Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $28.0000 (-17.65%) ($26.4000 - $30.6000) on Thu. Nov. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   12.67% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $28.0000(-17.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(11%)    XBI(11%)    EEM(8%)    MCHI(8%)    ARKG(7%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -6.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-4%)    XLRE(-2%)    VIXM(-2%)    VCSH(-2%)    BNDX(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -6.335% (StdDev 12.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.8%

Resistance Level   $29.98
5 Day Moving Average   $29.88(-6.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.9(-3.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.98(-6.6%)
To recent high   -83.2%
To recent low   14.8%
Market Cap   $1.714b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 6.94% (three month std-dev: 12.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2016	101.23	29.98	28.9	29.88			28(-17.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	2	-10000	4	-5	1.14	50%	-1.05	-52.3	12.67%	0	-1	49	0
2	Nov_9_2016	102.3	30.21	29.12	29.16			34(17.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	3	-10000	8	-12	0.85	54%	-0.98	-71.6	12.54%	0	1.8	55	0
3	Nov_8_2016	103.31	30.09	28.83	27.72			29(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-7	-10000	0	-28	0.26	50%	-1.04	-98.1	12.35%	0	-0.5	45	0
4	Nov_7_2016	104.4	30.39	29.01	27.7			29.4(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-8	-10000	-1	-30	0.51	50%	-1	-89.3	12.35%	0	-0.4	46	0
5	Nov_4_2016	105.45	30.77	29.2	27.9			29(18.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-10000	0	-27	0.78	50%	-1.01	-87.9	12.35%	0	-0.6	48	0

6	Nov_3_2016	106.53	31.11	29.34	27.86			24.4(-8.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-7	-32	0.57	46%	-1.01	-88.2	12.1%	0	-2.2	31	0
7	Nov_2_2016	107.62	31.77	30.08	29.02			26.8(-7.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-6	-24	0.35	46%	-0.98	-82.8	12.09%	0	-1.6	33	0
8	Nov_1_2016	108.68	32.43	30.6	30.06			28.9(-4.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-2	-14	0.48	46%	-0.9	-77.1	12.07%	0	-1.1	38	0
9	Oct_31_2016	109.67	32.97	30.9	30.48			30.4(5.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-5	-10000	-1	-15	0.3	46%	-0.91	-73.8	12.06%	0	-0.7	34	0
10	Oct_28_2016	110.68	33.5	30.93	30.72			28.8(-4.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-8	-10000	-2	-24	0.48	46%	-0.93	-72.5	12.03%	0	-1.2	23	0

11	Oct_27_2016	111.72	34.13	31.19	31.04			30.2(-5.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-1	-27	0.4	46%	-0.93	-73.3	12.02%	0	-1	33	0
12	Oct_26_2016	112.77	34.66	31.43	31.28			32(3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	0	-32	0.33	46%	-0.88	-69	12.01%	0	-0.6	33	0
13	Oct_25_2016	113.77	35.23	31.46	31.24			31(-1.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-12	-10000	-1	-43	0.23	46%	-0.87	-59.6	12%	0	-0.9	24	0
14	Oct_24_2016	114.77	35.94	31.86	31.4			31.6(3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	-10000	1	-46	0.31	46%	-0.79	-43	12%	0	-0.8	26	0
15	Oct_21_2016	115.68	36.68	32.41	31.2			30.4(-3.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-14	-10000	-1	-53	0.56	46%	-0.83	-30.4	11.98%	0	-1.2	19	0

16	Oct_20_2016	116.65	37.41	32.96	31.36			31.4(-1.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-16	-10000	-1	-59	0.31	46%	-0.78	-15.2	11.98%	0	-1.1	20	0
17	Oct_19_2016	117.57	38	33.56	31.6			31.8(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	-10000	-1	-61	0.23	45%	-0.77	-106.3	11.99%	0	-1.2	22	0
18	Oct_18_2016	118.48	38.39	34.36	31.72			31.8(3.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-10000	-4	-65	0.37	45%	-0.75	-173.7	11.99%	0	-1.2	19	0
19	Oct_17_2016	119.37	38.35	35.16	32.44			30.6(-1.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-22	-10000	-7	-68	0.4	45%	-0.73	-224.7	11.98%	0	-1.4	13	0
20	Oct_14_2016	120.25	38.4	36.25	33.84			31.2(-4.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-20	-10000	-5	-63	0.47	45%	-0.69	-251.7	11.98%	0	-1.2	12	0

21	Oct_13_2016	121.08	38.24	37.3	34.8			32.6(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10000	-5	-60	0.52	44%	-0.69	-59.5	11.98%	0	-0.2	21	0
22	Oct_12_2016	121.92	44.3	38.19	35.8			32.4(-8.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-7	-57	0.74	44%	-0.65	-45.9	11.98%	0	-0.3	28	0
23	Oct_11_2016	122.72	50.43	39.36	37.36			35.4(-5.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-10000	-4	-41	0.45	44%	-0.59	-40.5	11.94%	0	-0.3	47	0
24	Oct_10_2016	123.45	56.15	40.37	38.28			37.6(4.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-10000	-3	-19	0.46	44%	-0.55	-37.1	11.93%	0	-0.4	71	0
25	Oct_7_2016	124.13	62.01	41.28	39.08			36(-4.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10000	-5	4	1.04	44%		-34.7	11.92%	0	-0.5	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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