Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 16, 2018

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $33.0000 (2.48%) ($32.8000 - $34.6000) on Tue. Jan. 16, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.32% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $33.0000(2.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 3.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX advances 20.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(7%)    FXI(7%)    IBB(7%)    MCHI(7%)    XBI(7%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -4.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-4%)    XLRE(-3%)    JNK(-3%)    HYG(-3%)    BNDX(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.66% (StdDev 9.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.76(-5.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.84(7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.89(18.32%)
To recent high   -22.2%
To recent low   65%
Market Cap   $2.02b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 19.9% (three month std-dev: 9.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2018	24.64	27.89	30.84	34.76			33(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	40	-10000	8	135	0.54	64%	0.61	42.1	9.32%	0	0.9	72	0
2	Jan_12_2018	24.49	27.55	30.04	33.56			32.2(-18.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	39	-10000	9	128	1.58	64%	0.49	35.8	9.27%	0	0.9	71	0
3	Jan_11_2018	24.37	27.23	29.43	32.28			39.6(-6.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	48	-10000	20	131	2.04	70%	0.79	27.3	8.93%	0	2.4	84	0
4	Jan_10_2018	24.18	26.5	27.91	29.64			42.4(59.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3	46	-10000	26	107	4.35	70%	1	11.7	8.88%	0	3.8	89	0
5	Jan_9_2018	23.94	25.66	25.91	26.56			26.6(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	2	65	0.16	56%	0.25	-21.3	4.93%	0	0.5	43	0

6	Jan_8_2018	23.88	25.74	25.58	26.44			27(4.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	7	45	0.31	56%	0.34	-22.7	4.93%	0	0.6	51	0
7	Jan_5_2018	23.8	25.78	25.19	26			25.8(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-1	15	0.18	56%	0.25	-25.7	4.9%	0	0	51	0
8	Jan_4_2018	23.74	25.89	24.87	26.04			26.4(-2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	4	0	0.16	56%	0.25	-21.3	4.89%	0	0.2	53	0
9	Jan_3_2018	23.68	26.01	24.42	25.8			27(3.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	10	-24	0.34	56%	0.3	-19.8	4.88%	0	0.4	55	0
10	Jan_2_2018	23.61	26.07	24.61	25.16			26(4.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	9	-33	0.23	56%	0.38	-25.6	4.86%	0	-0	48	0

11	Dec_29_2017	23.52	26.19	24.73	24.6			24.8(-4.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	-10000	6	-53	0.24	56%	0.26	-35.3	4.84%	0	-0.6	43	0
12	Dec_28_2017	23.46	26.32	24.89	24.24			26(3.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	13	-68	0.2	56%	0.26	-44.4	4.8%	0	-0.1	46	0
13	Dec_27_2017	23.4	26.36	24.9	23.52			25.2(5.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	-10000	12	-95	0.19	56%	0.26	-55.1	4.79%	0	-0.5	44	0
14	Dec_26_2017	23.34	26.46	24.99	22.84			23.8(2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-50	-10000	-21	-138	0.19	54%	0.34	-63.5	4.74%	0	-1.1	37	0
15	Dec_22_2017	23.26	26.68	25.36	24.04			23.2(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-10000	-15	-113	0.22	54%	0.17	-46.3	4.74%	0	-1.5	37	0

16	Dec_21_2017	23.22	27.06	25.89	24.92			23(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-10000	-12	-91	0.32	54%	0.13	-27.5	4.73%	0	-1.8	36	0
17	Dec_20_2017	23.19	27.41	26.43	25.64			22.4(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-28	-10000	-13	-71	0.72	54%	0.09	-7.1	4.72%	0	-2.3	40	0
18	Dec_19_2017	23.17	27.73	27.06	26.44			21.8(-26.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-22	-10000	-14	-46	1.4	54%	0.04	14.9	4.71%	0	-3.3	40	0
19	Dec_18_2017	23.16	28.04	27.84	27.32			29.8(7.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	5	-10000	10	-10	0.45	69%	0.48	54.7	3.28%	0	1.5	63	0
20	Dec_15_2017	23.05	27.84	27.69	26.88			27.6(3.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-12	-10000	-5	-31	0.98	67%	0.3	56.6	3.15%	0	-0.2	47	0

21	Dec_14_2017	22.98	27.71	27.78	27.08			26.6(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-7	-38	0.24	65%	0.22	60.5	3.13%	0	-0.8	31	0
22	Dec_13_2017	22.93	27.57	27.87	27.4			26.4(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-9	-43	0.31	65%	0.17	57.3	3.16%	0	-0.7	36	0
23	Dec_12_2017	22.89	27.46	27.93	27.8			26.2(-5.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-13	-38	0.23	65%	-0.17	62.8	3.2%	0	-0.7	45	0
24	Dec_11_2017	22.93	27.4	28.05	28.4			27.6(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-4	-14	0.28	69%	-0.09	74.1	3.13%	0	0.1	54	0
25	Dec_8_2017	22.95	27.16	28.12	28.6			28.6(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	3	-10000	0	10	0.13	72%		68.4	3.1%	0	0.6	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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