Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 14, 2022

Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Novartis)
NVS latest price $90.5500 (-0.08%) ($90.1350 - $90.8600) on Fri. Jan. 14, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $90.5500(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVS advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(52%)    DIA(48%)    IWD(47%)    SDY(46%)    IVE(45%)
Factors Impacting NVS price   NVS will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-25%)    TBT(-8%)    VXX(-5%)    USO(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0.4 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $90.18(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.25(1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.14(2.73%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $207.267b

Novartis AG is a holding company, which engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Innovative Medicines, Sandoz, and Corporate. The Innovative Medicines segment researches, develops, manufactures, distributes and sells patented pharmaceuticals, and is composed of two business units: Novartis Oncology and Novartis Pharmaceuticals. The Sandoz segment develops, manufactures and markets finished dosage form medicines as well as intermediary products including active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Corporate segment refers to group management and central services. The company was founded on February 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

$. NVS price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 1.07%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.89%(57%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.2%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -1.75%(36%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 1.25%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.24%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2022	84.45	88.14	89.25	90.18	90.03	90.51	90.55(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	30	37	97	1.58	67%	-0.01	132.6	1.05%	0.4	1.6	74	0.3
2	Jan_13_2022	84.46	87.91	88.95	89.93	89.73	90.02	90.62(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	57	20	43	97	1.84	67%	-0.01	153.6	1.05%	1.3	1.8	79	0.3
3	Jan_12_2022	84.47	87.47	88.62	89.47	89.33	89.56	89.79(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	10	20	79	2.2	67%	-0.04	114.4	1.05%	0.4	1.2	78	1
4	Jan_11_2022	84.5	87.03	88.45	89.12	89.08	89.45	89.87(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	30	36	87	2.1	67%	-0.05	89.5	1.05%	1.2	1.2	80	0.8
5	Jan_10_2022	84.54	86.6	88.26	88.64	88.76	89.11	90.08(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	52	30	40	89	2.74	67%	-0.04	77.4	1.05%	2.1	1.4	85	1

6	Jan_7_2022	84.57	86.13	87.99	88.19	88.37	88.71	89.31(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	30	31	81	2.58	68%	-0.05	70.2	1.05%	1.7	1.2	75	0.7
7	Jan_6_2022	84.61	85.7	87.73	87.83	88.05	88.41	88.29(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	40	28	71	2.8	67%	-0.06	64.6	1.05%	0.3	0.9	69	0.7
8	Jan_5_2022	84.66	85.36	87.53	87.66	87.82	88.03	88.03(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	38	20	20	93	2.47	67%	-0.09	64.6	1.05%	0.5	0.9	84	0.9
9	Jan_4_2022	84.74	85	87.34	87.68	87.68	87.69	87.47(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	0	-1	120	2.24	67%	-0.08	65.4	1.05%	-0.3	0.8	85	1.4
10	Jan_3_2022	84.81	84.66	87.15	87.81	87.72	87.62	87.87(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	35	-10	-5	155	2.62	67%	-0.07	66.1	1.05%	1.6	1	85	1.4

11	Dec_31_2021	84.87	84.27	86.95	87.76	87.83	87.68	87.47(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	46	-10	-2	189	1.51	67%	-0.06	64.3	1.06%	-0.9	1	85	1.3
12	Dec_30_2021	84.92	83.9	86.81	87.6	87.78	87.82	87.46(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	59	10	4	225	1.27	63%	-0.07	60.4	1.06%	-1.6	1.1	85	1.4
13	Dec_29_2021	84.98	83.51	86.26	87.37	87.54	87.99	88.12(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	85	40	35	234	1.66	63%	-0.05	54.9	1.07%	1.4	1.5	81	1.4
14	Dec_28_2021	85.02	83.08	85.54	86.94	87.04	87.74	88.13(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	103	60	59	233	1.91	63%	-0.05	50.8	1.07%	1.2	1.7	82	1.4
15	Dec_27_2021	85.06	82.67	84.82	86.38	86.47	87.08	87.61(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	97	50	56	219	2.22	63%	-0.13	47.2	1.07%	1.4	1.8	82	1.3

16	Dec_23_2021	85.17	82.31	84.13	86.04	85.97	86.33	86.66(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	74	30	30	207	3.13	62%	-0.06	46	1.06%	1	1.7	82	1.4
17	Dec_22_2021	85.22	82.04	83.52	85.92	85.81	85.85	86.31(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	78	-0	33	212	2.1	62%	-0.07	48.8	1.06%	1.4	1.8	81	1.3
18	Dec_21_2021	85.28	81.83	83	84.97	85.79	85.62	85.99(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	87	20	51	196	2.8	62%	-0.08	43.2	1.06%	0.7	1.9	81	0.9
19	Dec_20_2021	85.35	81.57	82.46	83.89	84.61	85.76	85.35(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	73	120	44	161	3.23	60%	-0.08	30.6	1.06%	-1.2	2	80	0.5
20	Dec_17_2021	85.42	81.36	81.96	82.99	83.47	85.96	85.9(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.7	180	230	179	184	5.32	58%	-0.07	17.6	1.06%	0.8	2.7	78	0.8

21	Dec_16_2021	85.48	81.14	81.34	81.94	82.16	83.47	86.07(5.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	169	120	178	140	5.95	56%	-0.07	-1.8	1.07%	1.4	3.6	75	0.8
22	Dec_15_2021	85.54	80.9	80.68	80.81	80.87	80.99	81.52(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	10	14	25	3.41	46%	-0.12	-49.5	0.81%	2.3	0.8	45	1
23	Dec_14_2021	85.64	80.91	80.51	80.78	80.74	80.86	80.59(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	10	2	-5	3.65	44%	-0.13	-57	0.8%	-1.3	-0.4	31	0.8
24	Dec_13_2021	85.75	80.99	80.43	80.8	80.87	80.75	80.85(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	-10	13	-14	3.71	44%	-0.13	-58.5	0.8%	0.9	-0.2	46	0.8
25	Dec_10_2021	85.86	81.06	80.36	80.74	80.79	80.62	80.67(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10	-17	-41	2.72	41%		-62.8	0.8%	-0.2	-0.4	43	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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