Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 25, 2015

Trading Signals: NVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Novartis)
NVS latest price $90.7500 (-0.01%) ($90.2300 - $91.0400) on Wed. Feb. 25, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $90.7500(-0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVS advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(62%)    SPY(56%)    VT(56%)    IVE(55%)    VYM(55%)
Factors Impacting NVS price   NVS will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    SHY(1%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $90.74(0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.58(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.08(1.87%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $207.725b

Novartis AG is a holding company, which engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Innovative Medicines, Sandoz, and Corporate. The Innovative Medicines segment researches, develops, manufactures, distributes and sells patented pharmaceuticals, and is composed of two business units: Novartis Oncology and Novartis Pharmaceuticals. The Sandoz segment develops, manufactures and markets finished dosage form medicines as well as intermediary products including active pharmaceutical ingredients. The Corporate segment refers to group management and central services. The company was founded on February 29, 1996 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

$. NVS price fluctuates within 2.23% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2015	83.92	89.08	90.58	90.74			90.75(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	1	61	1.13	58%	0.14	57.4	1.26%	0	0.8	84	0
2	Feb_24_2015	83.8	88.91	90.55	90.66			90.76(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	1	81	1.87	58%	0.12	51.8	1.26%	0	0.9	86	0
3	Feb_23_2015	83.7	88.65	90.53	90.59			91.07(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	-10000	3	103	1.53	58%	0.11	40.5	1.26%	0	1.2	86	0
4	Feb_20_2015	83.61	88.38	90.18	90.44			90.71(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	27	-10000	1	106	1.23	58%	0.11	31.8	1.26%	0	1.1	86	0
5	Feb_19_2015	83.52	88.12	89.78	90.4			90.41(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	-0	101	1.05	58%	0.1	31.6	1.26%	0	1.1	66	0

6	Feb_18_2015	83.44	87.96	89.44	90.41			90.33(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-10000	-0	109	1.38	60%	0.1	37.6	1.26%	0	1.2	73	0
7	Feb_17_2015	83.36	87.9	89.04	90.43			90.41(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-10000	-0	105	1.74	60%	0.11	51.1	1.27%	0	1.3	62	0
8	Feb_13_2015	83.27	87.82	88.64	90.46			90.36(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	11	118	1.73	62%	0.1	64.7	1.27%	0	1.3	69	0
9	Feb_12_2015	83.19	87.73	88.22	89.85			90.51(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	14	105	2.06	62%	0.1	70.5	1.28%	0	1.5	67	0
10	Feb_11_2015	83.11	87.48	87.91	89.04			90.43(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	-10000	13	92	1.94	62%	0.1	71.5	1.28%	0	1.7	67	0

11	Feb_10_2015	83.03	87.21	87.44	88.31			90.42(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	-10000	15	66	2.99	62%	0.1	74.1	1.28%	0	1.9	58	0
12	Feb_9_2015	82.95	86.91	87.11	87.45			90.59(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	19	-10000	15	29	4.92	62%	0.1	70.8	1.29%	0	2.3	50	0
13	Feb_6_2015	82.87	86.62	86.56	86.6			87.31(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10000	5	-21	2.97	57%	0.04	75	1.2%	0	0.5	42	0
14	Feb_5_2015	82.84	86.47	86.39	86.37			86.46(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-5	-50	2.77	57%	0.04	74.6	1.2%	0	-0	41	0
15	Feb_4_2015	82.81	86.25	86.31	86.61			86.78(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10000	4	-39	2.73	57%	0.04	62	1.2%	0	0.3	55	0

16	Feb_3_2015	82.78	85.98	86.35	86.42			86.13(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-5	-39	1.53	56%	0.04	47.4	1.2%	0	0.1	55	0
17	Feb_2_2015	82.75	85.78	86.68	86.69			86.34(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	3	-10000	4	-0	1.74	56%	0.05	44.5	1.21%	0	0.2	58	0
18	Jan_30_2015	82.71	85.56	86.95	86.49			86.12(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	2	15	1.68	56%	0.04	37.2	1.21%	0	0.2	55	0
19	Jan_29_2015	82.68	85.37	87.22	86.39			87.67(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	8	39	2.19	57%	0.05	34.9	1.19%	0	0.9	62	0
20	Jan_28_2015	82.64	85.11	87.03	85.98			85.86(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	-6	44	2.25	57%	0.04	26.9	1.17%	0	0.3	66	0

21	Jan_27_2015	82.61	84.97	86.99	86.27			87.47(2.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	12	-10000	-9	76	3.54	60%	0.07	28.6	1.18%	0	0.9	72	0
22	Jan_26_2015	82.55	84.75	86.99	86.72			85.31(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-16	109	5.22	57%	0.04	33.2	1.14%	0	0.2	65	0
23	Jan_23_2015	82.52	84.64	86.71	87.51			85.65(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	30	-10000	-13	160	2.13	60%	0.04	44.6	1.15%	0	0.4	67	0
24	Jan_22_2015	82.49	84.48	86.61	88.17			85.62(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	52	-10000	0	207	3.46	60%	0.02	53.4	1.15%	0	0.4	65	0
25	Jan_21_2015	82.47	84.41	86.25	88.16			87.31(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	59	-10000	8	213	6.95	64%		59.1	1.13%	0	1.1	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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