Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: NVDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jul. 26, 2016 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(Nvidia Stock)
NVDA latest price $26.0025 (-1.09%) ($25.7800 - $26.7000) on Fri. Jan. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.62% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $26.0025(-1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVDA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVDA declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(77%)    IWF(75%)    IVW(74%)    SMH(71%)    XLK(71%)
Factors Impacting NVDA price   NVDA will decline at least -2.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.31% (StdDev 4.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

Resistance Level   $26.44
5 Day Moving Average   $25.83(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.04(-0.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.44(-1.65%)
To recent high   -11.3%
To recent low   54%
Market Cap   $15.992b

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Tegra Processor segments. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The company was founded by Jen-Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. NVDA price fluctuates within 3.74% (three month std-dev: 4.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2017	20.54	26.44	26.04	25.83	25.8	26.18	26(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	100	6	-9	49.2	71%	0.49	12.8	4.62%	0	-0.4	38	0
2	Jan_19_2017	20.44	26.46	25.99	25.83	25.72	25.73	26.29(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10	4	-19	64.49	71%	0.59	28.6	4.61%	0	-0.2	43	0
3	Jan_18_2017	20.32	26.42	25.97	25.8	25.66	25.42	25.74(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-80	-8	-39	65.44	71%	0.49	43.1	4.61%	0	-0.7	31	0
4	Jan_17_2017	20.22	26.4	25.95	25.98	25.91	25.72	25.28(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-60	-9	-44	58.06	71%	0.75	59.7	4.61%	0	-1.2	42	0
5	Jan_13_2017	20.07	26.38	26.09	26.29	26.25	25.91	25.86(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-100	-3	-34	45.78	71%	0.55	74.7	4.56%	0	-0.5	48	0

6	Jan_12_2017	19.96	26.31	26.28	26.27	26.36	26.11	25.86(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-60	-4	-30	62.56	71%	0.55	71.5	4.57%	0	-0.4	49	0
7	Jan_11_2017	19.85	26.18	26.42	26.19	26.32	26.58	26.29(-1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	80	1	-26	52.57	71%	0.56	61.3	4.56%	0	0.1	52	0
8	Jan_10_2017	19.74	26	26.7	26.15	26.19	26.61	26.62(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	120	11	-7	88.09	71%	0.56	48.7	4.56%	0	0.4	57	0
9	Jan_9_2017	19.63	25.83	26.78	25.93	25.96	26.05	26.82(4.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	30	5	-5	91.62	71%	0.62	41.2	4.56%	0	0.6	60	0
10	Jan_6_2017	19.51	25.66	26.77	25.9	25.81	25.77	25.78(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-20	-11	-3	82.29	71%	0.52	42.5	4.54%	0	0.1	58	0

11	Jan_5_2017	19.41	25.57	26.86	26.32	26.19	25.87	25.44(-2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-100	-8	21	98.43	71%	0.57	49.9	4.55%	0	-0.1	60	0
12	Jan_4_2017	19.3	25.48	26.97	26.69	26.47	25.84	26.1(2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-190	-22	43	119.92	71%	0.57	55.5	4.53%	0	0.3	69	0
13	Jan_3_2017	19.19	25.33	26.97	27.34	27.13	26.51	25.5(-4.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	8	-180	-17	81	150.2	71%	0.68	63.2	4.53%	0	0.1	69	0
14	Dec_30_2016	19.06	25.18	26.92	27.73	27.85	27.09	26.69(-4.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-180	-7	112	121.29	71%	0.63	62.3	4.48%	0	0.7	70	0
15	Dec_29_2016	18.94	24.95	26.74	27.74	27.79	27.75	27.86(2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	28	-0	-5	125	217.54	71%	0.74	57.3	4.44%	0	1.4	73	0

16	Dec_28_2016	18.8	24.7	26.38	27.46	27.77	28.61	27.31(-6.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	250	16	131	229.58	71%	0.64	55.4	4.44%	0	1.3	68	0
17	Dec_27_2016	18.68	24.49	25.95	27.26	27.2	27.82	29.33(6.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	55	150	28	134	119.43	78%	1.03	55.7	4.33%	0	2.5	81	0
18	Dec_23_2016	18.49	24.17	25.25	26.48	26.61	26.92	27.45(2.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	39	100	16	106	64.77	76%	0.76	55.7	4.25%	0	2.1	79	0
19	Dec_22_2016	18.35	23.96	24.79	26.01	26.14	26.58	26.78(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	130	14	98	71.86	76%	0.66	54.3	4.24%	0	2	80	0
20	Dec_21_2016	18.23	23.78	24.44	25.59	25.67	26.29	26.46(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	38	180	19	96	57.61	77%	0.72	54.1	4.24%	0	2.2	80	0

21	Dec_20_2016	18.1	23.62	24.15	25.12	25.21	25.71	26.29(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	150	26	89	84.81	77%	0.67	58.7	4.25%	0	2.5	67	0
22	Dec_19_2016	17.98	23.45	23.84	24.42	24.55	25.05	25.41(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	160	20	64	74.47	77%	0.62	62	4.24%	0	2.3	62	0
23	Dec_16_2016	17.87	23.34	23.58	23.82	23.94	24.71	25.1(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	26	240	21	42	108.95	77%	0.68	58.4	4.24%	0	2.4	58	0
24	Dec_15_2016	17.75	23.23	23.28	23.39	23.29	24.06	24.68(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	18	220	18	19	74.65	78%	0.57	96.6	4.24%	0	2.3	56	0
25	Dec_14_2016	17.65	23.13	23	23.13	22.96	23.16	24.11(5.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	6	40	9	-2	98.4	78%		151.1	4.25%	0	1.9	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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