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     Fri. Jan. 27, 2012

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)

NVAX latest price $29.0000 (7.41%) ($26.9000 - $29.6000) on Fri. Jan. 27, 2012.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.7% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $29.0000(7.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  NVAX advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  NVAX advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  EEM(12%)    FXI(12%)    IWM(12%)    EWI(11%)    QQQ(11%)  
Factors Impacting NVAX price  NVAX will decline at least -1.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-4%)    LQD(-2%)    XLU(-1%)    TIP(-1%)    SHY(0%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.85% (StdDev 3.7%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   7.4%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $28(3.57%)
10 Day Moving Average  $27.13(6.89%)
20 Day Moving Average  $27.03(7.29%)
To recent high  -14.7%
To recent low  16%
Market Cap  $1.775b
 
 
 
Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 3.66% (three month std-dev: 3.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: %(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20120227

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1Jan_27_201229.2227.0327.1328  29(7.41%)UTOpenLong751   15   -10000   11   28   0.25    57%-0.2469.43.7%02560
2Jan_26_201229.2926.8226.9127.44  27(-2.88%)UDOpenLong75-0.4   5   -10000   4   8   0.02    52%-0.2751.83.66%00.2520
3Jan_25_201229.3726.7526.8727.24  27.8(1.46%)N/AN/A00.5   4   -10000   6   -4   0.02    52%-0.2741.33.65%01510
4Jan_24_201229.4526.6326.8126.96  27.4(-4.86%)N/AN/A00.4   1   -10000   6   -14   0.03    52%-0.0728.63.71%00.7490
5Jan_23_201229.4726.5226.9126.68  28.8(9.92%)N/AN/A01.9   7   -10000   11   -4   0.14    56%-0.214.93.74%02.1660
 
6Jan_20_201229.5326.3626.7426.16  26.2(0.77%)DPOpenShort-750   -6   -10000   -3   -15   0.02    49%-0.27-4.53.52%0-0.2590
7Jan_19_201229.6126.3626.8126.32  26(-1.52%)N/AN/A0-0.3   -2   -10000   -3   1   0.03    49%-0.4-3.33.53%0-0.3590
8Jan_18_201229.7326.3626.9726.44  26.4(1.54%)UDOpenLong65-0   2   -10000   -4   18   0.02    49%-0.44-9.53.53%00.1580
9Jan_17_201229.8626.3227.0926.64  26(-0.76%)UDOpenLong65-0.6   1   -10000   -11   35   0.04    44%-0.2-12.53.54%0-0.3560
10Jan_13_201229.9226.3627.0427.16  26.2(-2.96%)UDOpenLong65-0.9   11   -10000   -5   57   0.04    44%-0.03-63.6%0-0.2590
 
11Jan_12_201229.9326.426.9527.4  27(1.5%)UTOpenLong75-0.4   18   -10000   1   67   0.13    44%-0.07-103.59%00.6600
12Jan_11_201229.9526.3626.7727.36  26.6(-2.92%)UDOpenLong65-0.7   13   -10000   -4   62   0.04    44%0.03-27.93.64%00.2590
13Jan_10_201229.9426.4226.6727.56  27.4(-4.2%)UDOpenLong65-0.2   17   -10000   -1   70   0.04    44%0.1-28.23.65%00.9610
14Jan_9_201229.9126.4626.4727.6  28.6(4.38%)UTOpenLong750.9   29   -10000   14   73   0.07    47%0.1-28.83.63%01.9610
15Jan_6_201229.8826.4326.1126.92  27.4(2.24%)UTOpenLong750.4   17   -10000   10   38   0.06    43%0.07-43.53.61%00.9530
 
16Jan_5_201229.8626.5125.9226.44  26.8(-2.9%)UDOpenLong750.3   9   -10000   8   12   0.02    43%0-45.83.62%00.2470
17Jan_4_201229.8626.6525.7826.08  27.6(0%)N/AN/A01.1   7   -10000   10   -4   0.02    43%0-31.63.62%00.7590
18Jan_3_201229.8626.7225.5725.64  27.6(9.52%)DPOpenShort-651.3   -1   -10000   10   -33   0.06    36%0.03-26.73.63%00.6450
19Dec_30_201129.8526.7825.4425.64  25.2(0.8%)DPOpenShort-750   -16   -10000   0   -64   0.05    26%-0.07-21.73.64%0-0.9230
20Dec_29_201129.8726.9125.5925.2  25(0%)DTHoldShort-50-0.1   -21   -10000   -3   -74   0.04    26%0-14.93.64%0-1.2230
 
21Dec_28_201129.8727.0525.7825.32  25(-1.57%)DTHoldShort-65-0.2   -22   -10000   -2   -83   0.03    26%-0.07-10.23.66%0-1.3200
22Dec_27_201129.8927.0925.9125.4  25.4(0%)DPOpenShort-650   -27   -10000   -2   -102   0.02    26%0.07-11.83.66%0-1.1190
23Dec_23_201129.8727.1426.1525.48  25.4(0.79%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -31   -10000   -5   -108   0.04    26%-0.2-12.83.68%0-1.1290
24Dec_22_201129.9327.1526.4625.72  25.2(-1.56%)DTOpenShort-75-0.3   -31   -10000   -7   -103   0.04    26%-0.3-13.23.75%0-1.3270
25Dec_21_201130.0227.1626.7826.04  25.6(0.79%)DPOpenShort-75-0.3   -27   -10000   -6   -90   0.03    26%-16.63.82%0-1410
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
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BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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