Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $91.8000 (-4.18%) ($91.0000 - $97.8000) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.08% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $91.8000(-4.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(14%)    IBB(13%)    EEM(10%)    ARKG(9%)    FXI(9%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -2.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-3%)    VIXM(-3%)    XLRE(-2%)    VCSH(-2%)    BNDX(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.54% (StdDev 5.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4%

Resistance Level   $96.23
5 Day Moving Average   $97.2(-5.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.57(-4.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.23(-4.6%)
To recent high   -47.7%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $5.619b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 3.82% (three month std-dev: 5.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2016	138.55	96.23	96.57	97.2			91.8(-4.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	1	-10000	-4	15	0.3	46%	-0.4	-119.1	5.08%	0	-1.2	43	0
2	Feb_24_2016	139.1	96.95	96.8	98.28			95.8(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-4	24	0.3	46%	-0.3	-116	5.09%	0	-0.3	57	0
3	Feb_23_2016	139.52	97.73	96.52	99.4			96.6(-3.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-1	32	0.19	46%	-0.34	-91.5	5.11%	0	-0.2	54	0
4	Feb_22_2016	139.99	98.39	96.19	99.68			100.6(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	7	29	0.25	46%	-0.3	-93.3	5.13%	0	0.4	49	0
5	Feb_19_2016	140.41	99.79	95.69	98			101.2(4.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	9	11	0.43	44%	-0.25	-64.2	5.14%	0	0.1	47	0

6	Feb_18_2016	140.76	100.81	95.24	95.88			97.2(-4.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	3	-5	0.39	44%	-0.33	-60.5	5.2%	0	-0.3	50	0
7	Feb_17_2016	141.22	102.06	94.71	95.08			101.4(3.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	7	-25	0.4	46%	-0.2	-60.5	5.19%	0	-0.1	44	0
8	Feb_16_2016	141.5	102.96	93.89	93.28			98(6.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	4	-58	0.42	46%	-0.69	-64.4	5.25%	0	-0.4	36	0
9	Feb_12_2016	142.49	104.47	94.06	92.28			92.2(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	-10000	-3	-79	0.31	44%	-0.66	-64.3	5.18%	0	-0.9	32	0
10	Feb_11_2016	143.44	106.37	95.07	93.08			90.6(-2.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-31	-10000	-6	-104	0.53	44%	-0.71	-62.2	5.18%	0	-1.1	22	0

11	Feb_10_2016	144.46	107.88	95.79	94.48			93.2(0.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-29	-10000	1	-118	0.41	43%	-0.72	-69.6	5.18%	0	-1	31	0
12	Feb_9_2016	145.51	109.83	97.07	94.2			92.4(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-10000	-1	-135	0.43	41%	-0.74	-74.9	5.23%	0	-1.2	30	0
13	Feb_8_2016	146.6	111.78	99.03	94.52			93(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-10000	-6	-141	0.76	41%	-0.83	-81.4	5.28%	0	-1.3	33	0
14	Feb_5_2016	147.82	114.16	100.81	96.08			96.2(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-41	-10000	-5	-148	0.89	41%	-0.77	-83.4	5.29%	0	-1.2	31	0
15	Feb_4_2016	148.97	116.26	104.18	97.44			97.6(6.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	-10000	0	-138	0.55	41%	-0.7	-88.1	5.3%	0	-1.2	31	0

16	Feb_3_2016	150.02	118.86	106.73	97.4			91.8(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-10000	-11	-141	0.63	39%	-0.76	-89	5.23%	0	-1.6	36	0
17	Feb_2_2016	151.17	122.12	109.98	100.4			94(-6.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10000	-14	-133	0.65	43%	-0.68	-84.6	5.25%	0	-1.6	32	0
18	Feb_1_2016	152.21	125.29	112.81	104.18			100.8(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10000	-7	-115	0.42	45%	-0.67	-82.2	5.5%	0	-1.4	35	0
19	Jan_29_2016	153.23	128.57	115.74	106.26			103(5.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-10000	-19	-118	0.42	44%	-0.66	-83.4	5.49%	0	-1.5	33	0
20	Jan_28_2016	154.25	131.73	118.59	112.14			97.4(-8.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-10000	-17	-97	0.58	42%	-0.7	-71.2	5.49%	0	-1.9	31	0

21	Jan_27_2016	155.34	135.54	121.15	117.5			106.8(-5.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-10	-93	0.55	44%	-0.7	-65.3	5.43%	0	-1.6	30	0
22	Jan_26_2016	156.44	138.5	123.81	120.94			112.9(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-5	-94	1.2	44%	-0.29	-60.1	5.39%	0	-1.4	29	0
23	Jan_25_2016	156.89	141.33	125.73	122.64			111.2(-16.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-10000	-11	-107	1.01	44%	-0.62	-59.6	5.39%	0	-1.6	28	0
24	Jan_22_2016	157.87	144.18	128.78	126.44			132.4(6.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	-10000	1	-111	0.41	51%	-0.5	-60.1	5.06%	0	-0.7	31	0
25	Jan_21_2016	158.66	145.81	129.24	126.24			124.2(0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-32	-10000	2	-134	0.34	48%		-58	5%	0	-1.2	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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