Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $172.0000 (12.57%) ($155.0000 - $172.0000) on Tue. Jan. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.08% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $172.0000(12.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 6.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(89%)    GLD(72%)    SLV(60%)    BWX(42%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-16%)    UUP(-14%)    IPO(-5%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.54% (StdDev 9.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $155.32(10.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $139.27(23.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $145.01(18.61%)
To recent high   -51.8%
To recent low   45.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 14.71% (three month std-dev: 9.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_3_2017	287.12	145.01	139.27	155.32			172(12.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	14	59	2.76	35%	-2.98	-7.3	9.08%	0	1.3	55	0
2	Dec_30_2016	295.94	144.65	133.66	145.88			152.8(-12.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	11	15	4.39	32%	-1.75	-16.1	8.94%	0	0.4	50	0
3	Dec_29_2016	301.22	144.64	130.14	139.24			175.2(23.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	8	-10000	19	-25	4.45	34%	-1.69	-23.9	8.82%	0	1.4	49	0
4	Dec_28_2016	306.4	143.57	125.8	128.24			142.2(5.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10000	9	-78	2.59	26%	-1.67	-42.7	8.27%	0	-0.1	34	0
5	Dec_27_2016	311.59	144.75	127.18	123.84			134.4(7.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	6	-93	1.95	26%	-2.55	-48.6	8.28%	0	-0.5	34	0

6	Dec_23_2016	319.73	146.58	128.9	120.92			124.8(4.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	-10000	3	-109	1.75	26%	-1.73	-51.2	8.15%	0	-1	25	0
7	Dec_22_2016	325.36	148.18	131.62	119.56			119.6(-0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-30	-10000	0	-119	1.74	26%	-1.67	-56.9	8.15%	0	-1.3	20	0
8	Dec_21_2016	330.88	149.97	136.68	119.36			120.2(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-34	-10000	-7	-115	1.6	33%	-1.71	-67.2	8.15%	0	-1.5	35	0
9	Dec_20_2016	336.63	152.94	141.79	122.96			120.2(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10000	-15	-99	2.26	33%	-1.61	-67.5	8.61%	0	-1.7	33	0
10	Dec_19_2016	342.14	155.85	146.48	131.24			119.8(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-12	-80	2.05	33%	-1.52	-60	8.6%	0	-1.9	30	0

11	Dec_16_2016	347.42	158.38	151.58	138.32			118(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-10000	-11	-65	3.24	33%	-1.36	-57	8.6%	0	-2.4	28	0
12	Dec_15_2016	352.22	161.29	157.06	145.48			118.6(-14.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-23	-10000	-16	-45	5.37	33%	-1.35	-69.1	8.61%	0	-3	40	0
13	Dec_14_2016	357.04	164.79	161.17	156.28			138.2(-14.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-12	-10000	-10	-17	4.68	35%	-1.08	-98.5	8.46%	0	-2.4	48	0
14	Dec_13_2016	360.93	167.45	163.52	163.16			161.6(4.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-1	-5	2	36%	-0.9	-113.9	8.29%	0	-0.6	44	0
15	Dec_12_2016	364.22	167.91	164.14	164.16			155.2(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5	-10000	-4	-8	1.7	36%	-1.07	-147.8	8.36%	0	-1.2	43	0

16	Dec_9_2016	368.15	168.52	165.89	167.04			153.8(-10.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-4	-10000	-5	1	2.7	33%	-1.07	-196.2	8.42%	0	-1.5	48	0
17	Dec_8_2016	372.14	171.62	166.24	170.36			172.6(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	5	6	1.55	35%	-0.88	-155.1	8.54%	0	0.1	51	0
18	Dec_7_2016	375.45	176.46	164.28	166.76			172.6(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	4	-16	2.46	35%	-1.16	-85.4	8.56%	0	-0.1	45	0
19	Dec_6_2016	379.85	180.47	164.67	163.96			166.6(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-0	-28	1.78	39%	-1.21	-78.4	8.54%	0	-0.4	41	0
20	Dec_5_2016	384.51	185.03	165.54	164.24			169.6(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-1	-26	2.87	39%	-1.17	-71.6	8.77%	0	-0.4	52	0

21	Dec_2_2016	389.05	190.95	165.24	164.8			170.4(10.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	4	-22	2.83	42%	-1.2	-58.3	8.84%	0	-0.5	54	0
22	Dec_1_2016	393.79	197.35	165.36	161.68			154.6(-2.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	-10000	1	-46	3.17	42%	-1.25	-49.7	8.84%	0	-0.8	35	0
23	Nov_30_2016	398.79	203.89	168.46	161.24			158.6(-5.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	-6	-77	2.58	40%	-1.09	-47	8.92%	0	-0.9	28	0
24	Nov_29_2016	403.2	210.86	171.6	165.32			168(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-10000	-2	-87	2.2	40%	-1.24	-42.8	9.05%	0	-0.8	35	0
25	Nov_28_2016	408.28	216.43	171.89	167.08			172.4(11.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	-10000	1	-109	2.3	40%		-41.3	9.05%	0	-0.8	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.