Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $210.6400 (21.34%) ($192.6400 - $219.2000) on Thu. Feb. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.12% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $210.6400(21.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 7.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 42% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(89%)    GLD(73%)    SLV(61%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    TBT(-18%)    IWC(-6%)    IPO(-4%)    XLF(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.56% (StdDev 9.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $180.73(16.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $151.84(38.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $120.23(75.2%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   194%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 34.12% (three month std-dev: 9.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160311

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_11_2016	122.45	120.23	151.84	180.73			210.64(21.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	84	-10000	17	283	3.52	60%	0.88	61.8	9.12%	0	2.2	84	0
2	Feb_10_2016	121.38	113.96	140.21	168.08			173.6(6.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	80	-10000	13	282	2.69	57%	0.55	56.3	8.77%	0	1.7	83	0
3	Feb_9_2016	120.72	109.71	133.11	158.81			163.44(-11.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	84	-10000	18	283	2.7	57%	0.31	49.6	8.82%	0	1.7	82	0
4	Feb_8_2016	120.35	106.27	126.52	147.05			183.84(6.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	87	-10000	25	274	3.33	59%	0.38	39.7	8.71%	0	2.6	90	0
5	Feb_5_2016	119.9	102.27	116.44	132.68			172.12(16.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	76	-10000	26	225	3.17	54%	0.33	33.9	8.87%	0	2.9	78	0

6	Feb_4_2016	119.51	99.29	106.9	118.79			147.4(15.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	59	-10000	21	171	3.34	52%	0.2	28	8.76%	0	2.6	75	0
7	Feb_3_2016	119.27	97.02	99.77	108.61			127.24(21.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	38	-10000	11	118	2.9	49%	0.18	16.4	8.58%	0	2	64	0
8	Feb_2_2016	119.05	95.64	94.69	103.82			104.64(-6.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	3	89	1.38	44%	-0.01	9.6	8.14%	0	0.7	56	0
9	Feb_1_2016	119.06	95.58	91.48	102.53			112(9.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	13	66	2.23	44%	0.03	5.2	8.1%	0	1.2	55	0
10	Jan_29_2016	119.02	94.73	88.38	97.41			102.68(6.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	12	17	1.76	40%	-0.03	-7.5	8.02%	0	0.6	44	0

11	Jan_28_2016	119.06	94.36	86.36	92.92			96.48(-6.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	10	-33	1.63	40%	-0.09	-17.3	8.15%	0	0.2	37	0
12	Jan_27_2016	119.17	94.61	85.84	89.3			103.32(5.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	-10000	15	-58	2.32	40%	-0.12	-23.7	8.12%	0	0.7	48	0
13	Jan_26_2016	119.31	94.37	84.6	84.17			98.18(13.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-9	-10000	17	-86	2.7	40%	-0.18	-32.1	8.09%	0	0.3	48	0
14	Jan_25_2016	119.53	94.87	84.49	78.87			86.4(7.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-28	-10000	2	-118	1.7	37%	-0.24	-35.9	7.95%	0	-0.6	41	0
15	Jan_22_2016	119.82	95.75	86.95	78.14			80.21(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-10000	-2	-112	1.93	37%	-0.28	-38.1	7.94%	0	-1.2	43	0

16	Jan_21_2016	120.16	96.7	90.96	78.88			78.4(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	-10000	-9	-95	2.43	37%	-0.36	-36.8	7.97%	0	-1.4	43	0
17	Jan_20_2016	120.59	97.85	93.99	81.86			77.68(8.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-10	-80	2.46	39%	-0.38	-32	8.02%	0	-1.6	39	0
18	Jan_19_2016	121.05	98.8	96.72	85.1			71.64(-13.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-10000	-16	-67	3.94	35%	-0.65	-34.9	8.08%	0	-2.3	36	0
19	Jan_15_2016	121.84	99.86	100.34	90.83			82.76(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-10000	-16	-49	2.46	37%	-0.36	-37.7	8.04%	0	-1.8	36	0
20	Jan_14_2016	122.28	101.14	102.03	97.09			83.92(-10.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-22	-10000	-19	-31	3.55	42%	-0.19	-23.7	8.04%	0	-1.9	42	0

21	Jan_13_2016	122.51	101.88	103.55	104.9			93.32(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-4	-10000	-7	4	2.58	44%	-0.26	-6.5	8.34%	0	-1.1	51	0
22	Jan_12_2016	122.83	102.06	104.6	107.97			93.88(-6.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	2	-10000	-4	19	3.37	44%	-0.39	-4.3	8.34%	0	-1	50	0
23	Jan_11_2016	123.31	103.04	105.38	109.96			100.28(-12.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	7	-10000	-2	33	2.68	44%	-0.67	-4.1	8.37%	0	-0.4	57	0
24	Jan_8_2016	124.14	103.53	106.38	110.99			114.04(-7.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	7	55	2.01	49%	-0.7	0.5	8.5%	0	1.3	68	0
25	Jan_7_2016	125.01	103.3	105.29	107.61			122.96(13.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	20	-10000	12	42	2.41	49%		-6.6	8.46%	0	2.5	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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