Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NVAX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $41.2000 (-6.36%) ($40.0000 - $45.0000) on Thu. Sep. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   11.99% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $41.2000(-6.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX declines -58.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(11%)    XBI(11%)    EEM(9%)    ARKG(8%)    FXI(8%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -5.995% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-3%)    XLRE(-2%)    VIXM(-2%)    VCSH(-2%)    BNDX(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.995% (StdDev 11.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.4%

Resistance Level   $92.79
5 Day Moving Average   $44.6(-7.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.34(4.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $92.79(-55.6%)
To recent high   -75.3%
To recent low   59.7%
Market Cap   $2.522b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 61.94% (three month std-dev: 11.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2016	127.54	92.79	39.34	44.6			41.2(-6.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-74	-10000	-1	-292	1.41	44%	-0.38	-34	11.99%	0	-0.9	43	0
2	Sep_28_2016	128.03	97.67	50.61	44.96			44(-3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-62	-10000	4	-259	1.46	47%	-0.39	-35.1	11.97%	0	-0.9	45	0
3	Sep_27_2016	128.53	102.55	61.79	43.92			45.6(-2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-48	-10000	13	-229	2.7	45%	-0.4	-37.2	12.04%	0	-1	47	0
4	Sep_26_2016	129.04	107.62	72.42	40.64			47(3.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-42	-10000	15	-212	1.9	45%	-0.36	-39.8	12.06%	0	-1.1	48	0
5	Sep_23_2016	129.51	112.64	83.55	37.2			45.2(5.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-34	-10000	19	-194	3.55	45%	-0.36	-42.6	12.06%	0	-1.3	49	0

6	Sep_22_2016	129.98	117.54	94.43	33.32			43(10.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-108	-10000	-71	-219	4.26	45%	-0.41	-47	12.05%	0	-1.5	48	0
7	Sep_21_2016	130.52	122.72	105.27	58.08			38.8(32.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-81	-10000	-51	-170	4.77	45%	-0.48	-41.6	11.97%	0	-1.8	45	0
8	Sep_20_2016	131.15	128.55	116.37	83.56			29.2(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-64	-10000	-42	-129	1.52	36%	-0.59	-34	11.22%	0	-2.3	31	0
9	Sep_19_2016	131.93	134.82	128.79	109.56			29.8(15.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-45	-10000	-35	-76	4.15	36%	-0.58	-24.9	11.22%	0	-2.8	31	0
10	Sep_16_2016	132.7	140.94	140.52	136.32			25.8(-84.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-3.9	-27	-10000	-29	-22	12.11	31%	-0.64	-9.1	11.04%	0	-4.1	23	0

11	Sep_15_2016	133.55	147.5	153.02	162.32			166.8(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	48	-10000	13	154	1.26	58%	0.44	51.8	3.31%	0	2	76	0
12	Sep_14_2016	132.96	146.4	150	158.96			166.2(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	-10000	17	132	0.3	60%	0.43	53.3	3.31%	0	2.3	72	0
13	Sep_13_2016	132.39	145.35	147.2	154.72			159.2(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	11	92	0.29	58%	0.39	44.2	3.29%	0	1.9	58	0
14	Sep_12_2016	131.88	144.79	145.57	151.88			163.6(5.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	37	-10000	23	77	0.45	58%	0.4	36.5	3.29%	0	2.8	64	0
15	Sep_9_2016	131.35	143.56	143.36	146.24			155.8(3.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	23	-10000	17	39	0.75	55%	0.36	6.3	3.25%	0	2.3	63	0

16	Sep_8_2016	130.88	142.59	141.43	142.36			150(3.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	9	-10000	12	1	0.26	53%	0.35	-29.1	3.22%	0	1.6	55	0
17	Sep_7_2016	130.42	141.91	140.32	139.72			145(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	-10000	5	-30	0.24	51%	0.3	-62.1	3.2%	0	0.7	47	0
18	Sep_6_2016	130.03	142.17	140.48	138.56			145(7.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-9	-10000	1	-40	0.25	55%	0.44	-56.8	3.21%	0	0.6	47	0
19	Sep_2_2016	129.46	142.38	140.35	138.4			135.4(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-7	-52	0.12	51%	0.19	-49.1	3.16%	0	-1.3	34	0
20	Sep_1_2016	129.22	143.24	140.91	140.04			136.4(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-1	-39	0.14	51%	0.19	-37.1	3.18%	0	-1.3	48	0

21	Aug_31_2016	128.97	143.93	141.68	140.24			136.8(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-10000	-3	-31	0.17	53%	0.22	-34.1	3.18%	0	-1.3	52	0
22	Aug_30_2016	128.69	144.7	142.73	140.84			139.2(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-8	-17	0.26	53%	0.23	-29.7	3.2%	0	-1.1	55	0
23	Aug_29_2016	128.39	144.97	143.57	142.6			144.2(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-2	-10000	-0	-6	0.18	55%	0.27	-24.4	3.19%	0	-0.2	45	0
24	Aug_26_2016	128.05	145.1	144.09	142.68			143.6(4.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	3	-4	0.27	57%	0.27	-23.3	3.23%	0	-0.3	45	0
25	Aug_25_2016	127.7	145.25	143.86	142.04			137.4(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-6	-26	0.28	58%		-27.3	3.21%	0	-1.6	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.