Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $29.2000 (2.1%) ($28.2000 - $30.8000) on Fri. Dec. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   12.9% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $29.2000(2.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 3.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX advances 4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(10%)    XBI(10%)    EEM(8%)    FXI(8%)    MCHI(8%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -6.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-4%)    XLRE(-2%)    VCSH(-2%)    JNK(-2%)    HYG(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -6.45% (StdDev 12.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.88(4.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.39(10.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.31(10.98%)
To recent high   -82.5%
To recent low   23.7%
Market Cap   $1.787b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 5.59% (three month std-dev: 12.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_9_2016	76.99	26.31	26.39	27.88			29.2(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	5	24	0.73	52%	-1.55	-24.7	12.9%	0	2	61	0
2	Dec_8_2016	78.2	26.23	26.06	27			28.6(7.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8	-10000	6	15	0.33	53%	-1.54	-33	12.91%	0	1.7	58	0
3	Dec_7_2016	79.42	26.44	25.75	26			26.6(-8.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	3	4	0.53	53%	-1.48	-19.5	12.87%	0	0.1	54	0
4	Dec_6_2016	80.61	26.55	25.6	25.52			29.2(13.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	3	-10000	5	-3	0.72	54%	-1.51	-24.7	12.83%	0	1.2	56	0
5	Dec_5_2016	81.85	26.53	25.24	24.76			25.8(4.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-10000	0	-15	0.25	51%	-1.53	-35.9	12.75%	0	-0.3	43	0

6	Dec_2_2016	83.12	26.68	25.22	24.72			24.8(5.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	-2	-19	0.24	51%	-1.5	-35.7	12.84%	0	-0.8	33	0
7	Dec_1_2016	84.39	26.69	25.36	25			23.6(-2.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-7	-10000	-3	-20	0.42	51%	-1.48	-43.1	12.82%	0	-1.4	23	0
8	Nov_30_2016	85.66	26.87	25.6	25.44			24.2(-4.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-8	-10000	-1	-28	0.29	51%	-1.51	-50.6	12.72%	0	-1.2	14	0
9	Nov_29_2016	86.97	27.11	25.9	25.64			25.4(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-1	-29	0.6	51%	-1.5	-54.3	12.71%	0	-0.8	42	0
10	Nov_28_2016	88.29	27.35	26.06	25.76			25.6(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-0	-31	0.2	51%	-1.43	-54.1	12.71%	0	-0.8	42	0

11	Nov_25_2016	89.57	27.51	26.26	25.76			26.2(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	0	-33	0.18	52%	-1.99	-57.7	12.73%	0	-0.6	45	0
12	Nov_23_2016	91.39	27.71	26.43	25.76			25.8(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	0	-29	0.3	50%	-1.29	-55.9	12.64%	0	-0.8	59	0
13	Nov_22_2016	92.58	28.01	27.18	25.8			25.2(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10000	-2	-19	0.31	50%	-0.73	-55.5	12.64%	0	-1.2	51	0
14	Nov_21_2016	93.26	28.3	27.57	26.2			26(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-1	-15	0.29	50%	-1.32	-53.2	12.65%	0	-1	48	0
15	Nov_18_2016	94.51	28.58	27.91	26.4			25.8(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-2	-15	0.32	50%	-1.26	-50.7	12.65%	0	-1.2	44	0

16	Nov_17_2016	95.72	28.81	28.25	26.8			26.2(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-2	-12	0.49	50%	-1.22	-48.8	12.65%	0	-1.1	49	0
17	Nov_16_2016	96.9	29.08	28.14	27.16			25.8(-5.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-9	-20	0.54	50%	-1.17	-47.9	12.64%	0	-1.4	45	0
18	Nov_15_2016	98.05	29.38	28.28	28.8			27.2(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10000	-2	-10	0.36	52%	-1	-31.8	12.63%	0	-1	44	0
19	Nov_14_2016	99.04	29.61	28.45	29.16			27(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5	-10000	-3	-10	0.55	52%	-1.08	-35.7	12.67%	0	-1.2	46	0
20	Nov_11_2016	100.12	29.8	28.79	29.64			27.8(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-3	-10000	-1	-7	0.62	52%	-1.1	-45.6	12.67%	0	-1	46	0

21	Nov_10_2016	101.23	29.98	28.9	29.88			28(-17.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	2	-10000	4	-5	1.14	50%	-1.05	-52.3	12.67%	0	-1	49	0
22	Nov_9_2016	102.3	30.21	29.12	29.16			34(17.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	3	-10000	8	-12	0.85	54%	-0.98	-71.6	12.54%	0	1.8	55	0
23	Nov_8_2016	103.31	30.09	28.83	27.72			29(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-7	-10000	0	-28	0.26	50%	-1.04	-98.1	12.35%	0	-0.5	45	0
24	Nov_7_2016	104.4	30.39	29.01	27.7			29.4(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-8	-10000	-1	-30	0.51	50%	-1	-89.3	12.35%	0	-0.4	46	0
25	Nov_4_2016	105.45	30.77	29.2	27.9			29(18.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-10000	0	-27	0.78	50%		-87.9	12.35%	0	-0.6	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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