Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $160.2000 (2.56%) ($158.2000 - $164.0000) on Tue. Apr. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.69% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $160.2000(2.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX declines -8.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(18%)    IBB(17%)    EEM(12%)    FXI(11%)    XLV(11%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -1.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-6%)    BNDX(-3%)    XLU(-2%)    TLT(-2%)    LQD(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.845% (StdDev 3.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

Resistance Level   $175.12
5 Day Moving Average   $161.32(-0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $163.77(-2.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $175.12(-8.52%)
To recent high   -17.5%
To recent low   37.4%
Market Cap   $9.806b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 7.82% (three month std-dev: 3.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2015	146.06	175.12	163.77	161.32			160.2(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-10000	-8	-134	0.15	57%	0.45	-29.4	3.69%	0	-1.1	36	0
2	Apr_6_2015	145.4	175.99	166.62	163.84			156.2(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-5	-120	0.17	57%	0.66	-26.5	3.69%	0	-1.5	34	0
3	Apr_2_2015	144.44	177.1	170.05	165.48			158.8(-4.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-23	-10000	5	-105	0.22	57%	0.39	-28.1	3.67%	0	-1.5	37	0
4	Apr_1_2015	143.88	178.2	173.5	164.04			166(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	-10000	4	-107	0.23	60%	0.44	-36.5	3.64%	0	-1.1	40	0
5	Mar_31_2015	143.25	178.81	175.79	162.76			165.4(-4.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-10000	-13	-112	0.2	60%	0.44	-44.4	3.67%	0	-1.2	44	0

6	Mar_30_2015	142.62	179.23	178.13	166.68			172.8(5.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-32	-10000	-12	-90	0.4	63%	0.54	-42.6	3.62%	0	-0.6	48	0
7	Mar_27_2015	141.85	179.56	179.65	170.32			164.4(8.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-17	-67	0.45	61%	0.45	-38.8	3.57%	0	-1.4	46	0
8	Mar_26_2015	141.21	180.56	181.92	175.76			151.6(-5.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-30	-10000	-27	-38	1.01	56%	0.36	-29.9	3.45%	0	-2.9	34	0
9	Mar_25_2015	140.7	182.43	185.69	184.28			159.6(-13.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-3.2	-10	-10000	-19	16	0.45	60%	0.36	-8.6	3.38%	0	-2.9	37	0
10	Mar_24_2015	140.19	183.89	188.13	190.24			185(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	16	-10000	-3	71	0.21	76%	0.56	20.6	2.86%	0	0.2	66	0

11	Mar_23_2015	139.41	183.92	187.78	190.96			191(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	2	90	0.15	73%	0.59	31.1	2.82%	0	1.2	82	0
12	Mar_20_2015	138.59	183.79	186.33	190.4			191.6(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	4	84	0.44	73%	0.6	39.3	2.91%	0	1.3	66	0
13	Mar_19_2015	137.77	183.64	184.81	189.24			194.2(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	6	72	0.18	73%	0.66	53.2	2.92%	0	1.8	61	0
14	Mar_18_2015	136.87	183.11	183.2	187.56			189.4(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	7	56	0.15	73%	0.61	67.4	2.91%	0	1.2	52	0
15	Mar_17_2015	136.04	182.68	181.91	185.74			188.6(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	6	34	0.15	75%	0.56	72.8	2.91%	0	1.1	50	0

16	Mar_16_2015	135.28	182.07	180.2	184.1			188.2(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-10000	9	10	0.21	75%	0.66	79.3	2.97%	0	1.2	50	0
17	Mar_13_2015	134.39	181.46	179.14	181.62			185.8(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10000	7	-18	0.19	75%	0.67	82	2.98%	0	0.8	43	0
18	Mar_12_2015	133.5	180.62	178.74	179.66			185.8(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-6	-10000	5	-38	0.2	75%	0.7	70.3	3%	0	0.9	42	0
19	Mar_11_2015	132.57	179.62	178.61	178.26			180.3(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	3	-47	0.19	74%	0.64	63.7	3.03%	0	0.1	44	0
20	Mar_10_2015	131.73	178.95	179.15	177.52			180.4(2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	7	-45	0.18	74%	0.63	65.9	3.04%	0	0.2	50	0

21	Mar_9_2015	130.9	178.04	179.65	175.72			175.8(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-2	-51	0.16	74%	0.63	56	3.05%	0	-0.3	52	0
22	Mar_6_2015	130.08	177.33	181	176.24			176(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-10000	-5	-37	0.18	74%	0.58	54.2	3.03%	0	-0.1	53	0
23	Mar_5_2015	129.33	176.61	182.39	177.64			178.8(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-10000	-5	-8	0.22	74%	0.69	56.1	3.03%	0	0.2	65	0
24	Mar_4_2015	128.44	175.49	183.04	179.12			176.6(3.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-0	-10000	-7	20	0.19	74%	0.71	56.1	3.04%	0	0.1	66	0
25	Mar_3_2015	127.54	174.25	183.62	181.12			171.4(-3.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10000	-11	48	0.54	74%		52.8	3.04%	0	-0.2	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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