Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jul. 26, 2016 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(Nvidia Stock)
NVDA latest price $29.7825 (1.55%) ($29.4750 - $30.2300) on Tue. Feb. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.55% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $29.7825(1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVDA advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVDA advances 5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(77%)    IWF(75%)    IVW(74%)    SMH(71%)    XLK(71%)
Factors Impacting NVDA price   NVDA will decline at least -2.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.275% (StdDev 4.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.01(2.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.27(5.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.23(9.37%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   75.8%
Market Cap   $18.316b

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 4.66% (three month std-dev: 4.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 33 Average positive next day return: 1.63%(52%) Average negative next day return: -1.53%(48%) Sample size 33 Average positive next three day return: 2.61%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -3.56%(48%) Sample size 33 Average positive next weekly return: 4%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.32%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170307

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_7_2017	22.03	27.23	28.27	29.01	28.99	29.35	29.78(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	80	16	75	74.62	73%	0.64	65.7	4.55%	0	2	81	0
2	Feb_6_2017	21.89	27.07	27.97	28.51	28.55	28.82	29.33(2.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	25	70	10	68	50.68	73%	0.64	62.8	4.58%	0	2	82	0
3	Feb_3_2017	21.75	26.89	27.66	28.15	28.14	28.63	28.6(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	120	8	60	37.27	73%	0.6	50	4.58%	0	1.7	71	0
4	Feb_2_2017	21.62	26.72	27.4	28.02	27.83	28.28	28.85(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	90	13	61	48.32	73%	0.65	39.9	4.58%	0	2.2	74	0
5	Feb_1_2017	21.48	26.58	27.14	27.73	27.61	27.65	28.49(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-0	9	53	59	70%	0.66	19.3	4.59%	0	2.3	66	0

6	Jan_31_2017	21.34	26.42	26.86	27.42	27.39	27.38	27.3(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10	-0	38	36.28	70%	0.61	-1.4	4.59%	0	1.2	55	0
7	Jan_30_2017	21.21	26.42	26.67	27.33	27.33	27.57	27.51(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	60	7	32	49.6	70%	0.62	-5.9	4.59%	0	1.6	55	0
8	Jan_27_2017	21.08	26.39	26.5	27.08	27.1	27.4	27.94(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	80	12	28	47.2	69%	0.57	-7.4	4.58%	0	2.3	67	0
9	Jan_26_2017	20.96	26.34	26.28	26.69	26.73	27.08	27.41(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	100	8	18	45.88	69%	0.62	-16.9	4.59%	0	1.6	67	0
10	Jan_25_2017	20.83	26.42	26.16	26.47	26.5	26.81	26.95(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	90	10	13	52.34	69%	0.53	-0.4	4.59%	0	0.8	56	0

11	Jan_24_2017	20.72	26.42	26.11	26.23	26.27	26.37	26.83(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	30	9	11	42.81	70%	0.34	3.9	4.59%	0	0.4	61	0
12	Jan_23_2017	20.65	26.43	26.09	25.92	25.96	26.2	26.27(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	70	3	1	36.99	70%	0.54	4.7	4.61%	0	-0.2	47	0
13	Jan_20_2017	20.54	26.44	26.04	25.83	25.8	26.18	26(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	100	6	-9	49.2	71%	0.49	12.8	4.62%	0	-0.4	38	0
14	Jan_19_2017	20.44	26.46	25.99	25.83	25.72	25.73	26.29(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10	4	-19	64.49	71%	0.59	28.6	4.61%	0	-0.2	43	0
15	Jan_18_2017	20.32	26.42	25.97	25.8	25.66	25.42	25.74(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-80	-8	-39	65.44	71%	0.49	43.1	4.61%	0	-0.7	31	0

16	Jan_17_2017	20.22	26.4	25.95	25.98	25.91	25.72	25.28(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-60	-9	-44	58.06	71%	0.75	59.7	4.61%	0	-1.2	42	0
17	Jan_13_2017	20.07	26.38	26.09	26.29	26.25	25.91	25.86(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-100	-3	-34	45.78	71%	0.55	74.7	4.56%	0	-0.5	48	0
18	Jan_12_2017	19.96	26.31	26.28	26.27	26.36	26.11	25.86(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-60	-4	-30	62.56	71%	0.55	71.5	4.57%	0	-0.4	49	0
19	Jan_11_2017	19.85	26.18	26.42	26.19	26.32	26.58	26.29(-1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	80	1	-26	52.57	71%	0.56	61.3	4.56%	0	0.1	52	0
20	Jan_10_2017	19.74	26	26.7	26.15	26.19	26.61	26.62(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	120	11	-7	88.09	71%	0.56	48.7	4.56%	0	0.4	57	0

21	Jan_9_2017	19.63	25.83	26.78	25.93	25.96	26.05	26.82(4.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	30	5	-5	91.62	71%	0.62	41.2	4.56%	0	0.6	60	0
22	Jan_6_2017	19.51	25.66	26.77	25.9	25.81	25.77	25.78(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-20	-11	-3	82.29	71%	0.52	42.5	4.54%	0	0.1	58	0
23	Jan_5_2017	19.41	25.57	26.86	26.32	26.19	25.87	25.44(-2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-100	-8	21	98.43	71%	0.57	49.9	4.55%	0	-0.1	60	0
24	Jan_4_2017	19.3	25.48	26.97	26.69	26.47	25.84	26.1(2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-190	-22	43	119.92	71%	0.57	55.5	4.53%	0	0.3	69	0
25	Jan_3_2017	19.19	25.33	26.92	27.34	27.13	26.51	25.5(-4.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	8	-180	-17	81	150.2	71%		63.2	4.53%	0	0.1	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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