54%	0.8	1.3	93	1.2
17	Apr_11_2023	88.63	88.74	93.48	95.26	95.7	95.78	95.8(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	72	20	16	241	1.96	51%	0.1	66	1.54%	-0.1	1.3	83	1.3
18	Apr_10_2023	88.54	88.02	92.93	94.61	95.01	95.99	95.7(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	96	80	38	269	1.44	51%	0.18	61.1	1.54%	-0.2	1.4	83	1.4
19	Apr_6_2023	88.38	87.26	91.78	93.87	94.19	95.63	96.26(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	135	120	86	281	1.99	50%	0.15	54.5	1.56%	1	1.7	86	0.4
20	Apr_5_2023	88.25	86.43	90.43	92.93	93.1	94.02	95.07(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	118	70	72	257	2.02	49%	0.14	49.2	1.57%	1.3	1.8	82	0.4

21	Apr_4_2023	88.13	85.8	89.15	91.95	92.17	92.76	93.48(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	87	50	40	228	2.34	47%	0.11	47.6	1.56%	1.3	1.7	82	0.3
22	Apr_3_2023	88.03	85.29	88.16	91.45	91.44	92.18	92.52(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	83	60	35	226	1.92	49%	0.1	48.7	1.56%	1.1	1.8	81	0.1
23	Mar_31_2023	87.94	84.87	87.24	91	90.94	91.59	92(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	107	50	63	239	1.69	49%	0.08	49.5	1.57%	1	1.9	81	0.1
24	Mar_30_2023	87.87	84.46	86.25	89.32	90.38	90.71	91.58(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	111	60	77	211	3.28	49%	0.1	39.8	1.58%	1.6	2.1	82	-0.1
25	Mar_29_2023	87.78	84.09	85.33	87.5	88.39	90.29	90.19(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	95	180	68	177	4.16	49%		26.1	1.57%	-0.5	2.1	82	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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