Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $124.0000 (2.14%) ($109.2000 - $127.0000) on Wed. Jan. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.02% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $124.0000(2.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX declines -12.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(15%)    IBB(14%)    EEM(10%)    MCHI(10%)    ARKG(9%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -2.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-4%)    XLU(-3%)    BNDX(-3%)    VCSH(-2%)    TLT(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.51% (StdDev 5.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6%

Resistance Level   $148.21
5 Day Moving Average   $125.48(-1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $131.76(-5.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $148.21(-16.33%)
To recent high   -29.3%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $7.59b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 12.34% (three month std-dev: 5.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2016	159.64	148.21	131.76	125.48			124(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10000	-5	-154	0.43	46%	-0.56	-54.8	5.02%	0	-1.3	23	0
2	Jan_19_2016	160.54	150.58	134.99	127.24			121.4(-6.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-6	-150	0.41	46%	-1.05	-50.8	5.09%	0	-1.6	28	0
3	Jan_15_2016	162.25	153.24	138.56	129.26			130.2(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-44	-10000	-7	-153	0.52	48%	-0.64	-48.3	4.99%	0	-1.3	29	0
4	Jan_14_2016	163.3	155.53	142.15	131.5			131.4(9.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-39	-10000	-4	-142	0.55	48%	-0.53	-42.7	5.02%	0	-1.4	32	0
5	Jan_13_2016	164.17	157.27	145.61	132.9			120.4(-9.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-50	-10000	-18	-145	0.37	45%	-0.53	-42.5	4.89%	0	-2.2	23	0

6	Jan_12_2016	165.05	158.95	151	138.98			132.8(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-15	-121	0.34	48%	-0.51	-43.3	4.76%	0	-1.9	25	0
7	Jan_11_2016	165.89	160.22	154.37	143.98			131.5(-7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-38	-10000	-15	-105	0.29	48%	-0.69	-44.2	4.77%	0	-2.3	25	0
8	Jan_8_2016	167.04	162.04	158.32	149.2			141.4(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10000	-14	-87	0.15	51%	-0.64	-40.1	4.74%	0	-1.9	27	0
9	Jan_7_2016	168.12	163.08	161.04	154.48			138.4(-8.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-29	-10000	-15	-72	0.35	53%	-0.76	-37.5	4.78%	0	-2.6	23	0
10	Jan_6_2016	169.4	164.57	164	160.2			150.8(-4.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-10000	-12	-48	0.25	57%	-0.72	-30.4	4.73%	0	-1.8	43	0

11	Jan_5_2016	170.63	165.2	166.22	164.8			157.8(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-4	-10	0.15	57%	-0.75	-21.9	4.73%	0	-1.1	61	0
12	Jan_4_2016	171.92	166.02	167.56	166.36			157.6(-6.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-3	-10000	-6	6	0.24	57%	-1.2	-4.2	4.73%	0	-1.3	56	0
13	Dec_31_2015	174.01	166.46	169.21	168.76			167.8(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-10000	0	25	0.21	60%	-0.62	9.7	4.68%	0	0.2	53	0
14	Dec_30_2015	175.09	166.73	169.93	168.64			167(-3.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	1	37	0.14	63%	-0.64	22.7	4.71%	0	0	56	0
15	Dec_29_2015	176.22	166.91	169.74	168.36			173.8(4.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	1	35	0.15	54%	-0.29	35.5	4.84%	0	1	55	0

16	Dec_28_2015	176.73	166.72	167.38	168.04			165.6(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-2	21	0.15	51%	-0.58	53.8	5.53%	0	-0.2	54	0
17	Dec_24_2015	177.76	166.3	166.43	169.04			169.6(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10000	-2	14	0.09	49%	-0.4	65.9	5.58%	0	0.5	48	0
18	Dec_23_2015	178.47	165.82	165.93	169.8			167.2(0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-3	16	0.12	49%	-0.39	73.3	5.59%	0	0.2	52	0
19	Dec_22_2015	179.16	165.21	165.2	171.44			165.6(-3.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	5	-10000	1	15	0.18	49%	-0.43	79.2	5.6%	0	0.1	47	0
20	Dec_21_2015	179.94	164.53	165.18	171.16			172.2(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	10	15	0.25	47%	-0.38	78.7	5.58%	0	0.9	51	0

21	Dec_18_2015	180.63	163.17	164.05	166.44			170.6(-1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	7	-9	0.49	47%	-0.4	61.3	5.63%	0	0.8	50	0
22	Dec_17_2015	181.36	161.75	164.24	163.24			173.4(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	-10000	4	-12	0.28	47%	-0.36	50.9	5.64%	0	1.1	59	0
23	Dec_16_2015	182.02	160.71	163.3	161.56			175.4(6.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	-10000	7	-14	0.31	47%	-0.38	56.1	5.66%	0	1.5	58	0
24	Dec_15_2015	182.71	159.39	162.95	158.36			164.2(10.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-5	-10000	-1	-17	0.31	44%	-0.38	53.3	5.6%	0	0.5	57	0
25	Dec_14_2015	183.4	158.26	163.54	158.64			148.6(-3.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-6	-6	0.23	40%		46.5	5.47%	0	-0.9	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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