Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $325.8400 (-8.25%) ($318.4400 - $362.8700) on Fri. Apr. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.33% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $325.8400(-8.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 14.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(73%)    SLV(61%)    BWX(44%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -5.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    TBT(-18%)    IPO(-4%)    IBUY(0%)    UNG(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.165% (StdDev 10.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $337.3(-3.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $328.79(-0.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $288.38(12.99%)
To recent high   -8.7%
To recent low   306.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.11%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.11% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 16.3% (three month std-dev: 10.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160522

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2016	182.95	288.38	328.79	337.3			325.84(-8.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	2	87	1.75	68%	1.25	56.7	10.33%	0	0.8	73	0
2	Apr_21_2016	180.69	283.13	325.17	334.63			355.12(5.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	8	101	2.15	68%	1.48	49.7	10.24%	0	1.5	71	0
3	Apr_20_2016	178.06	275.6	316.02	321.36			336.72(-5.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	3	92	2.55	69%	1.34	34.3	10.23%	0	1.3	70	0
4	Apr_19_2016	175.71	271.7	306.77	317.26			356.84(14.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	2	91	2.06	66%	1.53	37.6	10.2%	0	1.9	71	0
5	Apr_18_2016	173.06	266.61	294.91	314.81			312(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	-3	87	1.28	65%	1.32	46.6	10.3%	0	1.1	63	0

6	Apr_15_2016	170.81	264	286.1	319.64			312.48(8.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	3	102	1.71	65%	0.88	55.3	10.38%	0	1.2	70	0
7	Apr_14_2016	169.32	261.03	278.86	314.15			288.76(-8.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	28	-10000	3	104	2.02	63%	1.18	53.1	10.37%	0	0.7	67	0
8	Apr_13_2016	167.35	260.14	273.67	308.62			316.2(-8.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	10	110	1.65	63%	1.35	55.6	10.39%	0	1.5	75	0
9	Apr_12_2016	165.12	255.62	266.09	293.24			344.6(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	33	-10000	15	87	1.98	63%	1.62	45.3	10.31%	0	2.5	62	0
10	Apr_11_2016	162.48	248.88	256.18	271.9			336.16(17.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	28	-10000	18	57	2.17	61%	1.58	24.1	10.37%	0	3	61	0

11	Apr_8_2016	159.96	243.92	243.75	248.42			285.04(9.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	8	-10000	7	11	2.21	59%	1.18	2.9	10.34%	0	1.9	55	0
12	Apr_7_2016	158.09	242.5	236.82	239.22			261.12(9.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	-10000	4	-11	2	61%	1.1	-5.8	10.37%	0	0.9	52	0
13	Apr_6_2016	156.37	241	231.26	233.82			239.28(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	-1	-35	1.48	61%	1.01	-10.8	10.43%	0	-0.1	44	0
14	Apr_5_2016	154.81	240.6	233.41	234.57			237.88(8.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-3	-28	1.99	61%	0.92	-4.1	10.43%	0	-0.1	56	0
15	Apr_4_2016	153.4	241.96	235.73	237.86			218.8(-8.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-3	-10000	0	-13	1.43	62%	0.81	8.2	10.4%	0	-1.1	56	0

16	Apr_1_2016	152.17	243.3	240.3	237.7			239(2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	3	-9	2.26	62%	0.98	15.9	10.35%	0	-0.2	52	0
17	Mar_31_2016	150.69	243.68	242.11	233.59			234.16(-3.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	5	-14	1.22	62%	0.92	12.8	10.44%	0	-0.5	48	0
18	Mar_30_2016	149.31	243.13	246.06	227.83			243(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-7	-10000	-4	-16	1.79	62%	1.02	3.4	10.41%	0	-0	56	0
19	Mar_29_2016	147.8	241.42	244.93	232.28			254.32(16.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-4	-10000	-2	-10	3.22	62%	1.06	6.2	10.43%	0	0.6	58	0
20	Mar_28_2016	146.25	240.29	241.29	234.36			218.04(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-8	-21	1.64	58%	1.07	14.4	10.26%	0	-1	45	0

21	Mar_24_2016	144.7	240.19	244.42	243.81			218.44(6.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-6	-10000	-6	-7	1.9	58%	0.65	29.2	10.35%	0	-1	50	0
22	Mar_23_2016	143.76	241.18	249.06	251.85			205.36(-22.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-6	-10000	-10	5	3.61	58%	0.5	44.5	10.35%	0	-1.7	47	0
23	Mar_22_2016	143.05	242.43	252.43	265.97			265.24(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-10000	6	36	1.85	62%	0.92	77.2	9.88%	0	1.1	62	0
24	Mar_21_2016	141.75	240.06	248.94	258.81			264.72(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	8	33	1.66	62%	0.94	77.4	9.89%	0	1.2	65	0
25	Mar_18_2016	140.43	237.15	248.83	249.09			265.28(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	3	26	2.17	62%		57.8	9.9%	0	1.3	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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