Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jul. 26, 2016 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(Nvidia Stock)
NVDA latest price $26.1850 (1.74%) ($25.6675 - $26.3325) on Tue. Apr. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.33% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $26.1850(1.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVDA advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVDA advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(78%)    IWF(76%)    IVW(74%)    SMH(71%)    XLK(71%)
Factors Impacting NVDA price   NVDA will decline at least -1.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.165% (StdDev 2.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.52(2.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.03(4.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.48(2.77%)
To recent high   -12.1%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $16.104b

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 4.04% (three month std-dev: 2.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.48%(14%) Average negative next day return: -1.39%(86%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 5.01%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -2.03%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 6.25%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.44%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2017	26.12	25.48	25.03	25.52	25.54	25.87	26.19(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	90	20	41	38.84	31%	0.11	-29	2.33%	0	0.7	59	0
2	Apr_24_2017	26.09	25.51	24.85	25.24	25.29	25.51	25.74(1.25%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	12	70	16	-1	37.18	31%	0.15	-36.2	2.32%	0	0.2	36	0
3	Apr_21_2017	26.05	25.56	24.77	25.06	25.03	25.22	25.42(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	50	17	-31	34.19	31%	0.15	-38.7	2.32%	0	-0.1	32	0
4	Apr_20_2017	26.01	25.62	24.73	24.75	24.81	25.08	25.32(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	80	15	-69	40.4	31%	0.08	-42.2	2.33%	0	-0.3	30	0
5	Apr_19_2017	25.99	25.7	24.69	24.55	24.53	24.85	24.92(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	90	11	-100	38.08	31%	0.08	-41.1	2.33%	0	-0.7	33	0

6	Apr_18_2017	25.97	25.78	24.71	24.47	24.39	24.54	24.82(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	30	11	-120	37.01	31%	0.04	-39.4	2.34%	0	-0.8	31	0
7	Apr_17_2017	25.96	25.91	24.92	24.4	24.31	24.21	24.81(3.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-36	-40	-4	-130	49.73	31%	0.04	-34	2.36%	0	-0.9	30	0
8	Apr_13_2017	25.95	26	25.14	24.45	24.41	24.24	23.87(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-45	-50	-16	-133	50.69	24%	0.04	-28	2.32%	0	-1.9	21	0
9	Apr_12_2017	25.94	26.11	25.48	24.71	24.69	24.41	24.33(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-80	-10	-114	41.41	24%	0.04	-18.5	2.31%	0	-1.7	25	0
10	Apr_11_2017	25.93	26.19	25.73	24.85	24.84	24.57	24.53(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-80	-16	-112	61.81	24%	0.04	-11.4	2.31%	0	-1.7	24	0

11	Apr_10_2017	25.92	26.25	25.98	24.98	25.03	24.97	24.44(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-10	-23	-105	75.63	24%	0.04	-4.4	2.32%	0	-2	33	0
12	Apr_7_2017	25.91	26.25	26.25	25.51	25.22	25.11	25.08(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-60	-20	-79	42.91	26%	0.08	17.8	2.34%	0	-1.4	30	0
13	Apr_6_2017	25.89	26.32	26.43	25.94	25.72	25.08	25.19(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-200	-27	-57	63.51	26%	0.12	31.8	2.36%	0	-1.2	42	0
14	Apr_5_2017	25.86	26.31	26.61	26.38	26.27	25.34	25.01(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-38	-260	-39	-33	74.7	26%	0.12	43.7	2.36%	0	-1.4	47	0
15	Apr_4_2017	25.83	26.3	26.82	26.74	26.78	26.35	25.2(-7.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-25	-110	-33	0	127.13	26%	0.19	49	2.38%	0	-1.1	51	0

16	Apr_3_2017	25.78	26.29	26.97	27.09	27.13	26.35	27.1(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	30	1	44	44.52	32%	0.19	53.6	2.22%	0	0.8	69	0
17	Mar_31_2017	25.73	26.16	27	27.08	27.09	27.21	27.23(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	30	8	63	44.08	32%	0.43	45.2	2.3%	0	1	70	0
18	Mar_30_2017	25.62	26.03	26.93	27.01	26.93	27.05	27.35(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	20	6	76	52.55	32%	0.39	40.5	2.31%	0	1.3	76	0
19	Mar_29_2017	25.52	25.9	26.79	26.89	26.89	26.98	26.84(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	20	2	80	35	32%	0.35	38	2.36%	0	0.9	75	0
20	Mar_28_2017	25.43	25.84	26.68	26.93	26.88	26.98	26.92(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-20	4	94	43.24	26%	0.39	30.7	2.38%	0	1.1	76	0

21	Mar_27_2017	25.33	25.76	26.54	26.84	26.8	26.81	27.06(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	19	-0	-5	89	50.66	37%	0.4	17.5	2.53%	0	1.4	77	0
22	Mar_24_2017	25.23	25.7	26.39	26.9	26.8	26.95	26.87(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	29	20	5	102	43.95	37%	0.44	17.1	2.68%	0	1.3	78	0
23	Mar_23_2017	25.12	25.62	26.19	26.83	26.87	26.95	26.77(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-20	6	103	53.39	37%	0.4	8.1	2.7%	0	1.4	74	0
24	Mar_22_2017	25.02	25.53	25.98	26.67	26.72	26.79	27.02(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	20	7	96	61.68	37%	0.4	-8	2.72%	0	1.6	74	0
25	Mar_21_2017	24.92	25.55	25.74	26.39	26.5	26.94	26.48(-3.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	130	15	79	91.35	37%		-13	2.71%	0	0.9	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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