Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 20, 2013

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $98.6000 (5.34%) ($92.4000 - $99.4000) on Fri. Dec. 20, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.85% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $98.6000(5.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 4.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX advances 8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(12%)    FXI(11%)    IWM(11%)    EWI(10%)    EWJ(10%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -1.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-5%)    TLT(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)    BNDX(-3%)    XLU(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.925% (StdDev 3.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $92.8(6.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.37(12.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.73(20.64%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   78.6%
Market Cap   $6.035b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 10.25% (three month std-dev: 3.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2013	64.14	81.73	87.37	92.8			98.6(5.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	53	-10000	25	135	0.77	77%	0.71	98.4	3.85%	0	2	76	0
2	Dec_19_2013	63.69	80.16	85.85	88.56			93.6(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	-10000	18	108	0.32	75%	0.63	93	3.81%	0	1.7	75	0
3	Dec_18_2013	63.29	78.6	84.52	85.64			90.2(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	32	-10000	11	93	0.3	75%	0.62	82.7	3.8%	0	1.4	76	0
4	Dec_17_2013	62.9	77.25	83.5	83.84			89.4(-3.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	7	95	0.45	75%	0.64	78.7	3.82%	0	1.5	78	0
5	Dec_16_2013	62.5	75.83	82.48	82.72			92.2(19.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	34	-10000	9	108	0.82	72%	0.69	74.9	3.8%	0	2	82	0

6	Dec_13_2013	62.07	74.24	80.9	81.32			77.4(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	24	-10000	-11	127	0.15	65%	0.44	75.6	3.09%	0	0.4	70	0
7	Dec_12_2013	61.8	73.46	80.7	82.76			79(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	41	-10000	-3	173	0.17	65%	0.47	81.8	3.08%	0	0.7	76	0
8	Dec_11_2013	61.51	72.46	80.03	83.12			81.2(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	55	-10000	2	213	0.16	65%	0.52	81.3	3.06%	0	1	86	0
9	Dec_10_2013	61.19	71.28	78.89	82.92			83.8(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	65	-10000	7	239	0.18	68%	0.56	78.2	3.03%	0	1.4	89	0
10	Dec_9_2013	60.85	70.04	77.38	82.08			85.2(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	76	-10000	14	260	0.19	69%	0.56	77.9	3.02%	0	1.7	93	0

11	Dec_6_2013	60.51	68.65	75.78	80.44			84.6(4.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	79	-10000	17	266	0.36	71%	0.58	74.8	3.05%	0	1.9	93	0
12	Dec_5_2013	60.16	67.15	74.06	78.4			80.8(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	79	-10000	17	263	0.28	66%	0.48	67.2	3.04%	0	1.7	93	0
13	Dec_4_2013	59.87	65.89	72.23	76.48			80.2(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	78	-10000	20	250	0.22	66%	0.49	59.5	3.08%	0	1.9	93	0
14	Dec_3_2013	59.58	64.75	70.48	74.2			79.6(3.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	74	-10000	20	237	0.75	66%	0.46	56	3.08%	0	2.1	94	0
15	Dec_2_2013	59.31	63.68	68.6	71.96			77(3.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	63	-10000	14	209	0.47	65%	0.42	55.4	3.06%	0	2.1	82	0

16	Nov_29_2013	59.06	62.8	66.95	70.44			74.4(4.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	60	-10000	13	199	0.11	65%	0.51	58.8	3.04%	0	2.2	82	0
17	Nov_27_2013	58.76	62.11	65.55	69.12			71.2(3.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	-10000	18	203	0.17	63%	0.34	66.1	3.02%	0	2	83	0
18	Nov_26_2013	58.56	61.59	64.25	67.32			68.8(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	-10000	12	179	0.15	64%	0.31	67.5	3.02%	0	1.8	78	0
19	Nov_25_2013	58.38	61.02	63.08	66.12			68.4(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	-10000	15	155	0.13	64%	0.27	63.9	3.09%	0	1.9	69	0
20	Nov_22_2013	58.22	60.42	62.15	64.64			69.4(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	47	-10000	18	133	0.3	64%	0.19	56.7	3.09%	0	2.6	67	0

21	Nov_21_2013	58.11	59.79	60.96	62.92			67.8(9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	35	-10000	15	94	0.28	64%	0.36	49.7	3.08%	0	2.9	61	0
22	Nov_20_2013	57.9	59.26	59.67	61.52			62.2(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	9	50	0.13	60%	0.29	40.2	2.9%	0	1.3	49	0
23	Nov_19_2013	57.73	58.96	59.06	60.72			62.8(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	13	18	0.1	64%	0.37	23.5	2.91%	0	1.8	50	0
24	Nov_18_2013	57.52	58.67	58.58	59.56			61(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10000	3	-7	0.21	63%	0.35	8.6	3.11%	0	1.2	58	0
25	Nov_15_2013	57.32	58.52	58.38	59.24			60.8(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	6	-4	0.17	66%		2.5	3.12%	0	1.2	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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