Trading Signals: NVCN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: NVCN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Feb. 9, 2016 - Tue. Dec. 31, 2019)

(Neovasc Inc.)
NVCN latest price $4290.0000 (1.9%) ($4150.0000 - $4300.0000) on Mon. Apr. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.58% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $4290.0000(1.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVCN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVCN declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVCN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKK(6%)    IWC(6%)    REMX(6%)    XAR(6%)    DIA(5%)
Factors Impacting NVCN price   NVCN will decline at least -1.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
BNDX(-9%)    LQD(-6%)    VCSH(-5%)    TLT(-5%)    PCY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.79% (StdDev 3.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $4184(2.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $4175.49(2.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4123.75(4.03%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   34.5%
Market Cap   $123.638b

$. NVCN price fluctuates within 3.84% (three month std-dev: 3.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.34%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.69%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.6%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.16%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.21%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.41%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2016	3836.24	4123.75	4175.49	4184	4175.63	4212.5	4290(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	662	60	779	310	0	70%	0.32	39.3	3.58%	0	1	59	INF
2	Apr_1_2016	3823.98	4105.73	4171.1	4182	4168.13	4161.25	4210(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	64	-20	73	37	0	70%	0.28	38.9	3.63%	0	0.7	58	INF
3	Mar_31_2016	3813.25	4092.87	4187.34	4220	4196.25	4138.75	4180(3.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-560	-110	-669	-233	0	70%	0.28	59.4	3.68%	0	0.5	60	INF
4	Mar_30_2016	3802.77	4081.1	4192.04	4220	4218.13	4175	4020(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-948	-60	-1128	-409	0	68%	0.17	78.9	3.69%	0	-0.4	54	INF
5	Mar_29_2016	3796.39	4078.12	4198.57	4206	4225.63	4253.75	4220(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	264	60	296	166	0	74%	0.34	98	3.62%	0	0.9	61	INF

6	Mar_28_2016	3783.55	4062.6	4178.24	4160	4178.13	4261.25	4280(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	1004	150	1168	510	0	74%	0.41	110.5	3.66%	0	1.3	65	INF
7	Mar_24_2016	3768.03	4044.9	4150.7	4160	4141.88	4197.5	4400(7.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	1015	80	1180	518	0	74%	0.54	112.3	3.66%	0	1.9	66	INF
8	Mar_23_2016	3747.65	4000.62	4100.09	4158	4168.76	4095	4110(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-156	-120	-197	-31	0	70%	0.32	93.9	3.54%	0	0.5	58	INF
9	Mar_22_2016	3735.57	3958.15	4086.29	4182	4206.26	4086.25	4020(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1932	-180	-2289	-861	0	70%	0.26	83.6	3.59%	0	0.2	55	INF
10	Mar_21_2016	3725.76	3924.23	4080.44	4188	4219.69	4242.51	3990(-6.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-621	60	-747	-242	0	70%	0.25	75.7	3.65%	0	0.2	54	INF

11	Mar_18_2016	3716.33	3890.23	4072.37	4190	4170.94	4326.26	4270(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2283	250	2668	1128	0	83%	0.55	71.2	3.44%	0	1.1	71	INF
12	Mar_17_2016	3695.82	3841.54	4037.19	4136	4081.56	4196.88	4400(4.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	3004	160	3520	1456	0	83%	0.74	64.7	3.42%	0	1.7	77	INF
13	Mar_16_2016	3668.73	3786.71	3988.48	4036	3984.06	4015.63	4230(4.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	866	20	1006	445	0	80%	0.62	57.3	3.44%	0	1.4	86	INF
14	Mar_15_2016	3646.28	3739.11	3956.95	3982	3951.88	3966.25	4050(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	156	0	165	128	0	77%	0.46	52.4	3.43%	0	1	89	INF
15	Mar_14_2016	3629.46	3702.36	3944.95	3960	3956.25	3952.5	4000(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	234	-10	250	184	0	77%	0.45	0	3.5%	0	0.9	81	INF

16	Mar_11_2016	3613.35	3665.77	3935.6	3936	3952.5	3937.5	4000(2.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-127	-10	-181	34	0	77%	0.49	0	3.58%	0	1	82	INF
17	Mar_10_2016	3595.78	3634.58	3928.77	3922	3936.88	3960	3900(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	50	-32	120	0	77%	0.4	0	3.64%	0	0.8	78	INF
18	Mar_9_2016	3581.29	3608.18	3893.36	3932	3928.13	3967.5	3960(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	805	70	904	507	0	77%	0.53	0	3.7%	0	1.1	78	INF
19	Mar_8_2016	3562.36	3578.15	3822.42	3932	3906.29	3913.75	3940(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	346	-0	365	290	0	77%	0.56	0	3.79%	0	1.2	79	INF
20	Mar_7_2016	3542.48	3578.15	3760.13	3928	3901.79	3888.75	3880(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-336	-40	-395	-158	0	77%	0.53	0	3.89%	0	12.9	75	INF

21	Mar_4_2016	3523.73	3578.15	3700.42	3934	3936.16	3898.83	3930(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-318	-60	-374	-150	0	77%	0.68	0	3.97%	0	13.2	79	INF
22	Mar_3_2016	3499.83	3578.15	3636.42	3936	3959	3914.83	3950(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-440	-60	-518	-207	0	77%	0.81	0	4.07%	0	13.7	70	INF
23	Mar_2_2016	3471.69	3578.15	3572.08	3846	3933.09	3973.5	3940(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	573	140	674	270	0	77%	0.91	0	4.2%	0	14.3	70	INF
24	Mar_1_2016	3440.47	3578.15	3504.15	3696	3791.96	4003.18	3940(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	2130	470	2506	1002	0	77%	1.05	0	4.34%	0	15.5	70	INF
25	Feb_29_2016	3404.79	3578.15	3437.46	3564	3616.03	3892.68	3910(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	4064	580	4781	1912	0	77%		0	4.5%	0	17.4	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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