Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $28.6000 (0.7%) ($28.0000 - $29.4000) on Tue. Jan. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.79% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $28.6000(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(10%)    XBI(10%)    EEM(8%)    FXI(8%)    MCHI(8%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -2.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-4%)    XLRE(-2%)    VCSH(-2%)    JNK(-2%)    HYG(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.895% (StdDev 5.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.4(4.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.63(7.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.98(6%)
To recent high   -23.9%
To recent low   21.2%
Market Cap   $1.751b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 4% (three month std-dev: 5.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2017	50.96		26.63	27.4			28.6(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	8	3	0.39	74%	-2.3	-8	5.79%	0	1.5	51	0
2	Jan_9_2017	52.16		26.52	26.76			28.4(3.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	3	-10000	8	-11	0.39	74%	-2.16	-7	5.82%	0	1.4	50	0
3	Jan_6_2017	53.31	26.98	26.3	26.12			27.4(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-5	-10000	4	-32	0.31	74%	-2.2	-2.3	5.82%	0	0.4	46	0
4	Jan_5_2017	54.51	26.94	26.29	25.8			26.4(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	1	-35	0.26	74%	-2.24	-0.5	5.85%	0	-0.5	55	0
5	Jan_4_2017	55.76	27.07	26.47	25.72			26.2(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-10000	-1	-33	0.32	74%	-2.19	12.6	5.85%	0	-0.8	49	0

6	Jan_3_2017	57.01	27.06	26.64	25.76			25.4(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-6	-31	0.41	74%	-3.6	13.5	5.84%	0	-1.4	44	0
7	Dec_30_2016	59.14	27.05	26.9	26.24			25.2(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-3	-24	0.32	74%	-1.89	18.9	5.84%	0	-1.5	35	0
8	Dec_29_2016	60.28	27	27.19	26.48			25.8(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-5	-22	0.3	74%	-1.84	14.9	5.84%	0	-0.8	40	0
9	Dec_28_2016	61.41	26.94	27.22	26.84			26(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-6	-18	0.25	74%	-2.04	17.8	5.88%	0	-0.6	51	0
10	Dec_27_2016	62.69	26.93	27.32	27.32			26.4(-5.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-4	-16	0.22	74%	-3.33	24.7	5.89%	0	-0.3	43	0

11	Dec_23_2016	64.85	26.9	27.4	27.64			27.8(5.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1	-10000	-0	-4	0.22	74%	-1.88	30.6	5.86%	0	0.6	58	0
12	Dec_22_2016	66.09	26.82	27.51	27.68			26.4(-4.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-4	10	0.3	74%	-1.89	31.1	5.85%	0	-0.3	58	0
13	Dec_21_2016	67.36	26.79	27.74	28			27.6(-2.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10000	4	37	0.19	82%	-1.71	37.1	6%	0	0.5	65	0
14	Dec_20_2016	68.53	26.68	27.65	27.64			28.4(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	3	32	0.25	82%	-1.72	24.8	7.27%	0	1.1	64	0
15	Dec_19_2016	69.73	26.55	27.7	27.32			28(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	11	-10000	2	37	0.35	85%	-1.69	17	7.28%	0	0.9	59	0

16	Dec_16_2016	70.93	26.43	27.5	27.12			28(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	7	-10000	-2	33	1.04	49%	-1.68	7.8	7.52%	0	1	58	0
17	Dec_15_2016	72.14	26.33	27.2	27.36			28(8.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	4	-10000	-1	20	0.36	49%	-1.65	7.2	12.94%	0	1.1	56	0
18	Dec_14_2016	73.35	26.22	26.79	27.48			25.8(-3.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	4	-10000	-1	18	0.21	50%	-1.65	-15.9	12.89%	0	-0.3	52	0
19	Dec_13_2016	74.58	26.28	26.66	27.64			26.8(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-3	18	0.31	50%	-1.58	-18.2	12.9%	0	0.4	57	0
20	Dec_12_2016	75.78	26.29	26.53	28.12			27(-7.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	7	-10000	1	24	0.31	51%	-1.57	-16.8	12.9%	0	0.5	54	0

21	Dec_9_2016	76.99	26.31	26.39	27.88			29.2(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	5	24	0.73	52%	-1.55	-24.7	12.9%	0	2	61	0
22	Dec_8_2016	78.2	26.23	26.06	27			28.6(7.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8	-10000	6	15	0.33	53%	-1.54	-33	12.91%	0	1.7	58	0
23	Dec_7_2016	79.42	26.44	25.75	26			26.6(-8.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	3	4	0.53	53%	-1.48	-19.5	12.87%	0	0.1	54	0
24	Dec_6_2016	80.61	26.55	25.6	25.52			29.2(13.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	3	-10000	5	-3	0.72	54%	-1.51	-24.7	12.83%	0	1.2	56	0
25	Dec_5_2016	81.85	26.53	25.24	24.76			25.8(4.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-10000	0	-15	0.25	51%		-35.9	12.75%	0	-0.3	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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