Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $399.6000 (13.25%) ($361.1600 - $405.2000) on Thu. Apr. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.27% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $399.6000(13.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(73%)    SLV(61%)    BWX(44%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -5.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    TBT(-18%)    IPO(-4%)    UNG(1%)    IYT(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.135% (StdDev 10.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $347.94(14.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $342.29(16.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $311.57(28.25%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   314.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.11%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.11% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 15.73% (three month std-dev: 10.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160528

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_28_2016	192.94	311.57	342.29	347.94			399.6(13.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	5	33	2.09	68%	1.58	63.8	10.27%	0	1.8	68	0
2	Apr_27_2016	189.93	303.16	331.02	339.05			352.84(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	2	29	1.71	67%	1.36	66	10.25%	0	1.1	68	0
3	Apr_26_2016	187.38	297.67	327.22	335.82			342.04(7.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10000	-2	38	1.32	68%	1.3	63.1	10.25%	0	1	70	0
4	Apr_25_2016	184.97	293.23	327.11	338.78			319.4(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	17	-10000	1	64	1.16	68%	1.1	63.1	10.33%	0	0.6	69	0
5	Apr_22_2016	182.95	288.38	328.79	337.3			325.84(-8.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	2	87	1.75	68%	1.25	56.7	10.33%	0	0.8	73	0

6	Apr_21_2016	180.69	283.13	325.17	334.63			355.12(5.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	8	101	2.15	68%	1.48	49.7	10.24%	0	1.5	71	0
7	Apr_20_2016	178.06	275.6	316.02	321.36			336.72(-5.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	3	92	2.55	69%	1.34	34.3	10.23%	0	1.3	70	0
8	Apr_19_2016	175.71	271.7	306.77	317.26			356.84(14.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	2	91	2.06	66%	1.53	37.6	10.2%	0	1.9	71	0
9	Apr_18_2016	173.06	266.61	294.91	314.81			312(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	-3	87	1.28	65%	1.32	46.6	10.3%	0	1.1	63	0
10	Apr_15_2016	170.81	264	286.1	319.64			312.48(8.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	3	102	1.71	65%	0.88	55.3	10.38%	0	1.2	70	0

11	Apr_14_2016	169.32	261.03	278.86	314.15			288.76(-8.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	28	-10000	3	104	2.02	63%	1.18	53.1	10.37%	0	0.7	67	0
12	Apr_13_2016	167.35	260.14	273.67	308.62			316.2(-8.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	10	110	1.65	63%	1.35	55.6	10.39%	0	1.5	75	0
13	Apr_12_2016	165.12	255.62	266.09	293.24			344.6(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	33	-10000	15	87	1.98	63%	1.62	45.3	10.31%	0	2.5	62	0
14	Apr_11_2016	162.48	248.88	256.18	271.9			336.16(17.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	28	-10000	18	57	2.17	61%	1.58	24.1	10.37%	0	3	61	0
15	Apr_8_2016	159.96	243.92	243.75	248.42			285.04(9.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	8	-10000	7	11	2.21	59%	1.18	2.9	10.34%	0	1.9	55	0

16	Apr_7_2016	158.09	242.5	236.82	239.22			261.12(9.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	-10000	4	-11	2	61%	1.1	-5.8	10.37%	0	0.9	52	0
17	Apr_6_2016	156.37	241	231.26	233.82			239.28(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	-1	-35	1.48	61%	1.01	-10.8	10.43%	0	-0.1	44	0
18	Apr_5_2016	154.81	240.6	233.41	234.57			237.88(8.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-3	-28	1.99	61%	0.92	-4.1	10.43%	0	-0.1	56	0
19	Apr_4_2016	153.4	241.96	235.73	237.86			218.8(-8.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-3	-10000	0	-13	1.43	62%	0.81	8.2	10.4%	0	-1.1	56	0
20	Apr_1_2016	152.17	243.3	240.3	237.7			239(2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	3	-9	2.26	62%	0.98	15.9	10.35%	0	-0.2	52	0

21	Mar_31_2016	150.69	243.68	242.11	233.59			234.16(-3.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	5	-14	1.22	62%	0.92	12.8	10.44%	0	-0.5	48	0
22	Mar_30_2016	149.31	243.13	246.06	227.83			243(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-7	-10000	-4	-16	1.79	62%	1.02	3.4	10.41%	0	-0	56	0
23	Mar_29_2016	147.8	241.42	244.93	232.28			254.32(16.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-4	-10000	-2	-10	3.22	62%	1.06	6.2	10.43%	0	0.6	58	0
24	Mar_28_2016	146.25	240.29	241.29	234.36			218.04(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-8	-21	1.64	58%	1.07	14.4	10.26%	0	-1	45	0
25	Mar_24_2016	144.7	240.19	244.42	243.81			218.44(6.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-6	-10000	-6	-7	1.9	58%		29.2	10.35%	0	-1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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