Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jul. 26, 2016 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Nvidia Stock)
NVDA latest price $48.6650 (1.66%) ($47.8550 - $48.6950) on Mon. Dec. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.06% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $48.6650(1.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVDA advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVDA declines -5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(78%)    XLK(72%)    VUG(71%)    SKYY(70%)    BOTZ(68%)
Factors Impacting NVDA price   NVDA will decline at least -1.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.03% (StdDev 2.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $38.3(-21.3%)
Resistance Level   $50.9
5 Day Moving Average   $47.76(1.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.62(0.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.9(-4.39%)
To recent high   -10.3%
To recent low   15.2%
Market Cap   $29.929b

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 5.25% (three month std-dev: 2.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.62%(29%) Average negative next day return: -0.89%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.25%(14%) Average negative next three day return: -2.47%(86%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.78%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.63%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2017	46.14	50.9	48.62	47.76	47.84	48.26	48.67(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	70	19	-159	37.27	50%	0.15	-47.2	2.06%	0	-0.8	32	0
2	Dec_8_2017	46.07	51.16	49.05	47.36	47.84	48.1	47.87(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-35	110	10	-171	46.69	50%	0.13	-48.3	2.09%	0	-1.2	32	0
3	Dec_7_2017	46.01	51.36	49.66	47.67	47.38	47.43	48(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	-10	5	-159	54.26	50%	0.15	-48.2	2.1%	0	-1.3	32	0
4	Dec_6_2017	45.94	51.59	50.21	48.1	47.73	46.67	47.32(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-180	-34	-158	46.7	50%	0.13	-45.5	2.1%	0	-1.7	31	0
5	Dec_5_2017	45.88	51.89	50.88	48.46	48.5	47.34	46.94(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-94	-160	-71	-161	98.15	48%	0.13	-43.3	2.1%	0	-2.2	27	0

6	Dec_4_2017	45.82	52.19	51.57	49.61	49.5	48.78	46.67(-5.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-78	-110	-63	-123	124.08	48%	0.11	-31.8	2.13%	0	-2.9	28	0
7	Dec_1_2017	45.77	52.5	52.24	50.98	50.7	49.65	49.42(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-60	-160	-50	-88	81.15	53%	0.22	-11.3	2.02%	0	-2.1	31	0
8	Nov_30_2017	45.67	52.63	52.61	51.95	51.84	50.22	50.18(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-65	-230	-67	-59	82.38	53%	0.2	17.3	2%	0	-1.9	49	0
9	Nov_29_2017	45.58	52.73	52.88	52.66	52.86	51.74	49.11(-6.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.1	-65	-140	-74	-39	139.68	51%	0.24	50	1.99%	0	-3.1	42	0
10	Nov_28_2017	45.47	52.88	53.36	53.64	53.71	53.46	52.68(-1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-12	-30	-22	19	51.28	61%	0.31	111.7	1.78%	0	-0.2	50	0

11	Nov_27_2017	45.33	52.81	53.42	53.81	53.94	53.97	53.54(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	10	6	42	42.29	61%	0.38	116.7	1.76%	0	0.8	56	0
12	Nov_24_2017	45.16	52.66	53.46	53.67	53.76	53.96	54.24(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	30	11	50	18.08	61%	0.62	107.5	1.76%	0	1.5	60	0
13	Nov_22_2017	44.88	52.41	53.18	53.4	53.56	53.91	53.73(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	50	19	44	35.66	61%	0.2	70.4	1.75%	0	0.9	62	0
14	Nov_21_2017	44.79	52.15	53.04	53.15	53.36	53.56	54.01(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	40	18	38	39.92	61%	0.43	61.8	1.76%	0	1.2	61	0
15	Nov_20_2017	44.6	51.94	52.93	53.06	53.04	53.2	53.52(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	20	2	37	39.61	61%	0.41	59.9	1.78%	0	1	60	0

16	Nov_17_2017	44.42	51.72	52.81	52.99	53.07	53.17	52.84(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	20	2	43	51.57	61%	0.36	57.3	1.78%	0	0.7	61	0
17	Nov_16_2017	44.26	51.55	52.75	53.23	53.17	52.87	52.9(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-40	1	62	44.18	61%	0.34	62.7	1.8%	0	0.8	64	0
18	Nov_15_2017	44.11	51.38	52.62	52.91	53.32	52.97	52.5(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-20	-7	64	50.19	61%	0.36	61.7	1.81%	0	0.7	69	0
19	Nov_14_2017	43.95	51.23	52.56	52.87	52.94	53.47	53.55(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	22	70	0	87	52.93	71%	0.37	66	1.8%	0	1.4	76	0
20	Nov_13_2017	43.79	51.01	52.37	52.76	52.73	53.67	53.16(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	120	37	102	58.24	71%	0.34	74	2.02%	0	1.4	66	0

21	Nov_10_2017	43.64	50.83	52.15	52.61	52.54	52.4	54.04(5.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	-20	27	100	125.33	58%	0.32	82.5	2.13%	0	2	72	0
22	Nov_9_2017	43.5	50.55	51.79	52.24	52.13	51.8	51.33(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-50	-24	78	97.86	53%	0.28	91.2	2.12%	0	0.5	64	0
23	Nov_8_2017	43.38	50.38	51.58	52.27	52.33	52.68	52.29(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	50	10	92	52.3	53%	0.3	95.8	2.11%	0	1.2	68	0
24	Nov_7_2017	43.25	50.15	51.22	52.17	52.07	52.47	53.01(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	50	20	90	42.77	53%	0.32	99.7	2.11%	0	1.8	73	0
25	Nov_6_2017	43.11	49.86	50.88	51.91	51.84	51.98	52.41(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	10	14	82	38.99	53%		101.8	2.13%	0	1.6	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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