Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $122.6000 (0.99%) ($120.0000 - $124.2000) on Mon. Jan. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.83% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $122.6000(0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 3.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX advances 8.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -1.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
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Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.915% (StdDev 3.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $119.36(2.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $111.66(9.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $106.8(14.79%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   122.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 7.4% (three month std-dev: 3.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_17_2014	74.21	106.8	111.66	119.36			122.6(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	-10000	17	133	0.19	86%	0.83	115.9	3.83%	0	2	75	0
2	Jan_16_2014	73.6	105.17	109.93	115.56			121.4(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	-10000	17	108	0.19	86%	0.86	113	3.83%	0	2.2	75	0
3	Jan_15_2014	72.97	103.56	108.12	112			120.2(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	-10000	16	83	0.28	86%	0.87	106.5	3.84%	0	2.3	75	0
4	Jan_14_2014	72.34	102.12	106.24	108.6			122.4(11.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	32	-10000	22	61	0.47	86%	0.89	103.4	3.84%	0	2.9	79	0
5	Jan_13_2014	71.7	99.87	104.15	104.14			110.2(6.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	-10000	6	25	0.53	85%	0.76	101.5	3.66%	0	1.9	73	0

6	Jan_10_2014	71.16	98.36	103.33	102.94			103.6(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-10000	-3	24	0.22	85%	0.66	72	3.6%	0	0.7	74	0
7	Jan_9_2014	70.69	97.29	103.24	103.46			103.6(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	-10000	-1	49	0.22	79%	0.67	64.9	3.65%	0	0.8	78	0
8	Jan_8_2014	70.22	96.33	103.05	103.58			103.2(3.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	18	-10000	1	68	0.18	74%	0.64	63.7	3.8%	0	0.8	79	0
9	Jan_7_2014	69.77	95.45	102.83	103.42			100.1(-3.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-3	78	0.28	74%	0.63	66.5	3.91%	0	0.5	67	0
10	Jan_6_2014	69.33	94.7	102.75	104.04			104.2(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	2	121	0.23	77%	0.76	73.7	3.88%	0	1	88	0

11	Jan_3_2014	68.81	93.54	101.76	103.72			106.2(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	-10000	4	147	0.43	77%	0.79	79.1	3.87%	0	1.4	86	0
12	Jan_2_2014	68.27	92.23	100.22	103			104.2(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	42	-10000	3	160	0.27	77%	1.14	84.7	3.87%	0	1.3	80	0
13	Dec_31_2013	67.5	90.99	98.79	102.48			102.4(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	44	-10000	2	171	0.16	77%	0.84	90	3.87%	0	1.2	73	0
14	Dec_30_2013	66.94	89.72	97.79	102.16			103.2(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	-10000	5	187	0.2	77%	0.87	94.4	3.87%	0	1.5	71	0
15	Dec_27_2013	66.36	88.28	95.34	101.24			102.6(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	51	-10000	9	175	0.13	77%	0.87	96.7	3.87%	0	1.5	71	0

16	Dec_26_2013	65.79	86.71	93.04	99.44			102.6(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	-10000	13	161	0.14	77%	1.01	101.5	3.87%	0	1.8	74	0
17	Dec_24_2013	65.13	85.01	90.89	96.96			101.6(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	13	143	0.18	77%	0.79	93.1	3.85%	0	1.8	74	0
18	Dec_23_2013	64.62	83.34	89.04	94.52			100.8(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	-10000	10	128	0.56	77%	0.75	92.3	3.85%	0	2	75	0
19	Dec_20_2013	64.14	81.73	87.37	92.8			98.6(5.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	53	-10000	25	135	0.77	77%	0.71	98.4	3.85%	0	2	76	0
20	Dec_19_2013	63.69	80.16	85.85	88.56			93.6(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	-10000	18	108	0.32	75%	0.63	93	3.81%	0	1.7	75	0

21	Dec_18_2013	63.29	78.6	84.52	85.64			90.2(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	32	-10000	11	93	0.3	75%	0.62	82.7	3.8%	0	1.4	76	0
22	Dec_17_2013	62.9	77.25	83.5	83.84			89.4(-3.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	7	95	0.45	75%	0.64	78.7	3.82%	0	1.5	78	0
23	Dec_16_2013	62.5	75.83	82.48	82.72			92.2(19.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	34	-10000	9	108	0.82	72%	0.69	74.9	3.8%	0	2	82	0
24	Dec_13_2013	62.07	74.24	80.9	81.32			77.4(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	24	-10000	-11	127	0.15	65%	0.44	75.6	3.09%	0	0.4	70	0
25	Dec_12_2013	61.8	73.46	80.7	82.76			79(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	41	-10000	-3	173	0.17	65%		81.8	3.08%	0	0.7	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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