Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Sep. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $394.8000 (-2.57%) ($392.0000 - $424.0000) on Mon. Sep. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.02% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $394.8000(-2.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(89%)    GLD(72%)    SLV(60%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.01% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-17%)    UUP(-16%)    IPO(-4%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.01% (StdDev 8.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.4%

Resistance Level   $407.16
5 Day Moving Average   $410.16(-3.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $390.81(1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $407.16(-3.04%)
To recent high   -42.7%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 10.48% (three month std-dev: 8.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161026

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_26_2016	481.37	407.16	390.81	410.16			394.8(-2.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-5	-10000	3	-29	0.78	43%	-0.07	-37.1	8.02%	0	-0.3	37	0
2	Sep_23_2016	481.73	409.22	392.43	405.16			405.2(-7.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	-10000	5	-36	1.11	48%	0.04	-55.1	8.3%	0	-0.1	49	0
3	Sep_22_2016	481.53	410.94	390.45	396.96			438.2(-1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-10000	8	-45	1.46	48%	0.19	-77.8	8.25%	0	0.6	58	0
4	Sep_21_2016	480.63	410.13	391.48	384.32			444.2(20.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-3	-10000	10	-41	2.47	48%	0.06	-102.4	8.28%	0	0.8	64	0
5	Sep_20_2016	480.33	414.19	394.75	369			368.4(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-10000	-0	-44	0.88	42%	-0.18	-100.7	7.96%	0	-0.9	53	0

6	Sep_19_2016	481.18	423.64	407.29	369.16			369.8(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-6	-36	1.09	42%	-0.22	-92.6	7.97%	0	-0.9	45	0
7	Sep_16_2016	482.26	434.43	414.16	378			364.2(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	-3	-27	1.29	42%	-0.07	-82.3	7.98%	0	-1	45	0
8	Sep_15_2016	482.62	447.89	418.11	382.48			375(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-11	-33	1.24	46%	0.05	-71.3	8.05%	0	-0.9	45	0
9	Sep_14_2016	482.4	459.88	417.36	399.76			367.6(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-14	-29	1.23	46%	0.05	-65.2	8.18%	0	-1.1	47	0
10	Sep_13_2016	482.14	473.66	419.16	424.88			369.2(-10.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-14	-31	1.47	46%	0.11	-55.8	8.22%	0	-1.1	37	0

11	Sep_12_2016	481.63	487.68	426.48	451.16			414(7.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-2	-22	1.71	48%	0.19	-47.3	8.1%	0	-0.8	39	0
12	Sep_9_2016	480.73	499.92	428.86	455.6			386.6(-16.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-1	-41	1.66	48%	0.07	-42.5	8.08%	0	-1.1	33	0
13	Sep_8_2016	480.41	513.91	434.82	457.32			461.4(-6.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-10000	12	-64	1.06	52%	0.27	-42.2	7.83%	0	-0.5	35	0
14	Sep_7_2016	479.14	524.49	431.08	436.2			493.2(-1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	-10000	15	-105	1	52%	0.29	-44.7	7.86%	0	-0.3	39	0
15	Sep_6_2016	477.75	531.97	434.18	412.6			500.6(14.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-28	-10000	8	-137	1.49	52%	0.76	-50.1	7.88%	0	-0.3	38	0

16	Sep_2_2016	474.17	538.32	438.8	400.16			436.2(10.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-36	-10000	-0	-145	1.53	57%	0.32	-54.2	8.62%	0	-0.9	29	0
17	Sep_1_2016	472.68	547.65	453.42	400.44			395.2(11.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-42	-10000	-5	-153	1.75	55%	0.17	-55.3	8.54%	0	-1.4	21	0
18	Aug_31_2016	471.88	562.28	477.47	409.92			355.8(-5.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-43	-10000	-8	-149	1.37	52%	0.02	-53.3	8.44%	0	-1.9	11	0
19	Aug_30_2016	471.77	578.51	504.44	424.09			375.2(-14.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-50	-10000	-17	-147	1.64	52%	0.08	-52.9	8.42%	0	-2	11	0
20	Aug_29_2016	471.38	594.87	532.33	457.66			438.4(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-10000	-13	-127	0.77	56%	0.33	-44.1	8.26%	0	-1.8	22	0

21	Aug_26_2016	469.83	606.83	554.08	483.53			437.6(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-10000	-15	-110	1.88	56%	0.38	-32	8.34%	0	-2.1	26	0
22	Aug_25_2016	468.04	617.89	577.51	515.42			442.6(3.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	-10000	-18	-88	1.23	56%	0.44	-19.2	8.34%	0	-2.5	30	0
23	Aug_24_2016	465.99	626.63	601.08	556.27			426.64(-21.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-28	-10000	-16	-64	2.61	51%	0.41	-1	8.37%	0	-3.4	22	0
24	Aug_23_2016	464.08	636.41	628.15	595.74			543.04(-4.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-16	-10000	-9	-37	0.91	58%	0.71	33.3	8.17%	0	-2.1	34	0
25	Aug_22_2016	460.81	636.6	639.81	617.52			567.76(-4.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-7	-27	0.93	58%		34.4	8.16%	0	-1.3	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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