Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 11, 2008

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $51.8000 (1.57%) ($49.8000 - $52.4000) on Fri. Jul. 11, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.56% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $51.8000(1.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(23%)    EEM(21%)    QQQ(20%)    SPY(20%)    EWI(19%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -1.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    LQD(-1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.78% (StdDev 3.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.28(9.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.11(9.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.17(5.35%)
To recent high   -14.8%
To recent low   19.9%
Market Cap   $3.171b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 6.57% (three month std-dev: 3.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2008	52.69	49.17	47.11	47.28			51.8(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	1	-10000	15	-40	0.01	42%	-0.08	-47.3	3.56%	0	0.8	47	0
2	Jul_10_2008	52.73	49.17	46.68	46.08			51(10.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-9	-10000	14	-77	0.01	42%	-0.11	-61.3	3.58%	0	0.5	46	0
3	Jul_9_2008	52.79	49.21	46.51	44.92			46(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-10000	-1	-118	0.02	36%	-0.23	-82	3.31%	0	-1	38	0
4	Jul_8_2008	52.91	49.52	46.83	45			44.4(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-10000	-14	-142	0.02	33%	-0.17	-93.5	3.27%	0	-1.6	29	0
5	Jul_7_2008	53	50.04	47.48	46.08			43.2(-5.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-10000	-10	-128	0.01	33%	-0.41	-94.2	3.25%	0	-2.1	30	0

6	Jul_3_2008	53.22	50.75	48.43	46.84			45.8(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-6	-114	0.01	35%	-0.28	-88.3	3.18%	0	-1.5	37	0
7	Jul_2_2008	53.37	51.32	49.1	47.32			45.2(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-10000	-13	-110	0.01	35%	-0.3	-80.1	3.18%	0	-1.7	34	0
8	Jul_1_2008	53.53	52.09	49.75	48.32			46.4(-6.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-8	-90	0.02	35%	-0.28	-67.9	3.16%	0	-1.5	41	0
9	Jun_30_2008	53.68	52.76	50.58	48.92			49.8(5.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-10000	-3	-70	0.01	42%	-0.2	-59.9	3.09%	0	-0.8	46	0
10	Jun_27_2008	53.79	53.24	50.91	49.16			47(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10000	-15	-77	0.27	37%	-0.32	-52.4	3.04%	0	-1.6	32	0

11	Jun_26_2008	53.96	53.9	51.47	50.28			48.2(-3.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-10000	-11	-71	0.02	36%	-0.26	-47.2	3.03%	0	-1.5	30	0
12	Jun_25_2008	54.1	54.45	51.99	51.16			50.2(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-3	-63	0.01	42%	-0.24	-43.1	3.04%	0	-1.2	33	0
13	Jun_24_2008	54.23	54.76	52.14	51.4			49.4(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-13	-91	0.01	40%	-0.4	-44.5	3.13%	0	-1.6	26	0
14	Jun_23_2008	54.45	55.12	52.44	52.48			51(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-5	-92	0.01	41%	-0.24	-39.9	3.16%	0	-1.3	30	0
15	Jun_20_2008	54.58	55.4	52.81	52.92			52.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-24	-10000	1	-98	0.01	41%	-0.18	-37.4	3.16%	0	-0.9	33	0

16	Jun_19_2008	54.68	55.75	53.25	52.84			52.6(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-10000	-1	-108	0.01	41%	-0.15	-30.5	3.18%	0	-1	32	0
17	Jun_18_2008	54.76	56.03	53.68	52.84			51.4(-6.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-10000	0	-113	0.01	41%	-0.11	-23.3	3.17%	0	-1.5	32	0
18	Jun_17_2008	54.82	56.33	54.58	52.96			54.8(3.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-20	-10000	7	-101	0.01	42%	-0.04	-18.6	3.07%	0	-0.5	49	0
19	Jun_16_2008	54.84	56.45	55.04	52.4			53.2(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-29	-10000	-4	-104	0.01	42%	-0.07	-16.3	3.1%	0	-1.1	45	0
20	Jun_13_2008	54.88	56.59	55.68	52.72			52.2(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-12	-92	0	45%	-0.04	-11.8	3.1%	0	-1.6	41	0

21	Jun_12_2008	54.9	56.74	56.46	53.76			53.2(3.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-9	-71	0.01	48%	-0.02	1.5	3.15%	0	-1.3	35	0
22	Jun_11_2008	54.91	56.77	57.08	54.56			51.4(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-30	-10000	-21	-58	0.01	46%	-0.07	14.3	3.21%	0	-2	37	0
23	Jun_10_2008	54.95	56.87	57.62	56.44			52(-5.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-19	-10000	-17	-26	0.01	44%	-0.05	34.3	3.21%	0	-1.9	42	0
24	Jun_9_2008	54.98	56.87	58.11	58.04			54.8(-4.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-8	-10000	-11	1	0.01	46%	-0.05	51.1	3.21%	0	-0.8	46	0
25	Jun_6_2008	55.01	56.92	58.31	59.04			57.4(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-6	24	0.01	46%		65.4	3.15%	0	0.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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