Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $103.0000 (6.19%) ($96.6000 - $103.2000) on Wed. May. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.84% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $103.0000(6.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX declines -4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(13%)    IBB(12%)    EEM(9%)    MCHI(9%)    ARKG(8%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -1.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-3%)    VIXM(-2%)    VCSH(-2%)    BNDX(-2%)    BND(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.92% (StdDev 3.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $93.72(9.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.2(10.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $99.47(3.55%)
To recent high   -9.3%
To recent low   18.9%
Market Cap   $6.305b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 8.16% (three month std-dev: 3.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2016	107.26	99.47	93.2	93.72			103(6.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10000	16	-62	0.31	56%	-0.68	-43.4	3.84%	0	0.4	42	0
2	May_17_2016	107.99	99.51	92.31	90.96			97(3.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-25	-10000	4	-112	0.32	54%	-0.65	-55.5	3.8%	0	-0.3	35	0
3	May_16_2016	108.7	99.95	92.54	90.24			93.8(6.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-35	-10000	-2	-135	0.21	56%	-0.14	-58.4	3.81%	0	-0.7	31	0
4	May_13_2016	108.85	100.74	93.65	90.64			88.2(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-5	-138	0.17	54%	-0.77	-57.3	3.8%	0	-1.5	23	0
5	May_12_2016	109.7	101.84	95.27	91.44			86.6(-2.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-40	-10000	-6	-140	0.18	54%	-0.76	-58	3.83%	0	-1.9	18	0

6	May_11_2016	110.54	103.12	97.49	92.44			89.2(-4.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-39	-10000	-7	-135	0.16	54%	-0.71	-59.7	3.82%	0	-1.9	24	0
7	May_10_2016	111.33	104.27	99.5	93.72			93.4(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-10000	-8	-121	0.31	56%	-0.74	-62.8	3.79%	0	-1.6	38	0
8	May_9_2016	112.16	105.11	101.13	95.16			95.8(3.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-10000	-12	-108	0.29	56%	-0.68	-60.4	3.78%	0	-1.5	38	0
9	May_6_2016	112.93	105.83	102.45	97.28			92.2(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-10000	-14	-95	0.24	54%	-0.75	-53	3.74%	0	-2.3	29	0
10	May_5_2016	113.78	106.79	104.47	99.8			91.6(-4.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-32	-10000	-18	-73	0.32	54%	-0.76	-49.2	3.77%	0	-2.9	29	0

11	May_4_2016	114.65	107.77	106.42	103.28			95.6(-4.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-22	-10000	-14	-46	0.35	59%	-0.62	-33.5	3.74%	0	-3.1	30	0
12	May_3_2016	115.37	108.71	107.47	106.04			100.6(-5.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-15	-10000	-9	-31	0.24	63%	-0.43	-4.2	3.76%	0	-2.8	34	0
13	May_2_2016	115.87	109.08	108.14	107.92			106.4(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-3	-18	0.26	62%	-0.43	22.9	3.71%	0	-1.2	46	0
14	Apr_29_2016	116.37	109.11	108.48	108.44			104.8(-3.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-9	-10000	-7	-15	0.27	64%	-0.54	42.4	3.79%	0	-2	43	0
15	Apr_28_2016	117	109.38	108.98	109.88			109(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1	-10000	-1	-2	0.28	61%	-0.44	68.8	3.82%	0	-0.2	48	0

16	Apr_27_2016	117.52	109.13	109.2	110.08			109.4(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	4	3	0.26	61%	-0.5	62.9	3.98%	0	0.1	50	0
17	Apr_26_2016	118.11	108.83	109.37	109.12			110(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	3	-7	0.28	61%	-0.45	38.7	4.04%	0	0.4	42	0
18	Apr_25_2016	118.64	108.56	109.3	108.38			109(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-10000	-1	-12	0.15	53%	-0.57	26.6	4.04%	0	0.1	55	0
19	Apr_22_2016	119.32	108.18	109.35	108.54			112(1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	-10000	2	-5	0.23	55%	-0.47	26.8	4.5%	0	1.1	61	0
20	Apr_21_2016	119.88	107.76	109.13	108.02			110(5.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-3	-10000	-1	-9	0.21	55%	-0.56	30.4	4.58%	0	0.7	51	0

21	Apr_20_2016	120.55	107.43	109.09	108.3			104.6(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-4	-10000	-5	-2	0.21	54%	-0.57	39.8	4.53%	0	-0.8	56	0
22	Apr_19_2016	121.24	107.72	110	109.66			106.3(-3.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	4	-10000	-2	20	0.26	51%	-0.56	65.4	4.53%	0	-0.4	59	0
23	Apr_18_2016	121.92	107.68	110.13	110.28			109.8(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	0	28	0.19	51%	-0.39	67.6	4.59%	0	0.6	62	0
24	Apr_15_2016	122.4	107.28	109.83	110.2			109.4(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-1	34	0.24	51%	-0.11	68.6	4.63%	0	0.6	66	0
25	Apr_14_2016	122.54	106.74	109.88	110.36			111.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	1	44	0.32	54%		66.5	4.62%	0	1.1	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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