Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $196.2000 (-2%) ($188.2000 - $201.4000) on Thu. Jan. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.46% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $196.2000(-2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 9.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(88%)    GLD(72%)    SLV(61%)    BWX(42%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    IPO(-6%)    UNG(1%)    VIXM(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.23% (StdDev 8.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $198.16(-0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $195.17(0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $171.12(14.66%)
To recent high   -36.3%
To recent low   66.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 15.95% (three month std-dev: 8.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_19_2017	248.63	171.12	195.17	198.16			196.2(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	2	67	2.61	42%	-0.67	69.2	8.46%	0	0.9	70	0
2	Jan_18_2017	250.3	167.41	193.25	196.84			200.2(-4.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	2	82	2.67	44%	-0.72	56.9	8.52%	0	1.1	73	0
3	Jan_17_2017	252.12	163.35	190.55	194.96			209.4(7.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	29	-10000	5	100	3.23	44%	-1.67	47.1	8.62%	0	1.5	78	0
4	Jan_13_2017	256.39	158.75	185.02	190.56			194(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	29	-10000	2	109	2.52	44%	-0.99	33.3	8.54%	0	1.1	77	0
5	Jan_12_2017	258.95	155.84	183.12	188.8			191(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	30	-10000	-4	131	3.51	44%	-0.93	26.3	8.56%	0	1.1	77	0

6	Jan_11_2017	261.38	154.12	178.54	191.88			189.6(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	44	-10000	4	163	3.98	44%	-1.38	29.8	8.6%	0	1.2	77	0
7	Jan_10_2017	265.03	152.17	173.3	189			190.8(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	47	-10000	5	171	3.04	44%	-1.44	25.9	8.66%	0	1.3	77	0
8	Jan_9_2017	268.91	150.08	166.94	185.24			187.4(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	51	-10000	9	176	2.66	44%	-1.55	20.4	8.65%	0	1.4	77	0
9	Jan_6_2017	273.14	148.99	160.35	178.32			185.2(-10.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	-10000	3	162	3.88	43%	-1.71	17.2	8.66%	0	1.4	77	0
10	Jan_5_2017	277.9	148.02	153.92	176.32			206.4(17.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	54	-10000	18	163	4.83	45%	-1.52	18.2	8.63%	0	2.3	70	0

11	Jan_4_2017	282.2	145.59	144.96	163.48			175.2(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	13	106	2.65	35%	-1.71	3.9	8.33%	0	1.4	54	0
12	Jan_3_2017	287.12	145.01	139.27	155.32			172(12.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	14	59	2.76	35%	-2.98	-7.3	9.08%	0	1.3	55	0
13	Dec_30_2016	295.94	144.65	133.66	145.88			152.8(-12.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	11	15	4.39	32%	-1.75	-16.1	8.94%	0	0.4	50	0
14	Dec_29_2016	301.22	144.64	130.14	139.24			175.2(23.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	8	-10000	19	-25	4.45	34%	-1.69	-23.9	8.82%	0	1.4	49	0
15	Dec_28_2016	306.4	143.57	125.8	128.24			142.2(5.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10000	9	-78	2.59	26%	-1.67	-42.7	8.27%	0	-0.1	34	0

16	Dec_27_2016	311.59	144.75	127.18	123.84			134.4(7.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	6	-93	1.95	26%	-2.55	-48.6	8.28%	0	-0.5	34	0
17	Dec_23_2016	319.73	146.58	128.9	120.92			124.8(4.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	-10000	3	-109	1.75	26%	-1.73	-51.2	8.15%	0	-1	25	0
18	Dec_22_2016	325.36	148.18	131.62	119.56			119.6(-0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-30	-10000	0	-119	1.74	26%	-1.67	-56.9	8.15%	0	-1.3	20	0
19	Dec_21_2016	330.88	149.97	136.68	119.36			120.2(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-34	-10000	-7	-115	1.6	33%	-1.71	-67.2	8.15%	0	-1.5	35	0
20	Dec_20_2016	336.63	152.94	141.79	122.96			120.2(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10000	-15	-99	2.26	33%	-1.61	-67.5	8.61%	0	-1.7	33	0

21	Dec_19_2016	342.14	155.85	146.48	131.24			119.8(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-12	-80	2.05	33%	-1.52	-60	8.6%	0	-1.9	30	0
22	Dec_16_2016	347.42	158.38	151.58	138.32			118(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-10000	-11	-65	3.24	33%	-1.36	-57	8.6%	0	-2.4	28	0
23	Dec_15_2016	352.22	161.29	157.06	145.48			118.6(-14.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-23	-10000	-16	-45	5.37	33%	-1.35	-69.1	8.61%	0	-3	40	0
24	Dec_14_2016	357.04	164.79	161.17	156.28			138.2(-14.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-12	-10000	-10	-17	4.68	35%	-1.08	-98.5	8.46%	0	-2.4	48	0
25	Dec_13_2016	360.93	167.45	163.52	163.16			161.6(4.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-1	-5	2	36%		-113.9	8.29%	0	-0.6	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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