Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 19, 2020

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jul. 26, 2016 - Fri. Apr. 26, 2024)

(Nvidia Stock)
NVDA latest price $78.6750 (6.11%) ($75.3714 - $78.8525) on Wed. Feb. 19, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.04% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $78.6750(6.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVDA advances 3.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVDA advances 9.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(81%)    IWF(80%)    IVW(78%)    FIVG(77%)    VUG(72%)
Factors Impacting NVDA price   NVDA will decline at least -1.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-44%)    VXX(-21%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    TLT(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.02% (StdDev 2.04%)
Hourly BBV 1.6 ()
Intraday Trend 4.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.22(8.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.6(14.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.11(20.83%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   51.5%
Market Cap   $48.385b

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 7.69% (three month std-dev: 2.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 3%(29%) Average negative next day return: -2.4%(71%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 5.41%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -4.36%(46%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 7.21%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.57%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2020	55.99	65.11	68.6	72.22	72.49	74.92	78.68(6.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	176	250	125	327	69.43	74%	0.65	57.9	2.04%	1.6	2.7	83	1
2	Feb_18_2020	55.63	64.21	66.85	69.88	70.15	72.58	74.14(2.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	154	250	112	278	62.19	73%	0.82	55.7	1.95%	1.2	2.5	77	0.8
3	Feb_14_2020	55.18	63.57	65.41	68.2	68.72	70.05	72.45(7.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	146	160	116	234	104.19	69%	0.53	55.7	2.01%	1.3	2.8	78	0.9
4	Feb_13_2020	54.89	63.01	64.05	66.29	66.73	67.73	67.7(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	71	120	43	154	52.8	64%	0.44	54.1	1.83%	0.1	2	62	0.6
5	Feb_12_2020	54.65	62.68	63.4	65.46	65.55	67.39	68.14(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	97	200	83	139	37.46	64%	0.46	52.5	1.83%	0.9	2.6	61	1

6	Feb_11_2020	54.4	62.34	62.69	64.37	64.39	65.73	66.97(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	95	150	91	107	63.86	64%	0.44	52.5	1.82%	1	2.7	60	0.1
7	Feb_10_2020	54.16	62.11	62.14	63.33	63.3	63.72	65.74(4.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	53	50	50	61	52.96	63%	0.45	57.5	1.81%	2.1	2.6	60	0.2
8	Feb_7_2020	53.92	61.86	61.55	62.2	62.59	63.06	62.9(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	70	35	10	18.98	59%	0.35	51.7	1.74%	0.1	0.9	52	-0.1
9	Feb_6_2020	53.73	61.75	61.49	61.44	61.71	62.88	63.56(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	31	150	44	-8	21.83	59%	0.35	36.5	1.73%	1.6	1.6	54	0.2
10	Feb_5_2020	53.54	61.57	61.42	61.02	60.93	62.11	62.69(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	42	130	58	-7	20.82	59%	0.34	32	1.73%	1.2	1	55	0.1

11	Feb_4_2020	53.36	61.44	61.37	60.76	60.48	60.55	61.78(2.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	10	-10	22	-27	27.15	62%	0.32	32.4	1.73%	1.6	0.3	50	-0.7
12	Feb_3_2020	53.19	61.32	61.38	60.76	60.49	59.76	60.08(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-100	-26	-50	25.59	60%	0.28	32	1.76%	-0	-1	39	-1.4
13	Jan_31_2020	53.04	61.29	61.62	60.8	60.93	60.4	59.11(-3.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-38	-50	-35	-48	37.04	60%	0.26	27.1	1.75%	-1.8	-1.7	46	-2.4
14	Jan_30_2020	52.9	61.35	61.95	61.5	60.82	61.22	61.45(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	10	-26	-17	29.05	66%	0.3	46.7	1.68%	0	0.1	55	-0.4
15	Jan_29_2020	52.74	61.23	61.96	61.85	61.49	61.45	61.39(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	20	-20	20	20	25.95	66%	0.3	50.7	1.68%	0.5	0.1	57	-0.7

16	Jan_28_2020	52.58	61.08	62.01	61.85	61.8	60.43	61.99(3.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-25	-170	-38	14	31.1	66%	0.32	46.2	1.69%	0.5	0.7	60	-0.7
17	Jan_27_2020	52.41	61.08	62.1	62.08	62.14	61.52	60.05(-4.1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-47	-70	-70	22	47.05	63%	0.31	43.1	1.65%	-1.3	-0.6	57	-1.9
18	Jan_24_2020	52.25	60.95	62.24	62.53	62.75	63.18	62.62(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	60	20	88	37.35	73%	0.35	57.7	1.62%	-0.8	1.1	73	0
19	Jan_23_2020	52.07	60.79	62.06	62.45	62.44	62.76	63.22(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	40	25	94	24.45	73%	0.42	66.4	1.61%	1.3	1.6	67	1.2
20	Jan_22_2020	51.85	60.61	61.76	62.09	62.23	62.31	62.51(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	20	13	86	23.92	73%	0.43	74.2	1.61%	0	1.3	70	1.1

21	Jan_21_2020	51.63	60.47	61.51	61.95	61.99	62.12	61.99(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	20	-6	86	21.79	75%	0.41	88.5	1.61%	0.2	1.1	72	1.4
22	Jan_17_2020	51.42	60.31	61.25	62.15	62.05	62.15	62.32(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	10	13	101	25.38	75%	0.41	109.8	1.65%	0.3	1.6	64	1.9
23	Jan_16_2020	51.21	60.07	60.93	61.9	62.1	61.85	62.23(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-20	6	88	28.42	75%	0.45	121.8	1.65%	0.7	1.7	60	2.2
24	Jan_15_2020	50.98	59.81	60.7	61.61	61.96	61.94	61.39(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	10	-3	78	26.31	78%	0.41	125.2	1.66%	-1.5	1.2	58	2
25	Jan_14_2020	50.77	59.57	60.45	61.35	61.76	62.34	61.82(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	90	27	74	35.96	78%		123.3	1.76%	-0.5	1.6	60	2.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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