Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NVAX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 19, 2007

Trading Signals: NVAX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Novavax, Inc.)
NVAX latest price $64.6000 (9.49%) ($58.0000 - $68.0000) on Thu. Apr. 19, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.35% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $64.6000(9.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NVAX advances 3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NVAX advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NVAX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(23%)    EEM(21%)    SPY(21%)    QQQ(20%)    VWO(20%)
Factors Impacting NVAX price   NVAX will decline at least -2.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    LQD(-1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.175% (StdDev 4.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.32(5.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.65(10.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.15(13.04%)
To recent high   -23.5%
To recent low   24.7%
Market Cap   $3.954b

Novavax, Inc. is operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which focuses on the discovery, development and commercialization of vaccines to prevent infectious diseases. It produces vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats by using the proprietary recombinant nanoparticle vaccine technology. The firm's vaccine candidates include ResVax and NanoFlu. It also develops immune stimulating saponin-based adjuvants through its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary, Novavax AB. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

JUL 7, 2020 Shares of NVAX surged more than 40% on the news ts has received $1.6 to develop and to deliver up to 100 million doses of the company’s late-stage Covid-19 vaccine candidate as part of the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed program.
The vaccine, which focuses on boosting the body’s immune system to effectively combat a Covid-19 infection, is currently in phase 1 and phase 2 clinical trials in Australia, with preliminary results expected at the end of this month.

$. NVAX price fluctuates within 6.23% (three month std-dev: 4.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070519

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_19_2007	73.97	57.15	58.65	61.32			64.6(9.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	14	64	0.16	62%	-0.51	50.1	4.35%	0	2.1	69	0
2	Apr_18_2007	74.35	56.63	57.94	59.56			59(-3.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	8	52	0.02	54%	-0.54	38.3	4.18%	0	0.8	62	0
3	Apr_17_2007	74.75	56.39	58.08	58.6			61.2(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	10	53	0.03	51%	-0.52	23.6	4.22%	0	1.5	62	0
4	Apr_16_2007	75.14	56	57.99	57.4			61.4(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	22	-10000	11	54	0.09	57%	-0.54	2.3	4.29%	0	1.8	64	0
5	Apr_13_2007	75.55	55.66	57.05	56.04			60.4(8.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	9	-10000	3	25	0.09	57%	-0.21	-23.5	4.62%	0	1.8	62	0

6	Apr_12_2007	75.71	55.42	56.26	55.68			55.8(2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-10000	-4	14	0.04	53%	-0.62	-41.2	4.53%	0	0.2	54	0
7	Apr_11_2007	76.18	55.45	56.05	56.16			54.2(-1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-10	15	0.03	53%	-0.7	-34	4.5%	0	-0.5	52	0
8	Apr_10_2007	76.72	55.66	56.15	57.48			55.2(1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-9	36	0.04	55%	-0.7	-19.7	4.5%	0	-0.2	55	0
9	Apr_9_2007	77.26	55.94	56.15	58.64			54.6(-6.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.4	18	-10000	4	58	0.09	55%	-1.05	2.4	4.54%	0	-0.5	55	0
10	Apr_5_2007	78.08	56.29	56.02	58.08			58.6(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	10	52	0.04	59%	-0.64	-2.8	4.46%	0	0.7	59	0

11	Apr_4_2007	78.58	56.44	55.61	56.84			58.2(-4.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	8	32	0.06	61%	-0.53	-16.3	4.45%	0	0.5	55	0
12	Apr_3_2007	79	56.29	55.25	55.88			60.8(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	11	-10000	10	15	0.13	58%	-0.5	-38.8	4.48%	0	1.4	60	0
13	Apr_2_2007	79.4	56.16	54.53	54.68			61(17.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	7	-10000	12	-10	0.6	58%	-0.44	-64.3	4.53%	0	1.5	53	0
14	Mar_30_2007	79.75	55.87	53.74	53.2			51.8(-1.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-19	-10000	-5	-60	0.03	50%	-0.55	-99	3.92%	0	-1.3	16	0
15	Mar_29_2007	80.19	56.38	54.09	53.68			52.4(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-20	-10000	-4	-69	0.03	55%	-0.58	-104.6	3.96%	0	-1.1	15	0

16	Mar_28_2007	80.66	56.97	54.47	54.16			53.4(-2.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-20	-10000	-2	-72	0.02	55%	-0.49	-104.8	4.18%	0	-0.9	16	0
17	Mar_27_2007	81.06	57.59	54.78	54.44			54.8(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	-10000	1	-66	0.03	55%	-0.39	-102.2	4.19%	0	-0.6	51	0
18	Mar_26_2007	81.38	58.25	55.12	54.32			53.6(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-0	-70	0.03	55%	-0.4	-89.3	4.19%	0	-0.8	40	0
19	Mar_23_2007	81.71	59.26	55.84	54.36			54.2(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-10000	-2	-59	0.02	55%	-0.4	-77.6	4.19%	0	-0.8	50	0
20	Mar_22_2007	82.04	60.32	56.6	54.56			54.8(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	-10000	-2	-56	0.03	55%	-0.4	-70.1	4.22%	0	-0.8	40	0

21	Mar_21_2007	82.37	61.38	57.33	54.84			54.8(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10000	-3	-58	0.02	55%	-0.44	-64.3	4.22%	0	-0.8	37	0
22	Mar_20_2007	82.73	62.51	57.44	55.2			54.2(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-7	-78	0.03	55%	-0.35	-59.9	4.22%	0	-1	34	0
23	Mar_19_2007	83.02	63.73	57.95	56.08			53.8(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-12	-90	0.05	55%	-0.37	-59.4	4.21%	0	-1.2	31	0
24	Mar_16_2007	83.33	64.83	58.21	57.56			55.2(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-11	-106	0.05	49%	-0.38	-58.6	4.39%	0	-1.1	28	0
25	Mar_15_2007	83.65	65.9	58.91	58.96			56.2(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-9	-115	0.04	49%		-57.8	4.43%	0	-1.1	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.