Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 27, 2009

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $86.0000 (-2.49%) ($84.2000 - $89.4000) on Tue. Oct. 27, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.21% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $86.0000(-2.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX advances 7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(18%)    EEM(17%)    VWO(16%)    EWI(15%)    FXI(15%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -3.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    LQD(-2%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.105% (StdDev 6.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.24(2.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.62(6.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.23(11.36%)
To recent high   -35.3%
To recent low   25.4%
Market Cap   $5.264b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 6.82% (three month std-dev: 6.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_27_2009	81.07	77.23	80.62	84.24			86(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	7	70	0.17	70%	0.4	13.8	6.21%	0	1.7	69	0
2	Oct_26_2009	80.75	76.97	79.57	82.44			88.2(9.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	-10000	10	61	0.38	70%	0.45	-6.3	6.7%	0	2.1	69	0
3	Oct_23_2009	80.39	76.85	78.05	79.8			80.8(-2.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	3	42	0.12	68%	0.2	-31.7	6.68%	0	0.8	61	0
4	Oct_22_2009	80.23	76.59	77.95	79.12			83.2(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	4	52	0.2	68%	0.58	-60.5	6.67%	0	1.4	69	0
5	Oct_21_2009	79.77	76.34	76.66	78.04			83(7.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	6	43	0.55	68%	0.58	-75.2	6.68%	0	1.3	61	0

6	Oct_20_2009	79.31	76.51	75.36	76.52			77(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	1	22	0.24	66%	0.49	-76.4	6.65%	0	0.1	48	0
7	Oct_19_2009	78.92	77.32	74.82	76.28			75(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-10000	1	9	0.15	66%	0.5	-71.6	6.64%	0	-0.3	43	0
8	Oct_16_2009	78.53	78.43	74.67	75.96			77.4(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-10000	-2	-11	0.27	66%	0.5	-66.3	6.64%	0	-0.1	40	0
9	Oct_15_2009	78.14	79.64	73.81	76.56			77.8(3.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	6	-12	0.29	66%	0.53	-65.1	6.67%	0	-0.2	53	0
10	Oct_14_2009	77.73	80.54	73.31	75.04			75.4(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	-10000	4	-30	0.12	66%	0.48	-71.1	6.67%	0	-0.5	49	0

11	Oct_13_2009	77.36	81.79	73.6	74			75.8(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	-10000	4	-46	0.34	66%	-0.03	-70.7	6.67%	0	-0.5	43	0
12	Oct_12_2009	77.38	83.46	74.15	74			73.4(-8.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	0	-66	0.19	66%	0.47	-68.9	6.68%	0	-0.7	38	0
13	Oct_9_2009	77.02	85.32	75.5	73.12			80.4(14.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	10	-73	0.59	71%	0.59	-64.7	6.58%	0	-0.3	39	0
14	Oct_8_2009	76.57	86.89	75	70.76			70.2(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-33	-10000	-3	-122	0.12	67%	0.43	-63.6	6.37%	0	-1	27	0
15	Oct_7_2009	76.24	89.3	75.94	71.36			70.2(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-10000	-8	-136	0.08	67%	0.42	-60.4	6.4%	0	-1.1	34	0

16	Oct_6_2009	75.92	91.84	77.71	73.16			71.4(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-10000	-9	-137	0.14	67%	0.45	-60.1	6.44%	0	-1.2	32	0
17	Oct_5_2009	75.58	94.25	80	75.36			73.4(7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10000	-12	-140	0.17	67%	0.52	-59.4	6.44%	0	-1.2	30	0
18	Oct_2_2009	75.19	96.15	82.48	78.32			68.6(-6.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-6	-132	0.19	65%	0.49	-59.5	6.44%	0	-1.7	25	0
19	Oct_1_2009	74.82	98.62	85.99	79.8			73.2(-7.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-10000	-5	-131	0.28	65%	0.56	-60.4	6.39%	0	-1.6	26	0
20	Sep_30_2009	74.4	100.95	88.46	81.04			79.2(-3.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-10000	-7	-140	0.25	78%	0.59	-61.9	6.48%	0	-1.5	26	0

21	Sep_29_2009	73.96	103.61	90.71	82.88			82.4(-6.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-10000	-8	-126	0.24	78%	0.68	-50.2	7.49%	0	-1.4	27	0
22	Sep_28_2009	73.46	105.57	93.54	85.44			88.2(16.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10000	-7	-121	0.49	78%	0.74	-44.1	7.46%	0	-1.2	30	0
23	Sep_25_2009	72.92	107.1	95.83	87.64			76(-4.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-10000	-17	-120	0.25	75%	0.57	-35.9	7.22%	0	-2.1	27	0
24	Sep_24_2009	72.51	109.11	99.72	93.24			79.4(-10.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-32	-10000	-10	-97	0.36	75%	0.6	-24.3	7.2%	0	-2.3	26	0
25	Sep_23_2009	72.08	111.17	103.8	96.84			88.4(-7.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-8	-83	0.33	83%		-11	7.06%	0	-2.1	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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