Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 25, 2022

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $49.4000 (1.46%) ($46.9000 - $49.9100) on Tue. Jan. 25, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.58% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $49.4000(1.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDXJ(97%)    SIL(95%)    GLD(80%)    SLV(79%)    BWX(49%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -1.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-32%)    VIXM(-21%)    TBT(-14%)    VXX(-8%)    EDOC(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.79% (StdDev 3.58%)
Hourly BBV 0.6 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.49(-2.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.37(0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.62(1.6%)
To recent high   -16.8%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 4.38% (three month std-dev: 3.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.8%(29%) Average negative next day return: -3.91%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 3.09%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -5.13%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.91%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.25%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2022	49.14	48.62	49.37	50.49	50.28	48.7	49.4(1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-230	-14	69	3.45	50%	0	30.6	3.58%	0.6	0.4	51	-2.1
2	Jan_24_2022	49.14	48.6	49.08	49.93	50.78	49.86	48.69(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-80	-22	48	3.04	50%	-0.12	28.3	3.6%	-0.7	0	51	-3.1
3	Jan_21_2022	49.2	48.61	48.74	49.73	50.28	51.87	49.5(-4.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	250	10	37	2.79	50%	-0.06	29.2	3.6%	-1.9	0.4	47	-3
4	Jan_20_2022	49.23	48.55	48.23	49.53	49.57	51.71	51.69(-2.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	49	300	54	32	2.63	52%	0	39.4	3.56%	0.5	1.4	52	-2.2
5	Jan_19_2022	49.23	48.32	47.76	49.18	48.6	48.7	53.18(14.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	27	-20	32	12	4.74	52%	0	45.3	3.55%	2	2.4	58	-1.6

6	Jan_18_2022	49.23	47.98	47.27	48.19	48.26	47.43	46.59(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-120	-17	-27	1.97	44%	-0.16	43.3	3.08%	-1.3	-0.8	47	-1.1
7	Jan_14_2022	49.31	48	47.48	48.12	48.32	48.5	47.67(-1.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2	40	5	-22	2.34	47%	-0.02	47.7	3.06%	-1.2	-0.2	47	0.3
8	Jan_13_2022	49.32	47.98	47.78	47.54	47.62	49.08	48.5(-2.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	25	220	38	-13	1.76	50%	-0.04	41.8	3.1%	0.4	0.3	50	0.3
9	Jan_12_2022	49.34	47.71	47.93	46.65	46.49	48.15	49.96(3.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	31	240	48	-22	2.36	52%	-0.02	10.4	3.19%	1.5	1.1	54	1
10	Jan_11_2022	49.35	47.41	47.77	46.13	45.43	46.17	48.22(4.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	-0	70	14	-43	2.36	51%	-0.06	-4.4	3.19%	1.8	0.4	54	0.8

11	Jan_10_2022	49.38	47.26	47.76	46.32	45.85	44.84	46.26(3.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	-180	-14	-47	2.45	48%	-0.02	-5.8	3.15%	2.6	-0.5	51	1
12	Jan_7_2022	49.39	47.21	48.05	46.8	46.92	44.68	44.76(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-59	-330	-63	-48	2.55	46%	-0.06	-0.6	3.13%	-0.5	-1.1	46	0.7
13	Jan_6_2022	49.42	47.28	48.49	48.08	48.03	46.87	44.04(-7.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-55	-170	-68	-16	3.54	48%	-0.1	17	3.12%	-1.5	-1.5	43	0.7
14	Jan_5_2022	49.47	47.49	48.99	49.33	49.54	49.17	47.39(-3.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-40	-5	62	2.73	52%	-0.1	39.5	3.02%	-2.2	-0	71	0.9
15	Jan_4_2022	49.52	47.51	49.02	49.58	49.68	49.18	49.13(0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-60	-7	83	1.76	55%	-0.08	40.2	2.99%	-0.5	0.8	70	1.4

16	Jan_3_2022	49.56	47.38	48.81	49.4	49.39	49.92	48.68(-4.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	70	-5	89	2.13	55%	-0.1	31.6	3%	-1.3	0.6	63	1.4
17	Dec_31_2021	49.61	47.23	48.64	49.48	49.36	50.17	51.14(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	55	110	34	118	2.18	58%	0	22.7	2.95%	1.8	1.9	72	1.3
18	Dec_30_2021	49.61	46.91	48.21	49.02	48.85	48.86	50.3(3.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10	13	107	1.6	60%	-0.06	4.2	2.95%	2.1	1.8	66	1.4
19	Dec_29_2021	49.64	46.91	47.46	48.66	48.59	48.55	48.66(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10	0	73	1.61	56%	-0.06	-14.7	2.96%	-0.5	1.2	51	1.4
20	Dec_28_2021	49.67	46.68	47.01	48.39	48.46	48.84	48.22(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	60	11	56	1.65	56%	-0.08	-28.3	3%	-1.9	0.9	52	1.4

21	Dec_27_2021	49.71	46.75	46.69	48.11	48.06	48.64	49.07(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	80	22	47	1.49	56%	-0.3	-42.5	3%	0.6	1.2	57	1.3
22	Dec_23_2021	49.86	46.76	46.27	47.64	47.44	48.09	48.85(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	80	18	33	2.03	53%	-0.24	-63.3	3.05%	1.2	1.1	61	1.4
23	Dec_22_2021	49.98	46.83	45.92	47.27	47.15	47.48	48.49(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	40	33	33	2.02	53%	-0.26	-79.4	3.08%	2	0.8	62	1.3
24	Dec_21_2021	50.11	46.94	45.83	46.09	46.57	46.79	47.34(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	60	21	7	2.51	53%	-0.28	-97.7	3.06%	0.8	0.2	54	0.9
25	Dec_20_2021	50.25	47.18	45.82	45.4	45.4	46.83	46.8(0.15%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	11	220	19	-15	2.2	53%		-102.5	3.06%	-0.3	-0.1	43	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.